BowMeHunter Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 does anyone happen to have the main link to the new 4km NAM that baro put up in one of the threads awhile back? This or no? http://www.emc.ncep....ll/nampll_nmmb/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 does anyone happen to have the main link to the new 4km NAM that baro put up in one of the threads awhile back? Have at it sir. Here is Ryan's main page: http://coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/weather/ Here is the CONUS 4 km NAM Simulated reflectivity. http://coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/extreme/nam/nam_cref_conus.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Though not always reliable/precise, the original point-and-click forecast was 83 both for here and at ORD. It hit 87 here and 86 with a possible intra-hour 87 at ORD. Actually ended up with a high of 88 here...and ORD did get the intra-hour bump to reach 87. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Friday, July 15th: Hi: 88F Lo: 67F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 8MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Hit 88 here today. So far we've only had 0.21" of rain in July. Only 0.67" since June 21st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Hit 88 here today. So far we've only had 0.21" of rain in July. Only 0.67" since June 21st. priming the heat pump for us.. If it wasn't for the inch of rain we picked up last monday i think it was the grass would be entering dormant stage. without watering now or rain it will soon be there anyways. Pretty much going to have to start watering every other day as our big ass lab pisses like a fire hose and there will be burned out spots fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 priming the heat pump for us.. If it wasn't for the inch of rain we picked up last monday i think it was the grass would be entering dormant stage. without watering now or rain it will soon be there anyways. Pretty much going to have to start watering every other day as our big ass lab pisses like a fire hose and there will be burned out spots fast. Yeah the lawns around here are pretty brown now. Only scattered patches of green mainly in areas that get a lot of shade. I haven't mowed in over 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 last time I mowed the lawn not the wife was back on july 1st before we went up north for the the 4th week. Needs a cutting now but i figured it might be better if i let it grow out instead of butching it. Probably cut it tomorrow and start the watering of the front yard at least every other day until the heat breaks or they say we can't use water for grass anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Wonder when the next time I'll see 4 days in a row of at or below normal like the last 4? Today's high was 81 (the avg) this AM before the lake breeze kicked in and dropped back in to the 70's. My guess is a long ass time unless we get a sept like last yr. Oct and Nov seem useless nowadays to get below normal months the past decade+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 hoping the GFS is right precip wise and is pretty generous with several ring of fire storm complexes in the upper midwest that dive southeastward and with the amount of instability that will be in place...they could get interesting. and immediately think of a clipper on steriods when I see this map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 hoping the GFS is right precip wise and is pretty generous with several ring of fire storm complexes in the upper midwest that dive southeastward and with the amount of instability that will be in place...they could get interesting. and immediately think of a clipper on steriods when I see this map Enjoy your foot plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 The models are hinting at another North to South MCS from Minnesota to LAF or STL or Memphis. we last saw this good of a setup for it in 2006 when we got clobbered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Wonder when the next time I'll see 4 days in a row of at or below normal like the last 4? Today's high was 81 (the avg) this AM before the lake breeze kicked in and dropped back in to the 70's. My guess is a long ass time unless we get a sept like last yr. Oct and Nov seem useless nowadays to get below normal months the past decade+. Another fall like 2007 would be nice.. I'd never thought we'd see diurnal cumulonimbus clouds (huge towers) daily in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 hoping the GFS is right precip wise and is pretty generous with several ring of fire storm complexes in the upper midwest that dive southeastward and with the amount of instability that will be in place...they could get interesting. The NAM, ECMWF, and several of the ARW/NMM SREF members show an MCS or two between Monday morning and Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 hoping the GFS is right precip wise and is pretty generous with several ring of fire storm complexes in the upper midwest that dive southeastward and with the amount of instability that will be in place...they could get interesting. and immediately think of a clipper on steriods when I see this map My goodness that would be nice; Bow would not have to worry about his lawn, and the heat would stay away if this is the case. Edit: I shouldn't say stay away, but at least it would take a bite out of any early week heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 The NAM took a step towards the GFS regarding more precip/MCS potential. NAM GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 The NAM took a step towards the GFS regarding more precip/MCS potential. NAM GFS If this holds, this could be what I'd call my quintessential dead of summer week; starting with rain-making MCS' and turning into crippling heat by Wednesday and Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Ugly Nice map! IMHO model sites should include the forecast heat index in their panels. Not sure why they haven't been up to this point, as everyone is interested in what the heat index will be in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyrys Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Our latest deluge is just going to make it even more uncomfortable. Farmers lost some crops with this latest rain, and many fields have standing water now. This is after the late planting with corn noticeably behind for this time of year(a few spots with only 2-3 feet of growth). Currently running a 75 degree dewpoint.at Flying Cloud.with a forecast of 97, 97, 94, 94, and 91 for the next five days. That would be more tolerable if the nights would get below 75, but they won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Awesome weather...it's July and it should be hot as a motherfook and about time. Nice monster ridge taste good no? Beats troughs and crappy nw flows of gloom and suicidal weather any day. Winter you expect that and roll with it but this is some pretty wild heat though expected, sure has signs of a nina comeback for winter. So good news for summer lovers and great news hopefully for winter lovers. Stay safe though and keep those bird baths full and fresh, dry out there gotta help out nature this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 The 18z GFS moves an MCS in overnight Sunday into Monday, and just has it hanging around SE Wisconsin all day Monday. Enough to give us a good inch to inch and a half, hopefully in the form of thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Saturday, July 16th: Hi: 88F Lo: 70F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 9MPH Rainfall: Trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 0z GFS showing a small area in northeast IA/southwest WI of 85 degree dew points, prob overdone but still very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Baum enough with this posting like this, no one wants to see your trolling and insults of people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Baum enough with this posting like this, no one wants to see your trolling and insults of people. Apologies. Have done neither. Have called out my local forecast office forecast calls and taken issue with those I feel hoping for severe weather and general hardship on people. Will continue to do so. I am taking charge of the kiddie brigade.....btw...next 7 days looks hot in the Midwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 guess these maps help explain one reason why there have been more extreme hot days (in SE MI) this year so far than last year? First one is precip from june 2011 and the second June 2010. NWS Detroit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Today is the 15 year anniversary of 16.91" in Aurora which broke the Illinois state record for most rain in 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Today is the 15 year anniversary of 16.91" in Aurora which broke the Illinois state record for most rain in 24 hours. an absolutely epic event, thanks for the reminder of just how extreme things can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Just to show how dry it has been as of late...in some areas precip is less than 25% of normal over the past 30 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 prob not a bad thing were surrounded by areas to the west and south that are way above avg precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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