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What is the true Mass Balance, Antarctica and Greenland?


Clifford

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These doomsday graphs have been posted on the WWW for a while.

http://www.skeptical...ntermediate.htm

GRACE_2010.gif

http://www.nasa.gov/...ca_Melting.html

416685main_20100108_Climate_1.jpg

Assuming the accuracy of the charts, you would have to conclude that in 2002, both Antarctica and Greenland were gaining mass... a lot of mass.

Greenland was averaging gaining about 800 gigatons of ice a year in 2002, Antarctica was gaining about 400 gigatons of ice.

Around 2006, the mass balance of both continents turned negative.

Assuming that Antarctica and Greenland have been relatively in a balance of ice deposition/loss, then this short of a change would seem to indicate more of a temporary phase than a long-term climate change.

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These doomsday graphs have been posted on the WWW for a while.

http://www.skeptical...ntermediate.htm

GRACE_2010.gif

http://www.nasa.gov/...ca_Melting.html

416685main_20100108_Climate_1.jpg

Assuming the accuracy of the charts, you would have to conclude that in 2002, both Antarctica and Greenland were gaining mass... a lot of mass.

Greenland was averaging gaining about 800 gigatons of ice a year in 2002, Antarctica was gaining about 400 gigatons of ice.

Around 2006, the mass balance of both continents turned negative.

Assuming that Antarctica and Greenland have been relatively in a balance of ice deposition/loss, then this short of a change would seem to indicate more of a temporary phase than a long-term climate change.

Dumb dumb dumb dumb dumb!

Figure 1: Greenland ice mass anomaly - deviation from the average ice mass over the 2002 to 2010 period. Black line shows monthly values. Orange line shows long-term trend (John Wahr).

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These doomsday graphs have been posted on the WWW for a while.

Assuming the accuracy of the charts, you would have to conclude that in 2002, both Antarctica and Greenland were gaining mass... a lot of mass.

No, you wouldn't because the graphs are showing the ice loss anomaly compared to the average over the period 2002-2010. So that would be a rather ridiculous conclusion to draw.

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