Rankin5150 Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 We are holding at 63 also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 62.4 degrees IMBY...its been that temperature roughly all day with periods of light rain or drizzle. Definitely a refreshing feel...that said, I hope it does not hang around for multiple days. I'm looking forward to the next blast of hot air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 I'm looking forward to the next blast of hot air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 I hit 74.8F here today... only about 15 degrees below normal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 I hit 74.8F here today... only about 15 degrees below normal! Enjoy it. This could be our last day in the 70's until September !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 Folks, The 12z Euro, which was just released, has another heatwave starting around next weekend for the SE US. For example, it has 20+ C 850's from hour 132 through 240 at KATL and lows of upper 70's for days 8-10! it even has `+23 C 850's for day 10, which would be slightly warmer than this last heatwave's 850's! I'll take the details/intensity with a grain of salt for now, especially given the Euro has a moderate warm bias. However, signs are becoming clearer that another heatwave may be around the corner. Hopefully, it won't be nearly as bad as this week's heatwave. Just looking over model runs after getting home from work and it seem the EURO and GFS are in decent agreement in the 7-10 day period in showing a substantial heatwave for Georgia and the Carolinas. In fact the GFS is going bonkers with highs reaching 100+ for 8 consecutive days here in Charlotte starting next Wednesday. Like the last heatwave its showing extremely high humidity values with dew points staying at or above 70 degrees for most of us while 80+ degree dew points show up for the eastern Carolinas Thursday into the weekend making it feel like 115-120 degrees! EURO is not as hot with its surface temperatures but shows similar dew point temperatures with 80 degree dewpoints showing up in eastern Tennessee and Kentucky. However the second half of the weekend into early next week the EURO shows more of a downsloping component allowing dew points to mix out a lot more than what the GFS is currently showing east of the mountains. With the agreement the EURO and GFS are showing one has to raise an eyebrow, however there has been a strong trend this summer to dampen these heat waves in the east as you get to within the 5 day forecast period so I am somewhat skeptical right now given seasonal trends and the warm bias of the models so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 what was your high today. I see CAE is at 82 right now. I'm one of the cooler spots in NC (or southeast for that matter) Sitting at 63 here, Hickory and 59 in Boone. I wish I could bottle it up and share with everybody, plus its been raining lightly all day long since around 10 am. The high temp here is going to be 75, which occurred at 12:01 AM, and has been going down slowly ever since. Charlotte was 78 at midnight, so thats their high. CAE has 87 and I've got 86 with no complaints here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 Very interesting Western NC Temperature Gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 Just looking over model runs after getting home from work and it seem the EURO and GFS are in decent agreement in the 7-10 day period in showing a substantial heatwave for Georgia and the Carolinas. In fact the GFS is going bonkers with highs reaching 100+ for 8 consecutive days here in Charlotte starting next Wednesday. Like the last heatwave its showing extremely high humidity values with dew points staying at or above 70 degrees for most of us while 80+ degree dew points show up for the eastern Carolinas Thursday into the weekend making it feel like 115-120 degrees! EURO is not as hot with its surface temperatures but shows similar dew point temperatures with 80 degree dewpoints showing up in eastern Tennessee and Kentucky. However the second half of the weekend into early next week the EURO shows more of a downsloping component allowing dew points to mix out a lot more than what the GFS is currently showing east of the mountains. With the agreement the EURO and GFS are showing one has to raise an eyebrow, however there has been a strong trend this summer to dampen these heat waves in the east as you get to within the 5 day forecast period so I am somewhat skeptical right now given seasonal trends and the warm bias of the models so far. I agree. I haven't seen the euro's surface temps yet, but it waits until late to move the ridge directly overtop the Southeast. Its later panels almost always flip a good bit on the next run, so I don't give it nearly the credence I actually give GFS these days. But with its ridge so far west, this fits the pattern of whats been going on most of the season, where the immediate east coast can get snipped with nw flow, and occasionally get into the serious heat for a day or 2, in between convective complexes. The GFS shows much more realistically the MCC activity, or if you infer between the lines on its setup, its there, with Tue or Wed being a chance of an MCC, then after that it moves the ridge bodily east, so if that happens we'd get truly hot and dry , but again probably briefly, as the core always goes back west. Eventually we'll shift to a bermuda ridge pattern, but we'd probably need the GFS to be right in it moving the heat ridge over teh Southeast before that can happen. That way, other areas will get into traditional southwest flow, but until I see good signs, I'd say we stay in the same old pattern roughly of slightly above normal temps, in NC, and hotter immediately south and west toward western GA especially and into Tenn. Valley, with occasional storm complexes dropping down the front of the ridge into the Virginias and Carolinas, and possibly rotating west under the ridge. Usually August is when the pattern begins to break and I think by then we'll be into a period of time with a good setup for hurricane or tropical system