TheTrials Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 It sucks thinking about how far we are from winter. At least the days are getting shorter..... Getting some intense storms the past few days has helped pass the time. I did notice it was a little darker this morning before my 6:00am tee time, lol. Radar breaking out over PA near allentown, lets see how far that cell gets, will be a good indication of what we see later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 24, 2011 Author Share Posted June 24, 2011 Saw that. It appears the storms that pulsed over eastern PA earlier have lost a little bit as they moved east, no doubt in response to the more stable environment but more should fire, the question is what is left of them when they get to nyc metro and out of western south western jersey. Good post. The diurnal heating has been almost completely inhibited in the areas north and east of the warm front. We would need an organized complex of convection, most likely, to move east into the elevated instability axis. Otherwise, individual updrafts will have trouble maintaining themselves amidst otherwise mundane shear away from the warm front itself and farther west over PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 sounding is pretty Meh. Maybe we will get some weak rotation but i think the storms yesterday are going to be better than anything that comes up today When I use WE on this forum I am talking about potential within 75 miles of NYC.It's tough to do better than that until you see how the radar trends actually develop during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 When I use WE on this forum I am talking about potential within 75 miles of NYC.It's tough to do better than that until you see how the radar trends actually develop during the day. Well, it makes a big difference today, because the city, north and east and socked in, so that sounding is pretty representative of what we are dealing with. South and West totally different story. I wasn't trying to put your thoughts down, I was just discoing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Storms in Hunterdon county looking fairly healthy. I'd expect them to die out as they move east but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 the cells closest to our area in Hunterdon and ne PA are in a prime environment to take on supercell characteristics...and I believe they are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Only the one cell out in Monroe county currently has a warning associated with it the cells closest to our area in Hunterdon and ne PA are in a prime environment to take on supercell characteristics...and I believe they are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Only the one cell out in Monroe county currently has a warning associated with it Yea I know. Just noting the weak rotation with both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 This is what Mt Holly is saying for that one storm, nothing overly impressive. Kinda the same as what they said last night and all I got was a brief downpour and no lightning or thunder. Special Weather Statement SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ300 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2011NJZ009-010-242000-HUNTERDON NJ-SOMERSET NJ-300 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2011...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HUNTERDON AND SOMERSETCOUNTIES...AT 256 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ASTRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES WEST OF SOMERVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR WHITE HOUSE STATION...CLOVERHILLAROUND 315 PM...RARITAN...BRIDGEWATER AROUND 330 PM...MARTINSVILLE...SOMERVILLE AROUND 345 PM...NORTH PLAINFIELD AND WATCHUNG AROUND 400PM.WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Yea I know. Just noting the weak rotation with both. Several of those are taking on supercellular characteristics. Maybe one becomes dominant for a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Well, it makes a big difference today, because the city, north and east and socked in, so that sounding is pretty representative of what we are dealing with. South and West totally different story. I wasn't trying to put your thoughts down, I was just discoing. Yeah,we are more stable out across the island today than over the last two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Several of those are taking on supercellular characteristics. Maybe one becomes dominant for a bit? Running out of steam it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 severe storm shield seems to be holding, lol. Enivronment just hasnt destabalized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Looks like strong cells fire up and then die but each time they fire up, they are progressing more and more east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Also, visible satellite shows breaks in the clouds trying very hard to make it to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 24, 2011 Author Share Posted June 24, 2011 Looks like it's going to clear up behind the big storm to my southwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 I dont think there are any breaks at this point...an area of showers have developed over most of central nj....meanwhile a nasty cell in mercer heading towards monmouth yet again Also, visible satellite shows breaks in the clouds trying very hard to make it to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Storms look to be firing up all over central nj and in Eastern PA, lets hope we get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 The radar is indicating some rotation with the cell over Middlesex County ,NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 A lot of suicides must have been committed the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Sure, I move and now Monmouth County is the supercell capital of New Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 From the storms earlier this afternoon: 06/24/2011 0215 PM West Creek, Ocean County. Funnel cloud, reported by trained spotter. Funnel cloud observed to the NW of West Creek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Severe weather sucks here. I'm moving to Joplin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Sure, I move and now Monmouth County is the supercell capital of New Jersey. Not just you, think how I feel right now. I left to Cape Cod 2 days ago and since then my backyard has probably had 2-3"+ of rain, hours of thunder/lightning, and today probably close to severe criteria. I knew this was going to happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 lol,that radar is just ridicules, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 looks like that sounding i posted held true, just too stable in the city and obviously n and e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Not just you, think how I feel right now. I left to Cape Cod 2 days ago and since then my backyard has probably had 2-3"+ of rain, hours of thunder/lightning, and today probably close to severe criteria. I knew this was going to happen! lol im out of town also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 looks like that sounding i posted held true, just too stable in the city and obviously n and e It was never in doubt for Long Island since the models were indicating last night that the focus for the convection would be over New Jersey. It's a nice heads up for potential across the island when there is instability on the 12z OKX sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 Not just you, think how I feel right now. I left to Cape Cod 2 days ago and since then my backyard has probably had 2-3"+ of rain, hours of thunder/lightning, and today probably close to severe criteria. I knew this was going to happen! Why didnt you cancel the trip when you knew the bad weather was coming? I cant imagine anyone wanting to spend summer in Cape Cod, it's usually cool/cloudy/foggy there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted June 24, 2011 Share Posted June 24, 2011 A lot of suicides must have been committed the last few days. No, I expected this-- this is why I love hot weather, it's much more reliable than any bogus severe threats which never pan out for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.