bluewave Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 After the weekend warm up,the models are hinting that the next warming will come as a result of the Atlantic Ridge building back toward the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 After the weekend warm up,the models are hinting that the next warming will come as a result of the Atlantic Ridge building back toward the coast. Thanks Bluewave. I always enjoy your posts and images. I was noticing that on the gfs runs from yesterday. This by no means looks like a cool or below normal pattern, rather an overall warm one with only clouds producing below normal departures. I think we will see shots of heat balanced by some near normal days with heat retuning in longer spurts through the middle of July. Currently guidance doesnt hint at any prolonged heat, but I could see the Atlantic ridge building back in on/around 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 well, if we follow this logic, then there is no point in having any weather discussions or posting any maps since in theory everything can be looked at for ourselves. You are probably just messing with AG3, but on the off chance you are not, please go back and mock all the dgex images and the "off-hour" runs of the gfs that earthlight and others post when they show warmth. Best post of the warm season thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 27, 2011 Author Share Posted June 27, 2011 the euro is awesome especially in the long range. that being said it's a good ways out. there's still a good chance of 2-3 days in the mid or possibly upper 90s in the shorter term. wish you guys luck with that. hopefully it's got the right idea in the long range too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 the euro is awesome especially in the long range. that being said it's a good ways out. there's still a good chance of 2-3 days in the mid or possibly upper 90s in the shorter term. wish you guys luck with that. hopefully it's got the right idea in the long range too. there is nothing awesome about upper 90's unless you live in a swimming pool. For those of us that actually have jobs it sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 27, 2011 Author Share Posted June 27, 2011 there is nothing awesome about upper 90's unless you live in a swimming pool. For those of us that actually have jobs it sucks. i work too man, i have to live just like everybody else. i just happen to love the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 12Z run of the GFS continues to say no-go on any true heat waves and brings the troughiness back in pretty good after the fleeting heat. And by the way, I think this was well covered during the winter by the NCEP guys who post here, there is very little statistical difference in the four runs of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 there is nothing awesome about upper 90's unless you live in a swimming pool. For those of us that actually have jobs it sucks. A true wx fanatic enjoys all extremes, big heat included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 12Z run of the GFS continues to say no-go on any true heat waves and brings the troughiness back in pretty good after the fleeting heat. And by the way, I think this was well covered during the winter by the NCEP guys who post here, there is very little statistical difference in the four runs of the GFS. Hoping for the euro to follow suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 Thanks Bluewave. I always enjoy your posts and images. I was noticing that on the gfs runs from yesterday. This by no means looks like a cool or below normal pattern, rather an overall warm one with only clouds producing below normal departures. I think we will see shots of heat balanced by some near normal days with heat retuning in longer spurts through the middle of July. Currently guidance doesnt hint at any prolonged heat, but I could see the Atlantic ridge building back in on/around 9th. Thanks,I enjoy reading your posts also.It still looks like the same type pattern which has had Central Park temperatures running between +1 and +2 since April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 27, 2011 Author Share Posted June 27, 2011 A true wx fanatic enjoys all extremes, big heat included. apparently because i enjoy the heat i am unemployed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 Only major heat on 0z run of euro is in super fantasy range, day 10. Warmest period before this, is a couple days in the low 90's around day 5-7 with most days 83-88 degrees. that is a great summer pattern IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe T Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 It is only a matter of time for all of this major heat to move this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 that is a great summer pattern IMO Agreed. It gives all of us a piece of what we enjoy. Forky, Earhtlight, Isotherm, and the heat crew can enjoy 90-100 degrees for a few days a month and the rest of us can enjoy perfect summer weather that has been around, for the past 10+ days. I have no problems with 80-90 degree days that have lower humidity. Nzucker and Sundog also have their share with 65-70 degree days mixed in. A little love for every type of weather geek. A perfect mix of weather that is fair to everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 apparently because i enjoy the heat i am unemployed What happened to the hot weather girl you met during the 3 day heat wave in late May and 1st day of June? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 Agreed. It gives all of us a piece of what we enjoy. Forky, Earhtlight, Isotherm, and the heat crew can enjoy 90-100 degrees for a few days a month and the rest of us can enjoy perfect summer weather that has been around, for the past 10+ days. I have no problems with 80-90 degree days that have lower humidity. Nzucker and Sundog also have their share with 65-70 degree days mixed in. A little love for every type of weather geek. A perfect mix of weather that is fair to everyone. yeah, i mean, i dont mind the 90's at all, but consistent 80's with 90's thrown in here and there along with sunshine is the best summer/beach weather.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 What happened to the hot weather girl you met during the 3 day heat wave in late May and 1st day of June? Heat induced hallucination IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 the 12z euro is even better than last night's so far. the ridge is stronger in the midwest and the west coast trof is stronger and more consolidated... in other words, the heat would get pushed east on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 the 12z euro is even better than last night's so far. the ridge is stronger in the midwest and the west coast trof is stronger and more consolidated... in other words, the heat would get pushed east on this run Good, now we just need to keep the sea breeze off shore.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeatMiser Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 12z euro keeps getting better and better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 On ewall, the euro keeps the 20 degree 850 line very far from our area, right thru hour 168. And after day 5, the flow becomes zonal and no se ridge is present. Cant see past day 7 yet. Still definetely a couple days pushing 90-95 around day 4-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 On ewall, the euro keeps the 20 degree 850 line very far from our area, right thru hour 168. And after day 5, the flow becomes zonal and no SW ridge is present. Cant see past day 7 yet. Still definetely a couple days pushing 90-95 around day 4-6. we are right around 20c saturday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 we are right around 20c saturday evening Hence the 90-95 degrees for a couple days, I said. How does it look past day 7? ewall hasnt updated the long range yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 Hence the 90-95 degrees for a couple days, I said. How does it look past day 7? ewall hasnt updated the long range yet. Nevermind, Its out to day 9-10 now. Looks above normal. Not a major heat wave but definetely a little above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 27, 2011 Author Share Posted June 27, 2011 EWR hit 84 today with 850 temps just a hair over 11 C. With 16-18+ 850 temps in the long range for a while..we should be able to crack 90 easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 27, 2011 Share Posted June 27, 2011 EWR hit 84 today with 850 temps just a hair over 11 C. With 16-18+ 850 temps in the long range for a while..we should be able to crack 90 easily. A decent amount of in/out clouds as well today. If we can get into the sun, Im confident the pattern will yield above average departures daily through the middle of July . I'd watch for the next chance of heat after the 7/1 - 7/3 period on/around the 8th, even if its just a couple days. In the short range I wouldn't rule out a 90 degree reading this coming Wed in the warmer spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 FWIW, the 0z GFS brings back the heat at least for a couple of days.. nothing historic but I am sure NYC gets into the low 90's with heat indices pushing 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 FWIW, the 0z GFS brings back the heat at least for a couple of days.. nothing historic but I am sure NYC gets into the low 90's with heat indices pushing 100 Yeah, the thing is, in July it doesn't have to be much above normal to get into the 90s. Average high is 86-87 for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 28, 2011 Author Share Posted June 28, 2011 might not be heat by definition but it really feels like summer out there this morning. love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 28, 2011 Share Posted June 28, 2011 might not be heat by definition but it really feels like summer out there this morning. love it. It does fell nice pushing 80 in many spots 9AM roundup TEB : 79 EWR: 79 NYC: 77 LGA : 76 JFK : 75 TTN : 76 ACY : 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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