that comes into the Southeast or gulf...but only when the major ridging in Tex/ok/Mo eases up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 Shelby's dropped to 59 degrees. Who would've thunk that in what could be the hottest day of the year. And its daylight out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 I was planning on getting in the pool today after seeing the NWS forecast yesterday. Instead, I put on a coat and rode my four wheeler after that forecast busted. My backyard temperature is near 65 with no rain just yet. EDIT Rain showers breaking out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Shelby's dropped to 59 degrees. Who would've thunk that in what could be the hottest day of the year. And its daylight out. It is chilly out, currently my thermo says 64. I still can't get over how during the hottest part of the day in the hottest part of the year we were in the mid-upper 60's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 I just looked at the calendar and sure enough it is July 15th. I wouldn't have known it by today's weather, feels like September and early October out here. Current temp is 65 with a dewpoint of 60 and the wind is blowing out of the NE at 3mph gusting up to 21mph!!!!!! It rained lightly for most of the morning and it rained last night for about a full hour. Also the sun hasn't even peeked out today, what a great day for golfing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
november rain Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 If the ants would not eat me as I slept, I would just go lie on the lawn tonight. It really feels great outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Looks like I am going to get few hours of rain tonight. Setting up nicely for North Wilkesboro to Boone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Man, I've enjoyed the weather today! I'm not sure we ever cracked the seventies, and light rain has fallen on and off all day under overcast skies and patchy fog. What a nice deviance from the summer norm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 raining quite a bit here in the northern fthills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 raining quite a bit here in the northern fthills My name is Casey and I am also from the northern foothills. Seems like we fair pretty well with rain and cooler temps than other parts of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Currently 66 with light rain. It feels awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 picked up another .20 last nite light rain still falling temp 61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 From FFC: --------------------------- LATEST MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWS MID SUMMER WEDGE IN PLACE FROM THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH SW GEORGIA WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD DECK THE RESULT. ALSO OF NOTE IS THE PRESENCE OF INVERTED TROUGH AXIS OFFSHORE THE FLORIDA COAST WITH A WEAK LOW FORMING WHICH WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN THE STRENGTH OF THE WEDGE FOR TODAY. MODELS ALL TRYING TO SCOUR OUT THE MOISTURE AT THE LOW LEVELS FROM NW TO SW WITH THE GFS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN THIS ASPECT. SEE NO REASON TO STRAY FROM TYPICAL MODEL BIAS WHICH IS TO CLEAR THINGS OUT TOO QUICKLY IN THESE SETUPS. THEREFORE...PLAN TO SHOW LIMITED CLEARING CONFINED TO EAST CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND SHAVE A FEW MORE DEGREES OFF ANTICIPATED HIGH TEMPS. AS FAR AS POP COVERAGE...CURRENT GRID SET LOOKS LARGELY ON TRACK. WHERE THERE IS SOME CLEARING OVER AFOREMENTIONED AREAS HOWEVER...COULD SEE SLIGHTLY HIGHER CAPE VALUES THAN MODELS FORECAST AND ALTHOUGH STILL LIMITED...THIS COULD ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL SHALLOW CONVECTION AND HIGHER POPS. SOME AREAS ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF CWA DID RECEIVE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN YESTERDAY...SO MAY NEED TO MONITOR SHOULD ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL ENSUE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Another dreary day today here. Cloudy and 69 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 My name is Casey and I am also from the northern foothills. Seems like we fair pretty well with rain and cooler temps than other parts of the state. yeah we're in prime position for CAD, compared to places farther east in the piedmont. I love winters that have alot of CAD events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 The heavy drizzle and light rain has stopped, another .17" since midnight. It's getting a little lighter and temps are finally in the very low 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Another dreary day today here. Cloudy and 69 degrees. Awesome I am a fan of warm season CAD following that heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Awesome I am a fan of warm season CAD following that heat. Same here, Its just plain nice to go outside and do anything without being attacked by the bugs and sweating just sitting in the shade. Got a tone done in the yard finally since I've put it off since May or early June. Re-carving mulch beds which is easy since the soil is so soft. The ground is just right and workable...can't say that here very often , esp. in the Summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 meh, mid 80s and sunny here on the beach, little less humidity though with an Easterly flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted July 16, 2011 Author Share Posted July 16, 2011 Nearly 1:30 pm and still not out of the 70's yet. Drizzle, and dripping all night. This has to be the Twilight Zone instead of July. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 All the rain in the state and all that fell here was less than .10, at least the temps are great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Got down to 54 at Camp Bud Schiele in Rutherfordton county this morning. Only got up to 68 yesterday and its barley 70 degrees right now. I love this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.