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Severe Weather Threat Wed-Fri 6/22-6/24


earthlight

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12z NAM has picked up on these storms from the morning and has them clearing the area in the next couple hours, with nothing behind it, except for central PA.

That model has proven to be next to worthless lately in terms of convection. The HRRR has done a much better jobs and still shows plent of activity 6 hours from now.

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That model has proven to be next to worthless lately in terms of convection. The HRRR has done a much better jobs and still shows plent of activity 6 hours from now.

HRRR is showing storms from the ull and organized. That is all moving east right now.

Any storms we pick up will be pop up type storms. So HRRR, IMO, is wrong.

Not saying NAM is right, but storms after this batch, will be pop up variety.

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Yea my gf who lives in new city off of sqaudron said there's cars floating and almost every road getting to mainstreet new city is flooded and is impassible and blocked by emergency vehicles...can you confirm this?

I'm on New Hempstead Rd. I know it is blocked here and North Main St is blocked north of New Hempstead. I've heard reports of lots of other flooding downstream from there so it sounds right to me.

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HRRR is showing storms from the ull and organized. That is all moving east right now.

Any storms we pick up will be pop up type storms. So HRRR, IMO, is wrong.

Not saying NAM is right, but storms after this batch, will be pop up variety.

agree, although the pop up variety could still pack a small punch, but nothing severe.

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There are plently of scattered thunderstorms now in central and eastern PA. There also appears to be a new line forming over the Poconons on the latest radar. IMO this was never really going to be a big severe day. Main threats are small hail and gusty winds. Flash flooding is the main concern today.

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I got 2.21" of rain here in a bit over 2 hours, starting a little before 11 am and ending around 1 pm. I have not seen much of the area yet, but there have definitely been flash flooding problems as expected from that amount of rain. It was really amazing to watch at the peak - my highest rainfall rate was 7.48"/hr.

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So there were no tornadoes yesterday, but funnel clouds were seen? (That would explain the videos I saw.) Looked like they were fairly close to touching down, dont know why the NWS didnt investigate.

this was posted in the Philly forum:

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Finally getting some really heavy rain in here..... these are the first good rains of the week here. It's weird how it pulses up and down in intensity several times, like someone turning a faucet on and off repeatedly.

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Finally getting some really heavy rain in here..... these are the first good rains of the week here. It's weird how it pulses up and down in intensity several times, like someone turning a faucet on and off repeatedly.

It didnt even last 30 min lol. Hot weather is so much more exciting than this cloudy humid crap we've been getting.

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It didnt even last 30 min lol. Hot weather is so much more exciting than this cloudy humid crap we've been getting.

No thanks, you can keep those blisteringly exciting high temp records in the south, where they belong.

Hot weather is only exciting if you don't actually have to work in it.

Still, who actually wants to use AC.

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