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July Obs.


dsaur

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Yeah, I'm going with 93 or 94 also. I only just hit 89 about 1pm, and the clouds are up there and thickening. I like seeing high temps bust to the low side anytime, but now is a great time :) T

Amazing how much cooler you are down there than areas to your NE like Athens as your area is a normal hot spot being that you are south of Atlanta. I too don't mind heat waves busting low.

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Foothills,

When do you think our chances of storms this afternoon start? I check the temp water in my pool sitting at 92 degrees but feels better than the air itself. Hope everyone drinks fluids and stays cool !:sun:

They're starting now in the southern Apps of TN/NC and those may get organized later today as the lee trough develops ahead of the main front. I really haven't looked closely at today though, been focusing on the Fri-Sat period. I'm sure Jeremy or somebody else has much more detailed analysis of today's storms. I hope you get some rain, if not today then Friday and Sat. 92 degrees for water is pretty warm!

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They're starting now in the southern Apps of TN/NC and those may get organized later today as the lee trough develops ahead of the main front. I really haven't looked closely at today though, been focusing on the Fri-Sat period. I'm sure Jeremy or somebody else has much more detailed analysis of today's storms. I hope you get some rain, if not today then Friday and Sat. 92 degrees for water is pretty warm!

Yes we love it, sorta like bath water !

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Folks,

The 12Z gfs per MeteoStar has KATL's high at 101 F today with 98 F as of 2 PM. With it being 91 F at 1 PM, it looks like the 2 PM reading will very likely verify to be too warm by several degrees.

http://wxweb.meteost...shtml?text=KATL

Edit: Ft. Pulaski, almost to the coast and with lots of water nearby is at a ridulously hot 94 F! It has a light SE wind preventing any seabreeze as of yet. By the way, the water temp. there at the river is 88 F.

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Yesterday my high was 91.5 at 440pm. At 2pm today I'm already at 92. I sure hope those storms in TN organize and feed development across north GA later this afternoon.

Here in Pineville , we are at 94 with HI of 101. Please let it rain...........................

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I think Friday and Saturday you won't do it. The streak is coming to an end for all of us east of the Apps and even down to northeast Alabama and most of GA as well. A decent damming 1020 high will sit over VA and the mid Atlantic Friday and Saturday before sliding out to see and maintaining southeast onshore flow, which will bank much cooler moist air over the Carolinas and Ga, especially western NC region where its really going to be cool and damp, similar to a CAD, but the summer version. The GFS has low to mid 60's dewpoints coming down, and then saturates that air quickly. Many places would be in light rain Saturday morning with much cooler damp air, around 70 CAE, upper 60's upstate and western NC, even low to mid 60's for the mtns of NC Saturday morning with probably steady rain there. Won't that be nice! So both Friday and Saturday look much cooler and damp...even has low 70's for highs here Friday, during the middle part of the day, which would be nice. Usually the southwest corner of NC and extreme northeast GA does very well in this setup...with 2 inches of rain, maybe more in some spots. But any convection that can get going near the front will nearly train in Ga and SC I think closer to the boundary, but we can fine tune that later. The onshore flow in SC and GA should be enough to give a pretty widespread rain

NWS is calling for 88 on Friday and 87 on Saturday before returning to the 90's on Sunday. :sun: Even just for a couple of days, I'll enjoy the break from the 100/77 (HI 116) that we are currently experiencing.

It's sad that I look forward to 90 degree days :(

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It's sad that I look forward to 90 degree days :(

Same. Atleast there are some storms firing. One severe in Lexington/Saluda Co:

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC

206 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

WESTERN LEXINGTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

EASTERN SALUDA COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 159 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES

NORTH OF LEESVILLE...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF BATESBURG...AND MOVING

EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

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Same. Atleast there are some storms firing. One severe in Lexington/Saluda Co:

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC

206 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

WESTERN LEXINGTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

EASTERN SALUDA COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 159 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES

NORTH OF LEESVILLE...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF BATESBURG...AND MOVING

EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

Storm to my north and storm to my southeast. I can hear the thunder and welcome the slight breeze, but it doesn't look like it will rain imby dry.gif;)

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NWS is calling for 88 on Friday and 87 on Saturday before returning to the 90's on Sunday. :sun: Even just for a couple of days, I'll enjoy the break from the 100/77 (HI 116) that we are currently experiencing.

It's sad that I look forward to 90 degree days :(

That portal must be creaking pretty loudly about now :) Hope you've been good!

Amazing how much cooler you are down there than areas to your NE like Athens as your area is a normal hot spot being that you are south of Atlanta. I too don't mind heat waves busting low.

I know, and I can't account for it. Maybe it is payback for getting far less snow than some...re: Moto, and Lookout, lol. I've just now hit 92 at 2:50.

Edit: Ft. Pulaski, almost to the coast and with lots of water nearby is at a ridulously hot 94 F! It has a light SE wind preventing any seabreeze as of yet. By the way, the water temp. there at the river is 88 F.

Boat breeze, Larry, boat breeze. Time to get out on the water and rev up the dual v8's!! Tony

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Storm to my north and storm to my southeast. I can hear the thunder and welcome the slight breeze, but it doesn't look like it will rain imby dry.gif;)

Hopefully you can get a storm later on! Watching the storm to your north from the 18th floor here in Columbia and it is blowing up quick. A good bit of lightning starting to pop with it

post-2167-0-51223700-1310582855.jpg

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NWS is calling for 88 on Friday and 87 on Saturday before returning to the 90's on Sunday. :sun: Even just for a couple of days, I'll enjoy the break from the 100/77 (HI 116) that we are currently experiencing.

