Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 looks like failure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iammrben Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Generally speaking, this thread is an absolute abortion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 looks like failure Don't worry, Thursday and Friday will be better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 22, 2011 Author Share Posted June 22, 2011 looks like failure Got them high clouds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Got them high clouds... LWX is already kinda bailing for tomorrow saying there isn't much of a trigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 You guys are subverting the effectiveness of my ignore list Hahahahaha nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Don't worry, thursday and friday will be better! friday looks OK for now.. tomorrow im not sure. i thought today would be the widespread day of the week tho even if not a big svr day. as i've mentioned 10x now, a stacked filling low too far northwest is not that optimal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 friday looks OK for now.. tomorrow im not sure. i thought today would be the widespread day of the week tho even if not a big svr day. as i've mentioned 10x now, a stacked filling low too far northwest is not that optimal. I've heard ya! The weenies naso much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 I've heard ya! The weenies naso much eh, not a great forecast for today. heck my pm update still called for svr chances at 3:45 even though it looked dead. oh well. fooking convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 eh, not a great forecast for today. heck my pm update still called for svr chances at 3:45 even though it looked dead. oh well. fooking convection. Expect nothing, thats my mantra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Something near Dale City.. A few towers nearby here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Err near may be generous.. SW of Dale City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 22, 2011 Author Share Posted June 22, 2011 Doesn't look like we missed by much, with LFC heights just 200-400 ft. above the LCL heights... just a little forcing would have triggered some severe storms. The lee trough did jack squat for us. Passive note: still another couple of hours until we can really call it, but definitely shouldn't be more than a few strong/severe storms in the DC/NoMD area going into the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 So I haven't paid much attention to these weather forums outside of winter till this year. But I see that it's the same "here it comes! crap...there it goes" routine I experience in winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 So I haven't paid much attention to these weather forums outside of winter till this year. But I see that it's the same "here it comes! crap...there it goes" routine I experience in winter Don't forget Bust and weenies hanging onto a thread hoping things work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 looks like jersey did better with the warm frontal zone than we did y-day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 After watching radar fire to our west in KY/OH yesterday I figured today would be a lock. The low is just a bit too far away to the NW to trigger widespread activity. No biggie. With my luck Friday will be widespread. I'm going fishing on the Chesapeake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 After watching radar fire to our west in KY/OH yesterday I figured today would be a lock. The low is just a bit too far away to the NW to trigger widespread activity. No biggie. With my luck Friday will be widespread. I'm going fishing on the Chesapeake. yes, Ian has told us that a few times now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 yes, Ian has told us that a few times now. the models were pretty consistent in throwing out a shortwave into the area tho which seemingly should have set off the lee trough... i thought there would be more activity today than there was for sure. i guess the nam backing off was a sign but sometimes it's skittish. but yeah the low is way northwest still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 the models were pretty consistent in throwing out a shortwave into the area tho which seemingly should have set off the lee trough... i thought there would be more activity today than there was for sure. i guess the nam backing off was a sign but sometimes it's skittish. but yeah the low is way northwest still. yeah, I was neutral on the chances this morning, but once every model backed off except the HRRR, I knew we were in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Looks like Ellinwood bailed on tomorrow? I see the subtitle changed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Personally we can hold off tomorrow, at least in the AM. Having my 5 year old's birthday party up at Cunningham Falls Lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Looks like Ellinwood bailed on tomorrow? I see the subtitle changed If we all give up it might happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 yes, Ian has told us that a few times now. Well, then I guess today's lack of activity is all Ian's fault. Come on Ian! Stop messing up our convection! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Well, then I guess today's lack of activity is all Ian's fault. Come on Ian! Stop messing up our convection! Its cause he forgot his camera, again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 LWX put in 30 POP for after midnight storms in their 7:30 PM zone update... Don't see why they would do that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 Its cause he forgot his camera, again. i think it's the reason i forget. it's a sign! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 i think it's the reason i forget. it's a sign! try to remember to bring it with you to work tomorrow and we will see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 lolz, what a joke it was today, total Bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 23, 2011 Share Posted June 23, 2011 In Louisville on business......tornado sirens have Been going all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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