SmokeEater Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 In Louisville on business......tornado sirens have Been going all night. Tornado hit the area around Churchill Downs. Good amount of structural damage. Now you're getting flash flooded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 the storm is turning out to be mehville locally.. maybe yesterday was the best day debris clouds! http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_700_012m.gif friday could be redemption day.. maybe ill call in sick and go chasing with ellinwood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 23, 2011 Author Share Posted June 23, 2011 friday could be redemption day.. maybe ill call in sick and go chasing with ellinwood. I don't think I can go chasing Got one of those obligation-type deals. Definitely like Friday over Thursday for severe... haven't given up on Thursday's potential, though. We'll just have to wait and see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 NAM says no HRW NMM says yes at 18z HRW ARW says no HRRR says sure why the heck not! (take that for its worth) RUC says yes at 21z WRF say no blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 NAM says no HRW NMM says yes at 18z HRW ARW says no HRRR says sure why the heck not! (take that for what its worth) RUC says yes at 21z WRF say no blah We got it the first time thanks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 We got it the first time thanks... hahaha, i didn't even realize i posted it twice. oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 score one for the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 23, 2011 Author Share Posted June 23, 2011 N of us will win today... NJ most likely, with some in PA. Could see a SVR watch up there later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 23, 2011 Author Share Posted June 23, 2011 12z NAM lining up with the RUC... N MD up through E PA looks like fun (especially East-Central PA). Much better LL veering and somewhat-improved CAPE. Looks like we could have enough breaks in the clouds in those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Suns out here in Frederick where I work and man is it humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 I'm tired of being teased. If the government is doing weather control experiments, preventing rain over a certain area works. They can stop testing now. I'd like it to rain again please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 The 0-6 km and effective shear look much better today... but I guess we shall see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 12z NAM lining up with the RUC... N MD up through E PA looks like fun (especially East-Central PA). Much better LL veering and somewhat-improved CAPE. Looks like we could have enough breaks in the clouds in those areas. On your assessment of this, If i were to stage anywhere, after i get done work of course, where would you suggest IF YOU were to find a sweet spot, as to where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 23, 2011 Author Share Posted June 23, 2011 On your assessment of this, If i were to stage anywhere, after i get done work of course, where would you suggest IF YOU were to find a sweet spot, as to where? Gonna have to see how the parameters and precipitation play out in the coming hours, but it'd either be near Lancaster or somewhere in the I-476/78/95 triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Gonna have to see how the parameters and precipitation play out in the coming hours, but it'd either be near Lancaster or somewhere in the I-476/78/95 triangle. Thank you. I know that some hate when I ask, but it's what this place is all about and hopefully some cooperation between people on here can lead and lend towards a successful storm chase. That's what my goal is to see some great storms and to film them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 I'm tired of being teased. If the government is doing weather control experiments, preventing rain over a certain area works. They can stop testing now. I'd like it to rain again please. You mean the drizzle and sprinkles aren't watering the lawn and plants? Same here. 0.61" in the last 30 days at my location in Frederick. I think I'll put some cactus in the ground this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 pretty decent cape etc. can't kick the clouds tho not sure we *need* to. i could see iso storms dc area into n md later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 pretty decent cape etc. can't kick the clouds tho not sure we *need* to. i could see iso storms dc area into n md later. I just had a 3 min sprinkle. Was that my storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Sorry, but the 1630 SPC OTLK has me both wtf and Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Sorry, but the 1630 SPC OTLK has me both wtf and guess they're assuming this band of sprinkles/showers does us in.. not a bad assumption i suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 guess they're assuming this band of sprinkles/showers does us in.. not a bad assumption i suppose Probably not... and with the Day 2 risk likely east of I95 tomorrow... well, we went 0 for 4 I guess. Sucks, but oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Sorry, but the 1630 SPC OTLK has me both wtf and talk about a screw job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodbineWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Sorry, but the 1630 SPC OTLK has me both wtf and lol its gotten to the point now that i just have to laugh at that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 talk about a screw job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 And this is why I should never, ever expect severe to show up around here anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Hmmm... LWX HWO updated at 1245pm still suggests risk of skywarn spotter activation this afternoon with chance of a few severe storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Hmmm... LWX HWO updated at 1245pm still suggests risk of skywarn spotter activation this afternoon with chance of a few severe storms i still sorta like that area i mentioned before the penis shadow update from spc. it's not getting much precip, has decent cape etc. some sun. no major trigger it seems but could still get somewhat primed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 i still sorta like that area i mentioned before the penis shadow update from spc. it's not getting much precip, has decent cape etc. some sun. no major trigger it seems but could still get somewhat primed. penis shadow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 i still sorta like that area i mentioned before the penis shadow update from spc. it's not getting much precip, has decent cape etc. some sun. no major trigger it seems but could still get somewhat primed. We had like 15 raindrops a little while ago here in Calverton, MD but really no precip coming out of the clouds here right now. Mesoanalysis has decent CAPE around these parts but if I had to place a bet I'd say nothing will come of this day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 We had like 15 raindrops a little while ago here in Calverton, MD but really no precip coming out of the clouds here right now. Mesoanalysis has decent CAPE around these parts but if I had to place a bet I'd say nothing will come of this day. There is plenty of cells and a line forming in OH/WV. That should get here later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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