Stebo Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Yeah, well if I lived in a severe wx tinderbox like you I'd probably say the same thing. Let's at least fast forward to August. Maybe get a couple of tropical depression to come up through the OV. Anything besides sunny, 80, and moderate humidity day after freaking day. Agree, boring weather is boring for observers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Euro looks nasty hot in the extended. Huge 594+ ridge swallowing the entire central US from the Dakotas to Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Winter can wait a while. once we hit september, bring it! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Euro looks nasty hot in the extended. Huge 594+ ridge swallowing the entire central US from the Dakotas to Texas. Toasty. Looks like this July wants to be warmer than July '10...here at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 once we hit september, bring it! lol That's usually about when I start looking forward to it. I wouldn't want to skip Fall though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 once we hit september, bring it! lol If we're in a warm September pattern with 80's/90's, no. If it's a cool pattern with 60's/70's, then yes. Don't get me wrong though, if we can manage and 80 or two in October and a 70 or two in November, i'll take it...especially since the only direction is down from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 If we're in a warm September pattern with 80's/90's, no. If it's a cool pattern with 60's/70's, then yes. Don't get me wrong though, if we can manage and 80 or two in October and a 70 or two in November, i'll take it...especially since the only direction is down from there. Agree, because normally days like those come with severe storm action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 If we're in a warm September pattern with 80's/90's, no. If it's a cool pattern with 60's/70's, then yes. Don't get me wrong though, if we can manage and 80 or two in October and a 70 or two in November, i'll take it...especially since the only direction is down from there. Agree, because normally days like those come with severe storm action. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Euro looks nasty hot in the extended. Huge 594+ ridge swallowing the entire central US from the Dakotas to Texas. I wonder if there could be some derechos near the canadian border in the northern plains then diving SE in the Great Lakes in that depicted pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted July 10, 2011 Author Share Posted July 10, 2011 Since May 29, at TOL, just 0.56" of rain has fallen. Normal for that six week period is 5.04". The average high for that period has been 84.5, compared to a normal of 80.0, and the average low 60.5, compared to a normal of 58.6. 14 days have been at or above 90 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Since May 29, at TOL, just 0.56" of rain has fallen. Normal for that six week period is 5.04". The average high for that period has been 84.5, compared to a normal of 80.0, and the average low 60.5, compared to a normal of 58.6. 14 days have been at or above 90 degrees. Not a drop of rain so far this month. On the bright side, the Euro is showing a few rain chances in the next week here. Hopefully some good storms can make it to NWOH... we need the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Nice gravity waves showing up in south-central Iowa just south of the weak cluster of showers and thunderstorms. Already 86/72 here. It's already 101 (at 10am ob) at Hutchinson Kansas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Nice write up from ILX about the July 1936 heat wave. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ilx/?n=july1936heat Some of the records from the summer of 1936 that still stand:Springfield: 4 of its 10 hottest days on record occurred during July 1936, including an all-time high of 110 degrees on the 14th (which was later broken on July 14, 1954, with a high of 112). Highs reached at least 100 degrees on 29 different days that year, including a record 12 consecutive days from July 4-15th. In comparison, no 100 degree days have been observed in the last 15 years. Low temperatures were in excess of 80 degrees nearly every day from the 7-14th. July 13th and 14th, as well as the 26th, had lows of only 84 degrees. These were the hottest nights on record in Springfield. The Weather Bureau climate summary for that month reported that 30 people in Springfield died directly from the heat, and was a contributing factor in 20 other deaths. Peoria: 5 of the 6 hottest days on record in Peoria occurred from July 11-15th. The all-time high of 113 degrees was reported on the 15th, and broke the previous all-time record by 6 degrees. There were 23 days in 1936 which reported highs of 100 degrees or higher. This includes 14 consecutive days from the 4th through the 17th. The monthly mean temperature of 84.3 degrees was 3 degrees higher than any other month on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 12z NAM still throwing up an 80º dewpoint for LAF tomorrow. Hoosier will be pleased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 As of 11:52AM, OKC at 100. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 12z NAM still throwing up an 80º dewpoint for LAF tomorrow. Hoosier will be pleased. While the extent is likely overdone, having this large of an area with dewpoints of 80-85 probably means that there will at least be some spotty 80 degree readings. Even MOS is spitting out 79 for us which is pretty impressive. My predictions for tomorrow are a high of 93 and dewpoint of 80, although not necessarily occurring at the same time. Wouldn't be surprised if it gets a little warmer but have enough concern over debris clouds and possible convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 While the extent is likely overdone, having this large of an area with dewpoints of 80-85 probably means that there will at least be some spotty 80 degree readings. Even MOS is spitting out 79 for us which is pretty impressive. My predictions for tomorrow are a high of 93 and dewpoint of 80, although not necessarily occurring at the same time. Wouldn't be surprised if it gets a little warmer but have enough concern over debris clouds and possible convection. I'll go with 92/81 as the high/dew maxes tomorrow (not at the same time), and a peak HI of 105. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 I'll go with 92/81 as the high/dew maxes tomorrow (not at the same time), and a peak HI of 105. I plugged 93/80 into the heat index formula and that comes out to 112. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 I plugged 93/80 into the heat index formula and that comes out to 112. That would suck. I know you don't "want" to hear it, but I'm pulling for convection/cloud debris to ruin the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Sweltering at 91/74 here already. Heat index just cracked 100. Really not that much warmer than the past several days, but the humidity has really jumped up today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 That would suck. I know you don't "want" to hear it, but I'm pulling for convection/cloud debris to ruin the day. I always want to get it right but part of me would like to see extensive clouds and temps struggling to get through the 80's. I like running outdoors and don't like changing my habits due to heat. Tomorrow is one of those days where you need to have heightened awareness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 HA!!! Day 2 Outlook is a hoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 HA!!! Day 2 Outlook is a hoot. Pretty substantial shift in the slight risk from the previous outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 I always want to get it right but part of me would like to see extensive clouds and temps struggling to get through the 80's. I like running outdoors and don't like changing my habits due to heat. Tomorrow is one of those days where you need to have heightened awareness. Well I won't be playing golf tomorrow...not that it's a strenuous exercise or anything. Too hot/sticky for this guy. But it is what it is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Pretty substantial shift in the slight risk from the previous outlook. After looking at the model runs in the long range and this system, I just hope things don't play out like July 2010 (center of ridge sets up to the SW and our highs are stunted in the mid-upper 80s with cloud debris galore while you guys-southward bask in the heat and keep getting raked consistently with severe weather). That would be a huge disappointment, not that I want you guys down there to get anything really bad or that I'm wishing that you miss out on it, but it's been pretty boring up this way with the exception of July 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 It's the outer period of the RUC but the latest run has 850 mb temps of 27C into western IL at 9z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Pretty substantial shift in the slight risk from the previous outlook. Very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Very nice. I'm still kinda concerned about capping, especially if temps in the 850-700 mb layer are underdone, but anything that goes will be worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 I'm still kinda concerned about capping, especially if temps in the 850-700 mb layer are underdone, but anything that goes will be worth watching. Yep no doubt a concern. We'll see, but the potential is there at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 It's the outer period of the RUC but the latest run has 850 mb temps of 27C into western IL at 9z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.