Typhoon Tip Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 But there is also no coincidence that during the last 2 years of -NAO influence...we've had no East Coast landfalls. I think this discussion sub-thread is split, Scott - I don't have an opinion about which indice is best of EC impacts, although I did make that post awhile ago. I could argue for either veraciously, actually. What Ginx was and I were discussing is whether the frequency of recurving hurricanes leads any tendency for ensuing cold season NAO modes, following from Hart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 I'll have to reload my maps...I didn't realize the ESRL links would die after like an hour....sorry about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 But there is also no coincidence that during the last 2 years of -NAO influence...we've had no East Coast landfalls. I'm not sure Earl qualified for a landfall or not with the outer eyewall brushing NC, however the center did make landfall in NS. Not scientifically , but to me it would argue the pattern was somewhat favorable for a TC landfall on the EC. That may be somewhat anecdotal, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 boy the 12z GFS (op) really wants to drive up the NAO domain, we ridge out from D9 to 15 on this and bake - heh, when have we seen that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 BDL put up a -1 yesterday to finish the month of June at 0.0 So of the 4 major climo sites at in KBOX CWA, 0 of them finished above average. The other 3 were: BOS: -0.9 ORH: -0.1 PVD: -0.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 BDL put up a -1 yesterday to finish the month of June at 0.0 So of the 4 major climo sites at in KBOX CWA, 0 of them finished above average. TOOOOOOORRRRCCCHHHH!!!! fail again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 BDL put up a -1 yesterday to finish the month of June at 0.0 So of the 4 major climo sites at in KBOX CWA, 0 of them finished above average. The other 3 were: BOS: -0.9 ORH: -0.1 PVD: -0.2 Not that this about me ...but, when "I" brought this up last week I was talking more about the sensible affect vs the numbers, and how they don't match. The sensible memory is that June was quite about colder - to me anyway. Those numbers are still a good bit warmer than all those suffered cold times. The thing is, the overnight lows may have been above normal during some of the cool stretches too - there's that, and how that can skew the "affect" of it. These fractions of a single F degree mean less than the memory of a stolen month. Although, the last 4 days have been back to back pretty fantastic. Now, if the extended GFS works out ...look out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 Also, another thing: surface pressure patterns in Sept. associated with +NAOs and -NAOs of greater than 1 standard deviation from the mean. -NAO: +NAO: While highs with +NAOs are stronger, especially over the Azores, the is a noticeable weakness off the US East Coast in +NAO regimes. -NAO highs are weaker overall...but are stretched more favorably east-to-west and are associated with more overall US landfalls. The most favorable pattern for a New England strike IMO would be an overall -NAO summer with a transient +NAO regime as the hurricane gets closer to the US East Coast. Interesting post ... it may have to do with R-wave lengths being shorter during warm seasons, such tha ta +NAO should have a different correlation on the EC pattern July - October perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 I'm not sure why people want blistering heat. LOL This period coming up through the middle of next week looks like perfectly fine summer wx... 80s across hte board for most of you low landers and coastal-ites. I guess 95-100 is more comfortable than 85 ehh... Not that this about me ...but, when "I" brought this up last week I was talking more about the sensible affect vs the numbers, and how they don't match. The sensible memory is that June was quite about colder - to me anyway. Those numbers are still a good bit warmer than all those suffered cold times. The thing is, the overnight lows may have been above normal during some of the cool stretches too - there's that, and how that can skew the "affect" of it. These fractions of a single F degree mean less than the memory of a stolen month. Although, the last 4 days have been back to back pretty fantastic. Now, if the extended GFS works out ...look out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 Later next week best shot for severe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 Later next week best shot for severe? Who the hell cares? The last 6 days have been perfect, then next ten will be too, get out, go to the beach, mountains, do something, enjoy the weather!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 BDR +1.5 for June 24 days partly sunny to sunny What a difference from the hell that the rest of new england endured. 3rd month in a row above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 23 days until the average high starts dropping again!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 We're losing 36 seconds of daylight today. Beginning on the 7th we lose at least one minute a day, then on the 28th we begin to lose two minutes or more per day. 23 days until the average high starts dropping again!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 Maybe some QS soakers with some flash flooding on Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 81 sunny let the party begin, have a great 4th everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 We're losing 36 seconds of daylight today. Beginning on the 7th we lose at least one minute a day, then on the 28th we begin to lose two minutes or more per day. Darkness...blissful darkness... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 1, 2011 Author Share Posted July 1, 2011 TORCH!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 Darkness...blissful darkness... This is a very depressing post. Xanax? Get out there and enjoy this wonderful weather David! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 TORCH!! How was the eye candy today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 This is a very depressing post. Xanax? Get out there and enjoy this wonderful weather David! lol... I was outside most of the day....minigolf, bumperboats, mowing the yard, walking, hanging out with the kids at our pool (still too cold for me) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 lol... I was outside most of the day....minigolf, bumperboats, mowing the yard, walking, hanging out with the kids at our pool (still too cold for me) :thumbsup:Time to fire up the grill! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 Who the hell cares? The last 6 days have been perfect, then next ten will be too, get out, go to the beach, mountains, do something, enjoy the weather!! eh..what if I just want to stay inside? Is that okay? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 eh..what if I just want to stay inside? Is that okay? lol Meh, its kind of like the person that bitches about the President, but never votes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 We just had a brief shower pass through... all gone bye bye now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 1, 2011 Author Share Posted July 1, 2011 How was the eye candy today? Boobs boobs azz azz everywhere. Floppy ones, big ones, little ones..azz with back..azz with no back...Simply heaven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 Boobs boobs azz azz everywhere. Floppy ones, big ones, little ones..azz with back..azz with no back...Simply heaven Your objectification of women is quite regressive. You should apologize to all women. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 1, 2011 Author Share Posted July 1, 2011 Your objectification of women is quite regressive. You should apologize to all women. Instead of having 2 children out of wedlock, you should get married and stop fearing commitment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 Nothing worse than waking up with sun streaming in your window at 5:30 AM. lol... I was outside most of the day....minigolf, bumperboats, mowing the yard, walking, hanging out with the kids at our pool (still too cold for me) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted July 1, 2011 Share Posted July 1, 2011 66/52, a high of 70 (68 @ 2K) a nice refreshing morning low of 46. Just a spectacular day today. I hope everyone has an awesome 4th of July weekend. We are all so very fortunate to live in the good ol' USA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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