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June part 2


Isopycnic

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HHIYou got storms to the left......storm to the rightYour the only dry spot in town.....Ctg all around me. Will it fill in? My guess is yes......For now.....enjoying the light show with Buffett blasting away.....

Out in Moss Creek near the bridge and its a raining cats and doggies. So loud you can't hear the music over it. One inch in 25 minutes here.

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I've only had 2 days at 96, the rest were around 90 and even upper 80s. Most of the time during the early June heat wave, this area stayed well below forecast highs. I'm pretty sure the low level ground moisture had something to do with it, when I glanced at other sites and seen how hot they were, it was pretty unusual to see my temps so much lower, but my own thermo. agreed, so it was about right. We'll see how this one shakes out. The ECMWF still isn't quite as hot as the GFS though, and ends this heat wave much faster, with nw flow kicking back in next week, and the big closed high shifting back out to Texas and the Southern Rockies.

I think you're on to something. During the June drought here on Cape Fear the ILM NWS Office underestimated our daily highs with stunning regularity.

The pattern here broke today - with both a morning downpour and an afternoon one. Unfortunately the latter delivered an intense barrage of CTG lightning; one bolt of which knocked out my primary computer. I now must replace my power supply (at least.)

Yes, I had a surge protector. No, it didn't do me any good.

:angry:

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I would be very surprised if Atlanta hits 100 anytime soon. I know where I live about 45 miles from Atlanta, the ground is very wet, and high temps have been running consistently 3-5 degrees below what was forecast. It only made it up to 87 today under full sunshine and the forecast high was in the low 90s.

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Took these 2 videos today in Jacksonville at 4:55 pm, we had a storm come in and the wind really picked up, I opened the door and looked at the sheets of rain, they had switched directions and I looked up and bam, this is what I saw. Althought weak I think this is a tornado there was definite rotation when I observed this. In the second video the rotation is towards the end of the video you can see it come from the ground.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hLuAMUnYYQI&feature=channel_video_title

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iDdovxROuD8&feature=channel_video_title

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Nice high tide.....local flooding...Savannah has about 4" from this.....flash flood warning there....nasty looking as these storms just parked over to my south with plenty of lightening still by HHI on the south side. Broad creek looks more like broad lake.

Areas near Tybee have close to 8". If you're in Sea Pines, you could probably see those storms about five miles south of you. They've been parked there for hours now.

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Nice high tide.....local flooding...Savannah has about 4" from this.....flash flood warning there....nasty looking as these storms just parked over to my south with plenty of lightening still by HHI on the south side. Broad creek looks more like broad lake.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

FLASH FLOOD WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC

622 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

SOUTH CENTRAL JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 915 PM EDT

* AT 618 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED

VERY HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING ALONG A LINE FROM PORT WENTWORTH TO

DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH TO WILMINGTON ISLAND...NEARLY STATIONARY.

RADAR ESTIMATES THAT 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE

WARNING AREA. AS OF 615 PM...THE SAVANNAH AIRPORT HAD RECEIVED

2.50 INCHES OF RAINFALL. WITH THE APPROACH OF HIGH TIDE AT 730 PM

THE RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH WILL CONTINUE

TO INCREASE.

* FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN AND AROUND...

SAVANNAH HISTORIC DISTRICT...HUTCHINSON ISLAND...SAVANNAH...PORT

WENTWORTH...POOLER...TYBEE ISLAND...THUNDERBOLT...

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I have been sitting out on the deck tonight and for the past 30 minutes or so I have been watching lightning off to my Southeast. Not just flashes, but seeing the entire Cumulonimbus lit up with individual bolts. I was surprised to see this with the low humidity and relatively cool air tonight so I decided to take a look at radar and the nearest activity is around Goldsboro and Fayetteville. I am located in Eden, NC and both of these locations are a little over 100 miles away. The clouds and lightning look like they are less than 30 miles away. Quite an unusual site.

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Foggiest/smokiest morning I have seen in a long time. Driving home from work this morning there were times vis was 100 ft especially near the river and where there are large fields near the road.