It's sad that I look forward to 90 degree days :(

I lived in Columbia for almost eight years, worked downtown (in the building with the forty-foot fire hydrant), and miss it a lot. Then I see "100/77 HI 116" and remember that I only miss it about eight months out of the year. :devilsmiley:

A positively temperate 95, HI 103, at Chapel Hill. Would love to get some relief in the Bull City tonight, our central-ACless house has been pretty miserable the past couple days. Our window units are fighting a losing battle.

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NWS is calling for 88 on Friday and 87 on Saturday before returning to the 90's on Sunday. :sun: Even just for a couple of days, I'll enjoy the break from the 100/77 (HI 116) that we are currently experiencing.

It's sad that I look forward to 90 degree days :(

Just seen those forecasts, and GSP has my county in low to mid 80's for Fri and Sat. Guess neither office buys the GFS rain. Really this will come down to how much and how widespread it is. If you miss the rain, which is possible, your temps will go to 80 and above (still have a hard time seeing CAE go upper 80's both days with extensive cloud cover though). The GFS looks pretty reasonable to me, but as always, I'm leery of rainfall anywhere in the area, until its showing on radar. But, yeah we've had this setup quite a few times, its not that uncommon in Summer. Usually the rain fields begin just north and west of CAE and gets extensive (but light) in Upstate and much of northern GA.

Just seen the ECMWF and it too has highs in 70's for northern GA on Friday and Saturday. A good chunk of central /north GA and western half of SC on Saturday staying in 75 degree range or so, after morning lows in 60's....not bad at all. Thats where it has the rain too. The ECMWF has most of the rain staying in SC and GA, not so much in NC except barely the southern tier. So basically where the rain is, is where the cooler air will be, and will blow the forecast highs badly in a CAD, especially early on if the GFS is right in its axis from sw NC, down the SAV river valley.

I'd take a blend now and cover most of northern 2/3 of GA, most of SC and southern and southwest NC in a good rain field with temps well below whats forecast. The GFS has done very well with CAD. The NAM is warmer and not as wet. The GFS if I recall predicted the mid June cool spell correctly days out, and no forecast really bought into it. Numerous record lows were set as mid 50s and even 40's.(this won't be nearly that much of a damming event however). Like I said, drawing where the rain sets up will determine who gets in the 80's and who stays in the 70's. CAE could go either way, but I'm leaning wetter and cooler right now.esp the further west and nw you go. The Euro makes a pretty good rain event for SC with this event on Fri/Sat.

Some GFS forecast temps:

post-38-0-56493600-1310584483.gif

post-38-0-53379000-1310584495.gif

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That portal must be creaking pretty loudly about now :)Hope you've been good!

Yep...it's now found the summertime groove :lol: I'm trying...but sometimes it's soooo hard :D

Hopefully you can get a storm later on! Watching the storm to your north from the 18th floor here in Columbia and it is blowing up quick. A good bit of lightning starting to pop with it

What a great view :thumbsup:

I lived in Columbia for almost eight years, worked downtown (in the building with the forty-foot fire hydrant), and miss it a lot. Then I see "100/77 HI 116" and remember that I only miss it about eight months out of the year. :devilsmiley:

A positively temperate 95, HI 103, at Chapel Hill. Would love to get some relief in the Bull City tonight, our central-ACless house has been pretty miserable the past couple days. Our window units are fighting a losing battle.

I only like it for about 6 wks out of the year :lol:

Just seen those forecasts, and GSP has my county in low to mid 80's for Fri and Sat. Guess neither office buys the GFS rain. Really this will come down to how much and how widespread it is. If you miss the rain, which is possible, your temps will go to 80 and above (still have a hard time seeing CAE go upper 80's both days with extensive cloud cover though). The GFS looks pretty reasonable to me, but as always, I'm leery of rainfall anywhere in the area, until its showing on radar. But, yeah we've had this setup quite a few times, its not that uncommon in Summer. Usually the rain fields begin just north and west of CAE and gets extensive (but light) in Upstate and much of northern GA.

Just seen the ECMWF and it too has highs in 70's for northern GA on Friday and Saturday. A good chunk of central /north GA and western half of SC on Saturday staying in 75 degree range or so, after morning lows in 60's....not bad at all. Thats where it has the rain too. The ECMWF has most of the rain staying in SC and GA, not so much in NC except barely the southern tier. So basically where the rain is, is where the cooler air will be, and will blow the forecast highs badly in a CAD, especially early on if the GFS is right in its axis from sw NC, down the SAV river valley.

I'd take a blend now and cover most of northern 2/3 of GA, most of SC and southern and southwest NC in a good rain field with temps well below whats forecast. The GFS has done very well with CAD. The NAM is warmer and not as wet. The GFS if I recall predicted the mid June cool spell correctly days out, and no forecast really bought into it. Numerous record lows were set as mid 50s and even 40's.(this won't be nearly that much of a damming event however). Like I said, drawing where the rain sets up will determine who gets in the 80's and who stays in the 70's. CAE could go either way, but I'm leaning wetter and cooler right now.esp the further west and nw you go. The Euro makes a pretty good rain event for SC with this event on Fri/Sat.

Some GFS forecast temps:

Yes it has and this gives me hope for some relief around here :wub:

don't like the looks of the ECMWF showing a major heat wave coming back in the 5 to 10 day outlook. It has low temps 85 or so in eastern NC and central /eastern VA right under the core heights and high temps over 105.

Wash, rinse, repeat :lol::sizzle:

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Nothing but heat in the donut hole of the radar....nothing around for miles......:arrowhead: 101 for the index....its actually been getting lower as the afternoon goes on....dewpt dropping....

Yep, I've only just hit 93, but no dark clouds yet. The big cloud tops all seem to be up beyond Atl. or back over Ala..from just looking around out there.

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