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June 23rd to June 28th Severe Threat


Stebo

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A bit off topic [country], but there could be a decent severe weather outbreak over Manitoba on Thursday.

Really looking forward to that day. Models have been consistent in bringing a cold front through the region late on Thursday. At first glance, the cap looks to be an issue but some cooling does overspread the warm sector by evening.

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Recent RUC runs are showing the convection currently in Western Iowa becoming less organized but basically moving due east, moving into S Wisconsin/N Illinois tomorrow morning. This far north, it is at the expense of no storms developing later on, but around Chicago, they get both morning convection and some afternoon/evening storms.

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The bow is really strengthening looking at the last several velocity scans, large area now of 55-65kts BV from east of Denison to to Harlan.

new warnings out of DMX have it moving east at 65mph.

I don't know if it's some sort of radar software issue or not, but the Des Moines radar shows a wide band of strong rear inflow winds behind the bow. Not sure if it's legit or not, but if it is it's very impressive.

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I don't know if it's some sort of radar software issue or not, but the Des Moines radar shows a wide band of strong rear inflow winds behind the bow. Not sure if it's legit or not, but if it is it's very impressive.

Hmm, I'm on the OAX radar right now, this thing continues to intensify, some areas of 70kts now on BV.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA

835 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

IAC025-027-161-270215-

/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0205.000000T0000Z-110627T0215Z/

SAC IA-CALHOUN IA-CARROLL IA-

835 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CARROLL...

WESTERN CALHOUN AND EASTERN SAC COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

...DESTRUCTIVE WIND THREAT INCREASING...TAKE COVER NOW...

AT 829 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR

MANILLA...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DENISON...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF CARROLL COUNTY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

CARROLL...LAKE VIEW...SAC CITY...GLIDDEN...COON RAPIDS...LAKE

CITY...WALL LAKE...ARCADIA...NEMAHA...HALBUR...TEMPLETON...BREDA...

DEDHAM...AUBURN...WILLEY...LYTTON...YETTER...CARROLL AIRPORT...

LIDDERDALE AND LANESBORO.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA

850 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA...

CENTRAL GREENE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT

* AT 848 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS

STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF CARROLL...AND MOVING EAST AT 65

MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

GLIDDEN...JEFFERSON...RALSTON AND SCRANTON.

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