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June part 2


Isopycnic

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Dang, WK, and I was foolishly putting some hope into that line. Notice how the shield goes from state line to state line above Atl. and south of Atl. you see a county wide little patch of a line that is wanting to consolidate into a mile wide band of something rainish. By the time that gets here it should be about 35 drops, lol. We'll see. The radar has lied to me repeatedly. I'll go outside when it hits and if more that 4 drops hit me, I'll count it a good days work :) Tony

LOL that line actually looks like it may be starting to consolidate some. Good luck!

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After how dry it had been, I never thought I'd say this, but after the rain we've had lately it'll be nice to get some dry weather.

:lmao::facepalm: what the heck?! You were screaming about how dry it was and now after like 1" of rain you want dry weather? WOW :axe:

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Dang, WK, and I was foolishly putting some hope into that line. Notice how the shield goes from state line to state line above Atl. and south of Atl. you see a county wide little patch of a line that is wanting to consolidate into a mile wide band of something rainish. By the time that gets here it should be about 35 drops, lol. We'll see. The radar has lied to me repeatedly. I'll go outside when it hits and if more that 4 drops hit me, I'll count it a good days work :) Tony

I'm north of you a tad. I let you know what happens. So far, just dark, a little wind, and a good bit of lightning and thunder.

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And of course I am in raleigh while sop gets nailed. Looks like a split for raleigh

Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk

Tell me about it. Mby seems to have Ben plastered from the scanner and reports of trees and power lines down. Here in Athens? Pfffft. Some rain. Some wind. Some thunder. What a let down lol

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Just mowed my grass for the first time in 3 weeks. I watered the garden before the storms came through because I knew they would fall apart before reaching my house...or split apart. Of course, they did. I have had .1 inches of rain at my house in the last 4 weeks. :angry: Just unbelievable. It seems like every other year at the very least, this area is in a drought. I don't remember it being that way growing up.

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The stuff was pretty impressive when it came through here... lots of branches and other limbs down, although there weren't any full trees down in my area of town. I've heard plenty of reports scattered across Buncombe county of trees down though.

Only picked up 0.2" here from the squall line, but that's typical for the rain shadow area of the French Broad River valley.

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I know it was a squall line, but I was in Morganton, NC when the storms approached and I am wondering if there were some embedded supercells in the line because the leading edge had some major striations and honestly kinda had the spaceship supercell look. I couldn't get to a better view with my camera in time, but I did get some nice pics of the turbulent clouds near the updraft. It was pretty impressive and the winds really got up obviously.

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Accumulated more pine needles than rain sprinkles. Wind might have briefly gusted to 30. The patio pavers never got wet, the few drops evaporated so quickly. No fancy clouds, and the sun is shining as it meets the horizon. Maybe tomorrow.

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About 3 blocks west of main st Robert

Got some quick rains here but hardly a breeze and no lightning but temps did fall to 72 very quickly

Cool. Got a decent rain here. Lots of wind out in front of the storm earlier. Good to know you got the west side of town covered and I got the east side. JShetley has the north end.

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Dang, WK, and I was foolishly putting some hope into that line. Notice how the shield goes from state line to state line above Atl. and south of Atl. you see a county wide little patch of a line that is wanting to consolidate into a mile wide band of something rainish. By the time that gets here it should be about 35 drops, lol. We'll see. The radar has lied to me repeatedly. I'll go outside when it hits and if more that 4 drops hit me, I'll count it a good days work :) Tony

The radar has lied to me today too :( I'm still waiting on my sprinkles to arrive. Heard thunder twice in the last hour and watching the cloud formations as the sun goes down has made for an enjoyable evening outside :)

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Backing up a few days... I recorded 30mph gust at my house on the 15th from that storm. Was that the normal north of Atlanta?

I was out of town and was just curious what actual wind gust readings were reported from that storm... Thank you in advance if you recall any readings.

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Thats the one the GFS went bonkers with about 3 days ago...was progging Sunday night for NC. I haven't looked at much for tomorrow but they're pretty good with it this year, so the pattern still supports the nw flow events.

