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Severe Weather Threat Wed-Fri 6/22-6/24


earthlight

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3-4 tornadoes? 2 Tornado warnings, with 1 funnel cloud reported, in Ocean County.

Ah ok, I was just trying to keep up with all the warnings. I thought the one down in central NJ was for two separate ones in Monmouth and Ocean County.

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is there a shot this storm holds its strength as it heads for long island?

No lol, we have a marine layer over us (SE winds), I haven't seen a single drop of rain all day though I know the north shore had some big boomers earlier today.

It actually looks a bit on the foggy side here.

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Ah ok, I was just trying to keep up with all the warnings. I thought the one down in central NJ was for two separate ones in Monmouth and Ocean County.

Ah got ya. I thought somebody was reporting 3-4 tornadoes. I was like wtf? :lmao: You guys been keeping track of what's going on in Whiting from earlier? Tons of damage in the area.

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* TORNADO WARNING FOR... MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...

NORTHWESTERN OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 600 PM EDT * AT 527 PM EDT..

.LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR CASSVILLE...

OR 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... JACKSON BY 535 PM EDT... JACKSONS MILLS BY 545 PM EDT... FREEWOOD ACRES BY 555 PM EDT... ADELPHIA...WEST FREEHOLD...HOWELL AND EAST FREEHOLD BY 600 PM EDT...

Not too surprised considering the hook earlier.

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1361

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0440 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NJ...SE NY...NEW YORK CITY...SW CT

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 222140Z - 222315Z

A SEVERE THREAT WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS NRN NJ...FAR SE NY...NEW YORK

CITY AND SRN CT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL

BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. WW ISSUANCE REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS

AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

A CLUSTER OF SEVERE STORMS IS CURRENTLY ONGOING IN FAR ERN PA AND NJ

LOCATED A WARM FRONT AND AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY. THE STORMS

ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SPEED MAX ANALYZED

BY THE RUC AT 700 MB FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC NEWD ALONG THE ATLANTIC

COAST INTO THE NEW YORK CITY AREA. THE SPEED MAX IS HELPING TO

ENHANCE DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES WITH REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SHOWING

35 TO 40 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR. THIS SHEAR ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUPPORT

SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE STORMS ARE

DISCRETE. AS THE STORMS MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NEW YORK CITY AREA LATE

THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL

BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS.

..BROYLES.. 06/22/2011

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No lol, we have a marine layer over us (SE winds), I haven't seen a single drop of rain all day though I know the north shore had some big boomers earlier today.

It actually looks a bit on the foggy side here.

It's raining lightly here now lol. As soon as I stepped outside I turned back around.

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Bring it!

A little too much going on around the updraft right now those other little cells are probably choking this thing a good bit. so I'm not liking the chances of stronger rotation developing with this thing over the next few frames, but you look pretty good for a **** ton of rain/lightning and some 1" hail..I'm jealous! our severe hole in northern Holmdel is living up to it's rep

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A little too much going on around the updraft right now those other little cells are probably choking this thing a good bit. so I'm not liking the chances of stronger rotation developing with this thing over the next few frames, but you look pretty good for a **** ton of rain/lightning and some 1" hail..I'm jealous! our severe hole in northern Holmdel is living up to it's rep

I'm betting on thunder and rain.

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It's like Oklahoma out there.

Lee Goldberg was talking about golf sized hail and larger up to 1.5" in diameter as well as huge trees uprooted taking large patches of lawns with them and large gas grills tossed across the street!

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