SpartyOn Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 DTX going with 100s for the general area next week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 DTX going with 100s for the general area next week.. Nope: DTX TEMPERATURES MAY HAVETHE POTENTIAL TO INCREASE FURTHER BY MID TO LATE WEEK AS DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DRAW ON A SUBSTANTIAL UPSTREAM POOL OF H85 TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S C AND SURFACE TEMPS IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S OVER THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY...SO WENT AHEAD AND TRENDED TEMPERATURES UPWARD A FEW DEGREES TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WHICH WAS THE PRIMARY CHANGE FOR THIS ISSUANCE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 Nope: DTX Yeah, most offices in the Great Lakes seem to be downplaying the potential, at least on their grids, generally going with low 90s. Maybe that's more in line with the rest of guidance, or maybe they're just being conservative. I will say that if next weeks highs are in the low 90s, that is not a heat wave, as that is generally 5 to maybe close to 10 degrees above normal, but nothing way out of character for mid July. If we're talking upper 90s to 100, then you can call it a heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 Nope: DTX What do u mean nope? General area meaning exactly what's in bold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 mmmm toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 Picked a great week to go up to the Lake. Torch lake mi FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 Breeze actually has a hint of fall in it today.. Need some westerly winds to blow this toilet bowl warm water towards the Detoilet side to get the salmon in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 Breeze actually has a hint of fall in it today.. Need some westerly winds to blow this toilet bowl warm water towards the Detoilet side to get the salmon in.. Love your avitar~ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 Wonder with this ramp of heat and drier weather if this isn't the makings of another nina possibly? I can certainly see this warmer and drier pattern running well through fall possibly even into winter for some areas. The monthly euro really likes the idea of a toasty and dry fall. Another nina..wow that would be something, could be some fun times this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Wonder with this ramp of heat and drier weather if this isn't the makings of another nina possibly? I can certainly see this warmer and drier pattern running well through fall possibly even into winter for some areas. The monthly euro really likes the idea of a toasty and dry fall. Another nina..wow that would be something, could be some fun times this winter. Nina, or at least the cold side of neutral is favored this winter just based on past history. Not too many examples of a Nina as strong as last winter becoming a Nino the following winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Not looking forward to the heat wave.... GFS made me cry... No relief until the 25th of the month? Hopefully that's not right. And then it's back to it by the 28th. I can't wait until October.... seriously. Hopefully we can get a nice and cool August as a reward for this more than likely to be miserably hot July.. Wouldn't mind a few Tropical remnants either just to keep things interesting. Beautiful day today though, only made it to up 74 a O'hare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 GFS has a bit of a high dewpoint bias, especially in the extended...well as far as my local research is involved anyway. Granted it's going to be sticky...and hot, but I doubt we'll be seeing days and days of 85º dewpoints. At least I hope not. Multiple days of low 80 or at least near 80 degree dews appear likely, but mid 80's are really tough to get unless you're right in the center of a corn field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Multiple days of low 80 or at least near 80 degree dews appear likely, but mid 80's are really tough to get unless you're right in the center of a corn field. Well yeah it's going to be hot and humid, but my point remains that the GFS overdoes dewpoints in the extended (post 168 hours). I've seen it many times when looking at the LAF numbers. Regardless, the heat being shown by the models is something else. Been a long time since we've seen the intensity and longevity up here. Chad wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 The high of 74 today at ORD breaks the streak of 80+ days, which is 17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Well yeah it's going to be hot and humid, but my point remains that the GFS overdoes dewpoints in the extended (post 168 hours). I've seen it many times when looking at the LAF numbers. Regardless, the heat being shown by the models is something else. Been a long time since we've seen the intensity and longevity up here. Chad wins. It'd be something if our summer departure ends up even within a few degrees of his outlandish call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 It'd be something if our summer departure ends up even within a few degrees of his outlandish call. Well the departures for LAF are all messed up, so who really knows? Using the WL COOP for normals (cold biased, especially with nighttime lows) and LAF for the actual numbers is a bad mix. Probably going to have just judge it off the overall JJA avg temp. Who knows, maybe we will get to 80? June was fairly tame, but July looks like it'll have a big number. It'll all come to down August me thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 I really don't see how you will get really high dewpoints with that kind of ridge. I would think it would suck most of the moisture out of the air. Factor in the drought areas and I kinda doubt the "crazy crazy" dewpoints as well.. Still gonna be muggy as hell though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 BTW, tonight is freakin' gorgeous outside. Really all of today was nice. Why can't they all be like this in summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 I really don't see how you will get really high dewpoints with that kind of ridge. I would think it would suck most of the moisture out of the air. If mixing isn't strong/deep, it's not gonna be difficult to realize high dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 BTW, tonight is freakin' gorgeous outside. Really all of today was nice. Why can't they all be like this in summer? Enjoy it while it lasts. The upcoming period is all about the will to survive lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 I really don't see how you will get really high dewpoints with that kind of ridge. I would think it would suck most of the moisture out of the air. If mixing isn't strong/deep, it's not gonna be difficult to realize high dewpoints. Especially with the evapotranspiration at this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Enjoy it while it lasts. The upcoming period is all about the will to survive lol Hilarious. But really, enjoy your upcoming heat and humidity... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Just look up a old winter storm thread, or past reanalysis. Heck, I like looking at old maps of the January 1918 blizzard lol. Lots of AC...and pool time when it allows. I'm just not a fan. I really feel bad for the people who have to work outside in the extreme heat/humidity. My dad worked outside (construction) for 35+ years. I saw what 1988 did to the man. It wasn't pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Hilarious. But really, enjoy your upcoming heat and humidity... Might as well cash in on as many 80 degree dewpoints as possible. Multiple days of 80>>multiple days of 78 even though there's no real sensible difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Might as well cash in on as many 80 degree dewpoints as possible. Multiple days of 80>>multiple days of 78 even though there's no real sensible difference. I hope you fail in your pursuit of multiple 80º+ dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 I hope you fail in your pursuit of multiple 80º+ dewpoints. What we really need is 100 since neither of us have experienced it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 *W*O*W* Can you imagine the GFS verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 *W*O*W* Can you imagine the GFS verifying. Hows the Euro look for your area Jk... Enjoy your upcoming heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Hows the Euro look for your area Jk... Enjoy your upcoming heat. lol, even the EURO's decent. I certainly will. This looks to be the most persistent heat ridge we've had in this region of the country for a while now (most of them lately have been too passive for my liking). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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