Radders Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 R.E. GFS 0Z BUFKIT for KPOU The only two stations in Southern NY are Poughkeepsie and Newburgh, unfortunately. You've already heard about Newburgh. Poughkeepsie: 33.2" :o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Euro follows the GFS - close to 1" qpf for most of the HV... Let's hope it holds serve now tomorrow.. As each hour passes, our chances increase tremendously at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 KSWF BUFKIT 0Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I've actually had that before, it was ok, im more of a lager guy though Draft BM was nothing like the bottled version (not surprising) Checkout the KSWF bufkit totals I posted. 13.8 inches in 3 hours Jeez this storm has me hooked now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Draft BM was nothing like the bottled version (not surprising) Checkout the KSWF bufkit totals I posted. 13.8 inches in 3 hours Jeez this storm has me hooked now. Insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas to all. Hope santa brought all of us snowblowers, we will be needing them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I must be dreaming... The goofus ensembles have the lower hudson valley in 1.25"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 12/25 12Z BUFKIT for KSWF for KPOU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Here are your current watches for the entire region as of noon: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1158 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 NYZ047>054-VTZ013>015-260100- /O.EXA.KALY.WS.A.0009.101226T1800Z-101227T1700Z/ SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON... ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA... MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY... HOOSICK FALLS...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 1158 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS: SCHOHARIE COUNTY...CAPITAL REGION OF NEW YORK...RENSSELAER COUNTY AND ALL OF SOUTHERN VERMONT. * HAZARDS: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...AND GUSTY WINDS. * ACCUMULATIONS: 7 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. * TIMING: LIGHT SNOW MOVES IN SUNDAY AFTERNOON...TRANSITIONING TO MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ON ROADS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN THE SNOW. STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING TREACHEROUS DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1158 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ058>061-063>066-260100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.A.0009.101226T1800Z-101227T1700Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA- EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS- EASTERN DUTCHESS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL... COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON... CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY... KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ... POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS... MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON 1158 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS: EASTERN CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TACONICS...BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT. * HAZARDS: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...GUSTY WINDS WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. * ACCUMULATIONS: GREATER THAN 7 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. * TIMING: LIGHT SNOW MOVES IN SUNDAY AFTERNOON...TRANSITIONING TO MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ON ROADS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED IN THE SNOW. STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING TREACHEROUS DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1052 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...A MAJOR WINTER STORM MAY IMPACT THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176-178-260000- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0005.101226T1800Z-101227T1800Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS- SOUTHERN QUEENS- 1052 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY... AND NEW YORK CITY. * HAZARDS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WITH GUSTY WINDS. * ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ON ROADS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE GREATLY DIMINISHED. STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES...AND WILL MAKE DRIVING TREACHEROUS. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW MAY BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH... BECOMING NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS NEW YORK CITY AND NEAR THE COAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 anyone know how to get those bufkit totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 anyone know how to get those bufkit totals Jay I sent you the instructions. Off to rearrange the garage and put the snow blower by the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 anyone know how to get those bufkit totals http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Does anyone have 12Z ECMWF QPF for ALB and POU? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Looks like the usual suspects are gonna jackpot with this storm.. West Milford---Tuxedo----Harriman----Monroe----Highland MIlls.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Jay I sent you the instructions. Off to rearrange the garage and put the snow blower by the door. thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Looks like the usual suspects are gonna jackpot with this storm.. West Milford---Tuxedo----Harriman----Monroe----Highland MIlls.. I hope Nanuet too. We need some snow in Rockland county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Upton just issued a sternly worded warning package for the forecast area to numerous to post here. Snowcane II 18Z NAM was left of the BM, perfect for the HV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Upton just issued a sternly worded warning package for the forecast area to numerous to post here. Snowcane II 18Z NAM was left of the BM, perfect for the HV I wait here for the usual slow NWS Albany to put me under Winter Storm Warning!!! I am like 10 miles from Upton's domain in Putnam, so I usually look at the Putnam area to get a feel for Upton's take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 18Z NAM BUFKIT totals KSWF 26.5 KPOU 28.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Can someone run BUFKIT for Danbury? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Can someone run BUFKIT for Danbury? 18Z NAM KHVN 12 with mixing issues KHFD 13.8 with mixing issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Isn't Danbury KDXR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 That's quite a difference from HFD to POU! I hope my elevation gets me closer to the high end as I'm just left of center between te two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Isn't Danbury KDXR? Not seeing KDXR as a BUFKIT station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 18Z GFS KSWF BUFKIT snow total 28.5 QPF 1.44 @ 12 to 1 ratio 17.28 KPOU snow total snow total 28.5 QPF 1.52 @ 12 to 1 ratio 18.24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 18Z GFS KSWF BUFKIT snow total 28.5 QPF 1.44 @ 12 to 1 ratio 17.28 KPOU snow total snow total 28.5 QPF 1.52 @ 12 to 1 ratio 18.24 I am ready.. Bring it on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 18Z GFS KSWF BUFKIT snow total 28.5 QPF 1.44 @ 12 to 1 ratio 17.28 KPOU snow total snow total 28.5 QPF 1.52 @ 12 to 1 ratio 18.24 Giddy up! We will be a bit too far west? I think it was the Dec 2003 storm when I had 18" in New Windsor, there was like 6" in Middletown and maybe 3" in Port Jervis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Giddy up! We will be a bit too far west? I think it was the Dec 2003 storm when I had 18" in New Windsor, there was like 6" in Middletown and maybe 3" in Port Jervis. We should do well on this side of the county... Both NAM/GFS print out 1"+ for 99% of the county.. high ratios with potential intense banding should yield some insane totals for a few lucky ppl in the HV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 18Z GFS KSWF BUFKIT snow total 28.5 QPF 1.44 @ 12 to 1 ratio 17.28 KPOU snow total snow total 28.5 QPF 1.52 @ 12 to 1 ratio 18.24 link for 18z NAM & GFS bufkit please... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 link for 18z NAM & GFS bufkit please... http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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