IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Looks like the probability of severe is small but there could be some stronger storms moving through later today with low pressure passing to our northwest. The HRRR has numerous storms moving through later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Looks like the probability of severe is small but there could be some stronger storms moving through later today with low pressure passing to our northwest. The HRRR has numerous storms moving through later today. I def agree that there is a legitimate threat for strong thunderstorms today, but as far as the severe storms we could get a few but I don't think were gonna slammed today with them.....winds look to be the real threat today with the storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Slight risk to our west now ..MID ATLANTIC AND SERN ATLANTIC STATES SATELLITE-DERIVED PW IMAGERY AND GPS PW DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY MOIST AIR MASS IN PLACE E OF THE APPALACHIANS. AND WHILE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE WEAKER THAN POINTS TO THE SW/W...ABUNDANT SUNSHINE SHOULD SUPPORT RAPID BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING WITH A RESULTANT STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPE INCREASING TO 1500-3000 J/KG. WEAK MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS COMBINED WITH HEATING ALONG THE HIGH TERRAIN AND CONVERGENCE ALONG LEE TROUGH AND DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS WILL FOSTER NUMEROUS TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL LIKELY CONGEAL INTO MULTIPLE CLUSTERS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Slight risk to our west now ..MID ATLANTIC AND SERN ATLANTIC STATES SATELLITE-DERIVED PW IMAGERY AND GPS PW DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY MOIST AIR MASS IN PLACE E OF THE APPALACHIANS. AND WHILE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE WEAKER THAN POINTS TO THE SW/W...ABUNDANT SUNSHINE SHOULD SUPPORT RAPID BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING WITH A RESULTANT STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPE INCREASING TO 1500-3000 J/KG. WEAK MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS COMBINED WITH HEATING ALONG THE HIGH TERRAIN AND CONVERGENCE ALONG LEE TROUGH AND DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS WILL FOSTER NUMEROUS TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL LIKELY CONGEAL INTO MULTIPLE CLUSTERS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. Not sure if I'm gonna ask this correctly though but does today actually give coastal areas a chance at some severe weather according to this statement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Where the hell is the rain? There's nothing out there anywhere! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 Where the hell is the rain? There's nothing out there anywhere! LOL the sun came out like an hour ago here. Nothing going on whatsoever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 some of the models have the convection overnight...just something to keep in mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 some of the models have the convection overnight...just something to keep in mind let's see if the line can hold together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 lets see what the 00z soundings show, the 12z was putrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 the MCS in ny/pa is going to be forced S/SE... mixed layer cape decreases rapidly east of the hudson, which is where the warm sector is going to pinch off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Forky hope you are right, would like to see the storms take a turn more towards the S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Curious to see if the line of storms makes it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Looks like the line will be north of the city and me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 the MCS in ny/pa is going to be forced S/SE... mixed layer cape decreases rapidly east of the hudson, which is where the warm sector is going to pinch off Nope , it's going north of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 storms scattered now over NE NJ..another one near staten island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Storm thats directly over brooklyn is 60+ DBZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Wow, I'm getting destroyed by a thunderstorm . Loud cracks of thunder with a lot of lightning. Also, torrential rain with gusty winds. The thunder woke me up.It sounded like a bomb went off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Incoming! Hear thunder off in the distance!!! woo I love night T-Storms mostly for the light show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Loud thunder startled me. Nice little cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 had a feeling the overnight would be the go time for this. the frontal timing sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 It's hardly even a "go time" two small cells on Long Island, one small line in PA thats dying and a couple of other small cells in S.NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 It's hardly even a "go time" two small cells on Long Island, one small line in PA thats dying and a couple of other small cells in S.NJ Wow some big boomers hitting here now with pounding rain and lots of lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Holy Smokes!!!! I heard 3 explosions and ran to see, storms really are much louder at night. O___O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Gun shot thunder here wow, scared the chit out of the dog, and woke up my girlfriend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 loud, crackling thunder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Maybe there's a new line about to pop up in NW NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Thunderstorm with heavy rain going on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 holy cow, strong t storms right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 It's hardly even a "go time" two small cells on Long Island, one small line in PA thats dying and a couple of other small cells in S.NJ I guess you haven't noticed how much lightning is with these cells, lol. Constant lightning down here with the cells in SJ, and going off lightning data, a ton up there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 60 dbz cell spiked right over my house and it poured. Looks like it pulsed back down but that was weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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