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July 4th Holiday weekend wx


Damage In Tolland

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laugh.gif @ 40s for a low tonight (probably 56-57 here)

laugh.gif @ a cool summer pattern (today was average, 5/7 of the next 7 days are forecasted to be above, 2 normal)

Another great summer day; comfortable enough for activity but hot enough for swimming with the high of 79. Looks like mostly mid-80s with a few days warmer and a few cooler, perfect swimming weather-of course- except for Pete, who will have cool brisk 70s and will have to wear a sweatshirt on the porch for dinner. Just thought I'd put that in before he responded with "no 80s here". thumbsupsmileyanim.gif

Already 59F here... probably won't see 49, but it will be low 50s to be sure.

Closing some windows, feety pajamas on.

Enjoying vacation? Hope you are working...ha ha!

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Already 59F here... probably won't see 49, but it will be low 50s to be sure.

Closing some windows, feety pajamas on.

Enjoying vacation? Hope you are working...ha ha!

Trying to decide on A/C or not here tongue.gif

And I have a job but I get like two short shifts a week so that doesn't help me out too much.

69/52 here...geez you cool off fast.

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Trying to decide on A/C or not here tongue.gif

And I have a job but I get like two short shifts a week so that doesn't help me out too much.

69/52 here...geez you cool off fast.

Unfortunately my pool is still way to cold for me to go in... and this weekend does not look very warm here either. Sat - low to mid 80s, Sun upper 70s, Mon low 80s...

I want some heat dammit!

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Unfortunately my pool is still way to cold for me to go in... and this weekend does not look very warm here either. Sat - low to mid 80s, Sun upper 70s, Mon low 80s...

I want some heat dammit!

Who are you? laugh.gif

But even when there's a heat wave 90,91,92 in Boston it can commonly be mid 80s for you. You're 10F cooler then me now! That makes a huge difference for pools. I think ours is 75-76 which is cool but usable.

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Lol, a little chilly here for you nudists. Have a great time up in NH. I've been getting stuck behind tourists here lately. When people are lost they forget there are other drivers on the road. Sometimes I wish the Tundra came with the surface to surface missile package.

Ditto...I'm tired of those obnoxious NY and NJ tagged cars that feel as if they own the whole road. gun_bandana.gif

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Ditto...I'm tired of those obnoxious NY and NJ tagged cars that feel as if they own the whole road. gun_bandana.gif

You've got it far worse. RT7 from Lee to Pittsfield is now unbearable. Yesterday I was behind a car with NJ plates that literally was straddling the yellow line, going 25 mph with the occupants pointing to either side of the car. Not sure if they were lost or just had never seen trees before. They definitely would have been the recipient of a hellfire missile if I had one on board. Cityiots.

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loving the td of 47! perfect fo work...yesterday, at 730am as i was waiting at the staging area at the Higgins Armory in Worcester, there was a nice brisk breeze and i had goose bumps! yesterday was absolutley perfect...i hope today is a repeat!

gearing up for a 4th of July cookout...food, family, fun, swimming...lawn games! gotta go get the badminton net ready!!! hope you all have a fun, happy, and injury free holiday! :)

enjoy!!!

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I just did some quick research on NAOs and US East Coast hurricane landfalls. The landfalls were SC to ME landfalls in the 1950-2011 period from HURDAT. The monthly NAO means were taken from CPC.

11 of 30 landfall months featured -NAOs

19 of 30 landfall months featured +NAOs

The mean NAO for landfall months was 0.33. The mean NAO for non-landfall summer months was -0.15.

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I just did some quick research on NAOs and US East Coast hurricane landfalls. The landfalls were SC to ME landfalls in the 1950-2011 period from HURDAT. The monthly NAO means were taken from CPC.

11 of 30 landfall months featured -NAOs

19 of 30 landfall months featured +NAOs

The mean NAO for landfall months was 0.33. The mean NAO for non-landfall summer months was -0.15.

Nice work. Good to have a resident Tropical Expert. smile.gif

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I think part of the reason the signal is not very strong in the NAO is that wave lengths are short in the summer and Icelandic-Azorian anomalies are not capturing the high latitude blocking. A west based NAO index would capture the pattern better IMO. I plotted a sea level pressure anomaly for Sept. landfalls...and significantly lower than normal sea level pressures show up over Greenland with slightly higher than normal pressures over Nova Scotia/Labrador.

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Also, another thing:

surface pressure patterns in Sept. associated with +NAOs and -NAOs of greater than 1 standard deviation from the mean.

-NAO:

24.62.18.251.181.6.3.22.png

+NAO:

24.62.18.251.181.6.5.51.png

While highs with +NAOs are stronger, especially over the Azores, the is a noticeable weakness off the US East Coast in +NAO regimes. -NAO highs are weaker overall...but are stretched more favorably east-to-west and are associated with more overall US landfalls. The most favorable pattern for a New England strike IMO would be an overall -NAO summer with a transient +NAO regime as the hurricane gets closer to the US East Coast.

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So apparently the bear thats been reported in the area was spotted on the street outside our subdivision. This bear has gone from Attleboro all the way over to East Taunton now.

There was a bear family (mom and two cubs) wandering the grassy ski slopes on Monday... bummed I couldn't get a picture of them but we were watching them from mountain operations with binoculars. There were some hikers in the area and we were just waiting for one of them to get between the mom and cubs, haha.

Two weeks ago a woman was attacked on her back deck east of here in Vermont's "bear corridor" when she stepped between the mom and cubs without knowing it. She was trying to get them to stop scratching her windows and the mom freaked out.

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