EasternUSWX Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 Could you please dial that up on January 19? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2011 Author Share Posted June 19, 2011 Could you please dial that up on January 19? i was thinking this could be the summer version of the psuhoffman storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 The stuff blooming in Garrett Co and WV panhandle is promising for the entire area. Should gain size and strength as the afternoon wears on. Or not. I won't even comment on tonight for fear of screwing it up for everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 Starting to get going across central OH now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 Pretty good UVV's from the 18z GFS at hr 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 Looks like its going to be a rough morning commute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 Getting it's act together and now moving in WV. Storms firing all around the main convection ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 FFW up for here: EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA- ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON- ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-WESTERN HIGHLAND- EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY- WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL- WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FROSTBURG...CUMBERLAND...STAUNTON... WAYNESBORO...HARRISONBURG...WINCHESTER...FRONT ROYAL... CHARLOTTESVILLE...WASHINGTON...HIGHTOWN...MONTEREY... MARTINSBURG...CHARLES TOWN...MOOREFIELD...BAYARD...MOUNT STORM... PETERSBURG...ELK GARDEN...KEYSER...FORT ASHBY...CIRCLEVILLE... FRANKLIN 642 PM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...WESTERN MARYLAND AND EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA. * UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY * SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN MARYLAND. LOCALIZED RAINFALL RATES OVER ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED IN HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 i was thinking this could be the summer version of the psuhoffman storm That sim radar does look very similar, IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted June 19, 2011 Share Posted June 19, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Eh doesn't looks so great. Hopefully it gets going or else it's another fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Author Share Posted June 20, 2011 looks alright to me.. part of it is the mtns at this pt, tho it's convective so someone will probably end up with a lower amount than anticipated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Author Share Posted June 20, 2011 backlash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Author Share Posted June 20, 2011 total qpf kinda sucks imby i think. at least compared to leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 total qpf kinda sucks imby i think. at least compared to leesburg. .13 here lock it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 looks alright to me.. part of it is the mtns at this pt, tho it's convective so someone will probably end up with a lower amount than anticipated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Author Share Posted June 20, 2011 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 ? I mean it's hard to call this thing a MCS. lol. But, it looks like the heaviest rain is to the north of the low. Worst rainfall will be southern pa northern md in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 I mean it's hard to call this thing a MCS. lol. But, it looks like the heaviest rain is to the north of the low. Worst rainfall will be southern pa northern md in my opinion. When you say "worst" do you mean lowest or highest amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 When you say "worst" do you mean lowest or highest amounts? Highest amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 When you say "worst" do you mean lowest or highest amounts? Highest. lol. Tracking from the very heavy stuff in SW PA right now slowly moving ESE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Author Share Posted June 20, 2011 I mean it's hard to call this thing a MCS. lol. But, it looks like the heaviest rain is to the north of the low. Worst rainfall will be southern pa northern md in my opinion. it's not a severe mcs.. but it is remnants of a mesoscale system that impacted the plains/mo valley late y-day. we very briefly may get a closed surface low with it but it's a very small piece of mid-lvl energy associated with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 it's not a severe mcs.. but it is remnants of a mesoscale system that impacted the plains/mo valley late y-day. we very briefly may get a closed surface low with it but it's a very small piece of mid-lvl energy associated with it. That being said, someone is going to get a boat load of rain tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 it's not a severe mcs.. but it is remnants of a mesoscale system that impacted the plains/mo valley late y-day. we very briefly may get a closed surface low with it but it's a very small piece of mid-lvl energy associated with it. Most of this complex should just be heavy rain... maybe some storms with gusty winds 30-40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Author Share Posted June 20, 2011 Highest. lol. Tracking from the very heavy stuff in SW PA right now slowly moving ESE. according to the nam that --the 500 pocket of energy -- will pivot southeast into areas that get some of the frontrunning stuff too -- someone in wva(most likely)/nmd/nova south of the pa border should 'jackpot' imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Should have stayed with original call. Boo that sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Try again tonight? lol UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND MIDWEST REGIONS BUILD DOWNSTREAMTOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TNGT. MODELS ARE NOW IN GENERALAGREEMENT WITH AN MCS /THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MOVING ATOP THE UPPER RIDGE TNGT. THE MCS IS PROGGED TO MOVE THRUTHE REGION TNGT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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