No rain yesterday and no chances in the forecast till Tues of next week, hope that pattern change happens, also the setup the next few weeks looks to be kinda favorable for tropical development maybe we will get lucky and get a rare July hurricane.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6)

STATION: COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT SC

MONTH: JUNE

YEAR: 2011

LATITUDE: 33 57 N

LONGITUDE: 81 7 W

TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND

================================================================================

1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

12Z AVG MX 2MIN

DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR

================================================================================

1 97 75 86 10 0 21 0.00 0.0 0 5.4 15 80 M M 2 8 21 70

2 97 69 83 7 0 18 0.91 0.0 0 4.2 33 360 M M 4 138 52 360

3 91 72 82 6 0 17 0.08 0.0 0 3.7 12 10 M M 5 138 18 340

4 94 68 81 5 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 2.0 9 20 M M 2 18 13 20

5 98 72 85 9 0 20 T 0.0 0 4.6 20 10 M M 3 138 28 360

6 92 73 83 6 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 6.2 17 80 M M 3 8 24 100

7 92 68 80 3 0 15 0.00 0.0 0 2.4 13 210 M M 2 18 18 200

8 96 71 84 7 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 5.3 13 260 M M 1 15 260

9 95 73 84 7 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 4.8 12 200 M M 4 38 16 170

10 96 71 84 6 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 5.3 13 160 M M 1 17 150

11 94 71 83 5 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 4.5 14 110 M M 3 17 110

12 98 71 85 7 0 20 0.08 0.0 0 4.6 16 340 M M 2 138 23 340

13 96 71 84 6 0 19 0.01 0.0 0 4.3 15 30 M M 3 138 23 40

14 93 73 83 5 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 7.1 16 290 M M 4 21 280

15 93 68 81 2 0 16 0.54 0.0 0 5.7 30 330 M M 4 13 39 330

16 93 69 81 2 0 16 0.01 0.0 0 6.5 20 290 M M 5 18 23 270

17 92 70 81 2 0 16 T 0.0 0 2.2 15 280 M M 6 8 20 260

18 97 72 85 6 0 20 0.17 0.0 0 8.2 25 320 M M 6 138 35 320

19 98 70 84 5 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 7.5 22 280 M M 4 28 280

20 101 76 89 10 0 24 0.00 0.0 0 8.5 25 260 M M 4 3 31 270

21 101 72 87 7 0 22 0.50 0.0 0 5.8 31 190 M M 3 138 43 170

22 96 71 84 4 0 19 0.28 0.0 0 6.4 23 260 M M 5 138 30 260

23 93 72 83 3 0 18 0.04 0.0 0 6.6 30 280 M M 5 3 36 290

24 94 70 82 2 0 17 0.18 0.0 0 8.5 30 280 M M 6 138 38 280

25 91 68 80 0 0 15 0.00 0.0 0 3.5 13 280 M M 4 16 280

26 98 69 84 4 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 3.9 14 310 M M 4 1 17 300

27 96 75 86 6 0 21 0.00 0.0 0 5.4 13 210 M M 4 20 250

28 95 76 86 5 0 21 T 0.0 0 7.0 26 190 M M 4 3 36 190

29 93 73 83 2 0 18 0.07 0.0 0 3.4 14 150 M M 6 138 16 150

================================================================================

SM 2760 2069 0 538 2.87 0.0 153.5 M 109

================================================================================

AV 95.2 71.3 5.3 FASTST M M 4 MAX(MPH)

MISC ----> # 33 360 # 52 360

================================================================================

NOTES:

# LAST OF SEVERAL OCCURRENCES

COLUMN 17 PEAK WIND IN M.P.H.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2

STATION: COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT SC

MONTH: JUNE

YEAR: 2011

LATITUDE: 33 57 N

LONGITUDE: 81 7 W

[TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16

AVERAGE MONTHLY: 83.3 TOTAL FOR MONTH: 2.87 1 = FOG OR MIST

DPTR FM NORMAL: 4.8 DPTR FM NORMAL: -1.94 2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY

HIGHEST: 101 ON 21,20 GRTST 24HR 0.99 ON 2- 3 TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS

LOWEST: 68 ON 25,15 3 = THUNDER

SNOW, ICE PELLETS, HAIL 4 = ICE PELLETS

TOTAL MONTH: 0.0 INCH 5 = HAIL

GRTST 24HR 0.0 6 = FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE

GRTST DEPTH: 0 7 = DUSTSTORM OR SANDSTORM:

VSBY 1/2 MILE OR LESS

8 = SMOKE OR HAZE

[NO. OF DAYS WITH] [WEATHER - DAYS WITH] 9 = BLOWING SNOW

X = TORNADO

MAX 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.01 INCH OR MORE: 12

MAX 90 OR ABOVE: 29 0.10 INCH OR MORE: 6

MIN 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.50 INCH OR MORE: 3

MIN 0 OR BELOW: 0 1.00 INCH OR MORE: 0

[HDD (BASE 65) ]

TOTAL THIS MO. 0 CLEAR (SCALE 0-3) 10

DPTR FM NORMAL 0 PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7) 19

TOTAL FM JUL 1 2541 CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10) 0

DPTR FM NORMAL -53

[CDD (BASE 65) ]

TOTAL THIS MO. 538

DPTR FM NORMAL 164 [PRESSURE DATA]

TOTAL FM JAN 1 1026 HIGHEST SLP M ON M

DPTR FM NORMAL 346 LOWEST SLP 29.75 ON 20

[REMARKS]

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I had 3.96" on the month of June. There were a ton of events in the .25" range, I actually thought it was much more than actually received. Last June's total here was around a trace.

