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The Hudson Valley Thread


IrishRob17

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Definitely going to be a cold one in the morning. Keep an ear out to the radio's-could be issues with some school district's who's buses don't have them plugged in for the weekend. I know the district I drove for, mechanics came in as early as 4:30 to get 200+ buses going-some need help big time when it's below 0º. Hope this is the only cold snap like this for the winter-snow I can deal with. Waiting out for a school bus in below 0º weather just stinks.

Any calls yet about this up coming storm for this area-or are the models still not in agreement of a big storm?

On YNN news this morning they listed two HV districts, one had a delay and the other canceled classes.

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Do you guys have Mike Buono (formerly of The Weather Channel) doing forecasts for the HV region of YNN? Here on the Capital District YNN he is the chief met. I'm wondering if all of their wx stuff comes out of one central location such as the Albany studios now.

FWIW ...low was -14F up at my house. Cold, but a bit dissapointing since we were already at -13 around 3 AM. I thought we were good for a run at -20 around dawn. Hey if it's gonna be way below zero you might as well go for the coldest. ::)

On YNN news this morning they listed two HV districts, one had a delay and the other canceled classes.

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Do you guys have Mike Buono (formerly of The Weather Channel) doing forecasts for the HV region of YNN? Here on the Capital District YNN he is the chief met. I'm wondering if all of their wx stuff comes out of one central location such as the Albany studios now.

FWIW ...low was -14F up at my house. Cold, but a bit dissapointing since we were already at -13 around 3 AM. I thought we were good for a run at -20 around dawn. Hey if it's gonna be way below zero you might as well go for the coldest. ::)

I believe I have seen him on air. YNN has so many on air mets it easy to confuse them :P I "think" I read when TWC rolled it out in April of this year here that the on air studio was going to be in Albany until they finshed building one in the TWC Hudson Valley main facility in Middletown (Wallkill).It think it still comes out of Albany on air with local reporters.

I think they messed up the weather forecast last night with Albany's. They called for air temps to be from -15 to -25 this morning :lmao:

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WEDNESDAY`S STORM. LATEST SREF...GFS...GEFS AND ECMWF USED FOR THE

FORECAST. ALL MODELS TAKE LOW THAT IS FORMING OFF THE TEXAS COAST

AND TRACK IT TO NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON WEDNESDAY. THE

LOW THEN TRACKS NORTHEAST TO OVER THE 40N 70W BENCHMARK WEDNESDAY

NIGHT. ECMWF IS THE SLOWEST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE IN TERMS OF

TIMING...BUT APPEARS TO FOLLOW A SIMILAR TRACK.

CONCERNS ABOUT MODEL GUIDANCE ARE HIGH DUE TO EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE

PCPN BEING GENERATED THROUGH MODEL PARAMETRIZATION. THE LATENT HEAT

RELEASE AND THE DYNAMIC BUILDING OF THE DOWN STREAM RIDGE ARE

AFFECTED. THUS...WHILE MODEL TRACK IS CLUSTERED NICELY...HUMAN

UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH FOR THE ACTUAL TRACK. THE NAM IS AN

INTERESTING EXAMPLE...AND WHILE BEING DISCARDED FOR FORECAST

INTEGRATION...IT IS RIGHT OF THE ENSEMBLED TRACK AND PRODUCES ZERO

QPF.

HAVE CONTINUED BASICALLY THE PREVIOUS FORECAST UNTIL THINGS BECOME

CLEAR. NOTE THAT NOAA WINTER RECONNAISSANCE IS BEING FLOWN FOR THIS

SYSTEM IN THE GULF OVERNIGHT. THESE CRITICAL OBSERVATIONS WILL GET

INCLUDED INTO TOMORROW`S 12Z AND SUBSEQUENT MODEL CYCLES. THUS

EXPECT THINGS TO BECOME CLEARER TOMORROW. NO WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED

THIS AFTERNOON AS WERE STILL OVER 48 HOURS FROM POSSIBLE WARNING

CRITERIA.

PTYPE IS A MAJOR ISSUE WITH THIS EVENT AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SUPPORT A

WARM NOSE ALOFT. EVEN INLAND LOCATIONS SHOULD EXPECT AT LEAST SOME

MIXED PCPN. A WINTRY MIX APPEARS TO BE THE PREDOMINATE TYPE WITH MORE

RAIN TO THE EAST. OF COURSE WITH TRACK AND QPF AMOUNT HIGHLY

UNCERTAIN...ANY SNOW AMOUNT FORECAST IS EVEN MORE UNCERTAIN. IT DOES

APPEAR THAT LIKELIHOOD OF WARNING CRITERIA SNOW IS LOW...EVEN

INLAND.

WINDS. LOW END WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA (G 40 KT) APPEARS POSSIBLE

WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN SESSION (LONG ISLAND AND SE CT).

LASTLY FLOODING...THERE IS CURRENTLY 2 TO 3 INCHES OF WATER

EQUIVALENT WATER IT THE SNOW COVER. WITH POTENTIAL 1 TO 2 INCHES

LIQUID EQUIVALENT ADDED ON TO THIS FOR EASTERN SESSIONS (LONG ISLAND

AND SE CT)...PONDING/URBAN/BASEMENT FLOODING ARE A CONCERN. IN

ADDITION...THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW ON FLAT ROOF STRUCTURES IS

SIGNIFICANT.

TIMING FOR PCPN ONSET IS MOST LIKELY MID TO LATE MORNING IN THE

SOUTHERN PORTION INCLUDING NYC AND LONG ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY. IT

LOOKS LIKE THE RUSH HOURS SHOULD BE DRY.

ENDING IS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH JUST SOME LEFT OVER LIGHT SN

ON THURSDAY AM.

&&

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How are we ever going to be satisfied with another Winter after this one?

This is legendary.

...and it's only January.

Note: This post will ensure we hit 70 degrees next week.

This winter so far reminds me of 93-94, which was my favorite winter ever. Could this one match or surpass that one for me? Time will tell. :snowman:

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Just got back from driving to KSWF to drop a friend off for a flight... What a disaster an unexpected 2 inches can have on the roads - A few spin-outs on I84.

~2 inches here and still snowing light to moderate.

Considering we may get shafted with the best stuff to our south tomorrow, I will take it!

Yes, it took me two hours to get in, really ridicules delays on Rt17 because of 2 to 3 inches of snow and messy unattended to road :arrowhead:

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