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July 2011 general discussion/obs thread


OHSnow

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What is it with DTW being the hottest temp in the area SO often lately? Even hotter than City Airport on most days. You dont think theres anything wrong with the temp sensor, do you? I know with first order stations things like that are checked out and stuff, it just seems a bit funny.

Slight downsloping to there west.

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About as nice of a 4th of July as you can get around here. Deep blue skies, and warm but tolerable temps. Perfect for swimming/grilling out etc.

Looks like the quiet weather we've had around here for the last week or so will continue for at least another week or so. Probably get pretty active again by next week though.

From DVN...

THU-SUN... CONTINUE SIDING TOWARD MORE CONSISTENT/STABLE ECMWF AND UKMET MODELS WHICH OFFER SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER SCENARIO LATE WEEK... WITH AREA LARGELY INFLUENCED BY GREAT LAKES RIDGING. DEEPER MOISTURE WILL RESIDE WELL TO OUR WEST AND SOUTH ALONG WITH EDGE OF HEAT DOME AND RESULTANT BAROCLINIC ZONE... THUS ACTIVE PCPN ZONES FROM NORTHERN PLAINS TO LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. IN TIME OVER THE WEEKEND... THE HIGH IS SHOWN TO RETREAT ALLOWING HEAT TO BUILD TOWARD AREA WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY PCPN THREAT WITH CWA IN/NEAR EVOLVING RING OF FIRE PATTERN TOWARD END OF PERIOD AND IMMEDIATELY BEYOND. ..MCCLURE..

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What is it with DTW being the hottest temp in the area SO often lately? Even hotter than City Airport on most days. You dont think theres anything wrong with the temp sensor, do you? I know with first order stations things like that are checked out and stuff, it just seems a bit funny.

Lake St. Clair.

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Looks like a lot of upper 80's/low 90's coming up here over the next week to 10 days, which would be a bit above average.

It should be much hotter than that if the full potential is realized (and if it verifies). The fact that the pattern is sort of stagnant and drying out ahead of it helps too, latent heat.

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Enjoy. :thumbsup: Lake Orion's got postponed until July 9th because they lit one of the barges they set the fireworks off of on fire last night. :arrowhead:

That happened one year before I was born for the algonac fireworks. I bet that woulda been one hell of a blast seeing all the fireworks go off at once.

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It should be much hotter than that if the full potential is realized (and if it verifies). The fact that the pattern is sort of stagnant and drying out ahead of it helps too, latent heat.

I'm not ruling out a warmer day or 2 thrown in but I don't see sustained temperatures above low 90's around here at least.

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lol at DVN, I guess no shame in mentioning it..

FORCING AND THERMODYNAMIC PROGS BY THE LATEST 12Z

RUN ECMWF EVEN SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR A BOWING SEVERE MCS OR

DERECHO TYPE EVENT NEXT MONDAY EVENING ACRS THE NORTH HALF OF IA.

Hahaha. Yeah a couple of their discussions lately you can tell they're a bit bored with the current weather pattern.

Made it to 87 here today with the dews generally staying in the 50s. I was up at the track a little while ago and a little dust devil kicked up right on the track and moved over the grass where the football field is. You could actually hear the wind whirling in the grass as it was picking up leaves quite violently and spewing it out high above the ground. Very cool. First vortex I've seen in over a month lol.

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That happened one year before I was born for the algonac fireworks. I bet that woulda been one hell of a blast seeing all the fireworks go off at once.

Yeah somehow they caught it before that happened but due to that and other technical difficulties they just postponed. I'm sure it had something to do with the storms (Downtown Lake Orion had 60 mph winds, penny sized hail, and loss of electricity).

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Smoke from Fourth of the July fireworks reported at Midway, reducing visibilities to 4 statute miles and producing a few clouds of smoke at 200 feet above the surface.

METAR KMDW 050351Z 12003KT 4SM FU FEW002 25/12 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP142 FU FEW002 T02500117 $

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Lol

Well, the localized SE Michigan / NW Ohio region torch should continue unabated. You guys have been running warmer than the rest of the Midwest and that looks to continue for the foreseeable future. Looks like a good chance of 90 or better there today, and probably close to 90 tomorrow.

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Well, the localized SE Michigan / NW Ohio region torch should continue unabated. You guys have been running warmer than the rest of the Midwest and that looks to continue for the foreseeable future. Looks like a good chance of 90 or better there today, and probably close to 90 tomorrow.

Actually, now that I look at the numbers, it's been pretty hot in Chicago too. So if the status quo means +7 departures, I'd shutter to think what "real heat" would feel like.

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And your point is?? I was talking about the "status quo" and the general temps so far throughout the month of June and now.. Even on that map where is the +7 that Ytterbummm was talking about??

The last month---30dTDeptUS.png

So far in July, ORD is +7.1. MKE is +5.8. We're not in a "status quo" pattern.

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So far in July, ORD is +7.1. MKE is +5.8. We're not in a "status quo" pattern.

That was my point. It obviously depends on what your definition of "status quo" is and I took the comment to refer only to weather the past several days -- because the weather prior to that was markedly different, so how could that be "status quo." And looking at the projected pattern, it looks generally a little bit above normal for the foreseeable future (with only a chance for a couple of normal or slightly below days). So the way I took the comment was that the next week or two would feature a weather pattern similar to the one that has been in place since late June. And that pattern has produced temps around 7 degrees above normal in Chicago and Detroit through the first 4 days of the month (and today looks like more of the same with highs around 90/low 90s likely in both of those cities). But BeastfromtheEast never misses an opportunity to troll me.

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