This wasn't much rain here, only .13" A literal wall of wind though, not as impressive as most of the MCC this season, but did knock down plenty of limbs around here, and once again another tree of mine that I had trimmed up in April lost a huge limb. More money wasted.

Just got home to see that I had no trees or limbs down, but found my glass table had flipped and the glass shattered and some of the shards flew into the pool :thumbsdown:, looks like power went out because all the clocks were flashing. It would be something else if this happened again tomorrow.

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SPC Day 2

...TN/LOWER OH VALLEY SEWD INTO CAROLINAS... MODELS HAVE A STRONG SIGNAL THAT AN OVERNIGHT MCS LIKELY WILL BE ONGOING SOMEWHERE IN THE SERN MO/WRN KY/WRN TN AREA AT DAYBREAK SUNDAY. GIVEN THE RIDGING TO THE WEST...THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE WNWLY AND REMNANT STORMS ARE LIKELY TO TRACK ESEWD/SEWD THROUGH THE DAY. WITH HEATING...VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND DEEP WNWLY FLOW THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE TROPOSPHERE WOULD FAVOR THIS MCS INTENSIFYING...WITH A THREAT OF PRIMARILY WIND DAMAGE UNTIL IT MOVES OFFSHORE. ELSEWHERE...WITH HEATING...OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP ON MORNING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...WITH SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS AND PERHAPS A FEW SUPERCELLS STRUCTURES. THESES STORMS WOULD PRODUCE MAINLY HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE.

Possibly another MCS coming down for tomorrow.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

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Getting pounded west of Savannah right now... almost continual lightning, some pretty good gusts, and I'd make a very rough estimate of about .3-.5 so far. Thought I heard a few bits of hail hitting, too, but couldn't confirm that visually. Looks like the storm just blew up as it rolled over top of us.

We really need the rain here...

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Wow...another crazy spring day in the weather world, As stated earlier we have had everything in 2011 with the exception of a hurricane...and you wonder, what are our chances for that this summer?

Anyway...my eyes at this late night hour are focused on the convection of Missouri...which looks like our key player for tomorrow...

usa_None_anim.gif

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All those raindrops yesterday added up to .13 :weight_lift:

The heat continues :gun_bandana:

CAE.........

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

MOS GUIDANCE COOL BIAS NOTED AND WITH WARM ADVECTION EXPECT

TEMPERATURES NEAR 100 IN THE CENTRAL MIDLANDS/CSRA. MIXING THIS

AFTERNOON SHOULD RESULT IN LOWER DEW POINTS THAN MOS SUGGESTS SO

HEAT INDEX VALUES MAINLY BELOW 105. MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY

WILL AGAIN DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER THE

MIDWEST THIS MORNING SHOULD TRACK EAST-SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE

CAROLINAS...FOLLOWING CORFIDI VECTORS. MOS THUNDERSTORM POPS

HIGH...SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AND WILL GO WITH A PERSISTENCE

FORECAST. LATEST SPC WRF SUPPORTS THIS THINKING. BOTH NAM AND GFS

SUPPORT HIGHER POPS NORTHERN MIDLANDS WHERE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE

IS STRONGEST AND STRONGEST LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGH

MOVING ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA. LOWER POPS CSRA.

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Looks like another severe day coming up. Here's the SPC risk.

post-38-0-38867800-1308486021.gif

Models maintain an extremely strong vort with this on its journey east for the next 18 hours, but they are being too slow with it. Watch the southern flank begin to develop southward, which is just starting to occur in TN now. Dewpoints in the 70's and a warm front moving north are fueling it, and SPC made a mention of bumping up to moderate risk for downstream of this, so the next update may have that. So basically this line will continue to grow into severe limits with widespread swath of a bow line and individual QCLS spin ups possible because of more shear than yesterday's environment so this event could prove more severe than yesterdays. As usual its impossible to nail down the exact track and some areas affected by the line can fall between the gaps in the line, but overall TN, nGA (possibly n AL) and the Carolinas, southern VA are at risk today from this line, which will probably continue strengthening into a major line with up to 80mph winds by afternoon. Time to prep again for power outages and high winds.

post-38-0-26320600-1308486412.jpg

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