Barely edged you out with 3.99". Like you I had many events around .25 before I finally hit the jackpot with 2" Tuesday night. I'm beginning to think we are going to have to wait a little longer for any southwest flow over the Carolinas. The GFS seems pretty well set on keeping the trough centered over the lakes and New England through at least the next ten days keeping us under mainly westerly and northwesterly flow. The 12Z GFS ENS are a little more bullish about building the Bermuda High thus putting us in southwesterly flow for a time but this would not be until later next week. Seems like were going to have a hard time fighting off the influence of the ridge to our west. At least with the weakness in heights we should get periodic fronts that stall across the area with increased chances for organized thunderstorms.

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I had 3.96" on the month of June. There were a ton of events in the .25" range, I actually thought it was much more than actually received. Last June's total here was around a trace.

It rained 10 days in June at my house, but I still only managed to eke out 2.52" for the month.

This, after the massive May fail: 10 days of rain that month, too, bringing only 1.68".

That was after the April disappointment: 12 days it rained that month, while somehow giving up only 3.27".

That's how 2011 has gone. I'm sitting on 14.9" for the year to date -- averaging a smidgen under 2.5"/mo. It's bad. Drought is the new way of life here. Well...less grass-cutting, anyway. And at least my 80-year-old blueberry stands, their old roots down to the groundwater, look fantastic. There will be cobbler for July 4th -- topped with snow cream I have kept stored since Dec. 26th. That snow was the last interesting weather phenomenon to have shown its face at my house. For watchable weather this year, I may as well be living in San Diego.

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Barely edged you out with 3.99". Like you I had many events around .25 before I finally hit the jackpot with 2" Tuesday night. I'm beginning to think we are going to have to wait a little longer for any southwest flow over the Carolinas. The GFS seems pretty well set on keeping the trough centered over the lakes and New England through at least the next ten days keeping us under mainly westerly and northwesterly flow. The 12Z GFS ENS are a little more bullish about building the Bermuda High thus putting us in southwesterly flow for a time but this would not be until later next week. Seems like were going to have a hard time fighting off the influence of the ridge to our west. At least with the weakness in heights we should get periodic fronts that stall across the area with increased chances for organized thunderstorms.

I agree. The GFS has a murky look now, more nw flowish, we just can't shake the southern plains stubborn ridge and the New England trough. The fourth may feature an MCS approaching, as a front in Iowa is heading toward Va and NC, so something may develop along it. After that, its unsure how much moisture or lift is left, there may be a very weak low to lolligag somewhere in the Southeast, or just a faint weakness. Either way, its showing atleast scattered showers much of next week, but not the midnation trough it had earlier.

. For watchable weather this year, I may as well be living in San Diego.

thats how it was here last year, nothing fell here last Summer until August, literally. But for this area, its been practically nonstop action (or feels that way) since December. I'm really right around average in rain, but lots of small events and a lot of interesting high wind events, lightning shows and plenty of convection has made this year one of the best I can remember since the 1990's sometime. For all the wind damage events, its definitely #1 in my lifetime of living here. I've seen enough of those, and am ready for big rains.

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The hot, humid days continue for the SE. Welcome to summer in the SE. However, I would like to note those GFS runs from a few days ago that had KATL in the 100+ range. KATL was plenty hot (mid 90's), but those GFS runs are verifying quite a bit too hot. This is more like some of the very hot Euro runs of the last few summers. The GFS has recently had a strong warm bias in the northern hemisphere as a whole after recent modifications. Are we going to be seeing more of this kind of thing with the GFS this summer? We'll see. At the very least, I'm going to at least be somewhat skeptical of ridiculously hot GFS runs this summer, especially at KATL and vicinity, and try to keep following the verifications.

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ok....heat started late in May.....and we still have not got a break!!! July here we are....last nite at 10:30 I was on my way home from across the street....It was still 86 degrees and humid! This stinks! I'm sick of summers being nothing but 90's....This is not how it used to be....mid-upper 80's were norm and we had few 90's splashed in there....hope this heat breaks in July.....GAG!:gun_bandana:

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