WNCwx Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 I have a very old cam, so not the best quality I think it still shows the lightning flashes very well, better than my 2009 model pocket camcorder does. Seeing storms track from NE Georgia into South Carolina (from my lawn chair observation post in Franklin, NC) in the distance at night is one of the things I look forward to in the summer. They seem to follow nearly the same route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1021 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011 .UPDATE... MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO POPS...MAINLY LOWERED THEM A LITTLE FOR THE MORNING...AND CLOUDS TO FIT CURRENT RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES MADE TO CURRENT FORECAST GRIDS. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 735 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011/ SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... TOP STORY FOR THE AREA REVOLVES AROUND DEEP...LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE MIDWEST TODAY. MODEL SOLUTION CONSENSUS TRACKS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. WITH CENTER OF THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN THE SOUTH ATLANTIC BIGHT...GOOD SOUTHWEST FLOW HAS USHERED IN AMPLE MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH DECENT INSTABILITIES AND SHEAR...WILL PRODUCE STRONG STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS. QUESTION WILL BE WHETHER MORNING CLOUD COVER WILL INHIBIT STORM DEVELOPMENT. MODELED SHEAR STILL IN THE 20-25KTS RANGE...WHICH IS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...AND EXPECT PRIMARY HAZARD TO BE DAMAGING WINDS. SPC HAS INCLUDED PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST GEORGIA IN THE SLIGHT RISK FOR TODAY. LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS FOR TODAY DIMINISH TO GOOD CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS FOR THURSDAY...WITH MORE OF A WESTERLY WIND COMPONENT IN THE FLOW ALOFT SERVING TO CUT OFF GULF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. PLENTY OF INSTABILITY STILL PROGGED FOR THE AREA...SO ANOTHER DAY OF STRONG STORMS WITH ISOLATED SEVERE EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH COVERAGE SHOULD BE LESS THAN TODAY. HAVE GENERALLY TENDED TOWARDS THE COOLER BIAS ADJUSTED GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS...WITH PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER AND PRECIP ACTIVITY INHIBITING DAYTIME HEATING. ON THE OTHER HAND...THESE WILL ALSO PREVENT OVERNIGHT LOWS FROM DROPPING...SO HAVE GONE WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER GUIDANCE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. 31 LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... CHAOTIC EXTENDED IN STORE...AS TROUGH AXIS REMAINS IN PLACE ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD INTO EARLY WEEK. AS A RESULT...GEORGIA REMAINS IN AN ACTIVE PATTERN...WITH SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS EACH DAY...WITH DAYTIME HEATING DRIVING CONVECTION. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIODS...AND EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL PRECIP...AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. Storms today and rain chances for about a week straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperNET Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Best rain event of the year for me. 1.94" fell last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 I guess all my hard work drumming and dancing to the rain gods finally paid off last night Constant lightning, house shaking thunder, from not just one............but THREE separate cells that moved directly over my house, giving me a grand total of .83 in the bucket Maybe they just got tired of hearing me whine...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 It's gonna pour in a little bit here in Marietta. Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Best rain event of the year for me. 1.94" fell last night. ....but THREE separate cells that moved directly over my house, giving me a grand total of .83 in the bucket Maybe they just got tired of hearing me whine...... Glad you finally got a good storm (or more!). Looks like we're not done. Already the SPC is watching northern Al and TN , but looks like for GA there's a quickly developing cluster as well. Its about to gear up again and get many areas with good storms. Great pattern,, hopefully eastern Carolinas can finally get hit . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Rain just started, big blob coming my way. My flowers are rejoicing!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 *blammo* That storm in Douglas County was intense. Probably the highest winds I've seen that weren't accompanied by some kind of hail. Great driving sheets of rain. OK, stupid question here for the people who actually know how to estimate windspeed - when a heathy 15' high sweetgum whiptree about 4" in diameter is bent over to a couple of feet about the ground, but not actually broken - what's a realistic wind speed? I used to have a paper on estimating windspeed using trees/flags/etc from spotter classes ages ago but couldn't find it. So didn't report it to NWS, not really knowing what would have been a reasonable estimate or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Yep, we have a large complex making a beeline up I-85 toward Atlanta, should be here in a couple of hours. I've been having some issues with Internet Explorer on some of my Google radar loops getting Stack Overflow messages. It works fine in Firefox and Chrome. If anyone can try this link and tell me what happens http://www.daculaweather.com/ridge_georgia_master.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kennedy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Yep, we have a large complex making a beeline up I-85 toward Atlanta, should be here in a couple of hours. I've been having some issues with Internet Explorer on some of my Google radar loops getting Stack Overflow messages. It works fine in Firefox and Chrome. If anyone can try this link and tell me what happens http://www.daculawea...rgia_master.php Stack overflow @ line one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Yep, we have a large complex making a beeline up I-85 toward Atlanta, should be here in a couple of hours. I've been having some issues with Internet Explorer on some of my Google radar loops getting Stack Overflow messages. It works fine in Firefox and Chrome. If anyone can try this link and tell me what happens http://www.daculawea...rgia_master.php works fine for me using IE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Glad you finally got a good storm (or more!). Looks like we're not done. Already the SPC is watching northern Al and TN , but looks like for GA there's a quickly developing cluster as well. Its about to gear up again and get many areas with good storms. Great pattern,, hopefully eastern Carolinas can finally get hit . Hopefully those that have missed out lately (Tony,Sean,Kanc,Stormsfury, etc) will get in on some much needed action soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Pouring at KSU. On the way home its an absolute deluge. Pretty good winds also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Just a clarification on what I saw yesterday. The pics are showing the updraft region of a discrete cell that was north of Raeford at the time. When I was in the rain curtains that was when the cells behind it moved in overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 As the thunderstorms start to redevelop this afternoon... here are my thoughts. Looks like we stay active through the weekend! http://www.avlweatherblog.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Warnings now issued for the line of thunderstorms in or near Atlanta, GA. Charlotte, NC could be impacted in 3-4 hours if the line maintains current speed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Always interesting to see how the HRRR composite is doing compared to the actual radar... looks like its handling the convection in MS, AL, TN, and GA well, but pretty much overdoing the stuff in NC at this point. HRRR Composite: Actual Radar: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 As the thunderstorms start to redevelop this afternoon... here are my thoughts. Looks like we stay active through the weekend! http://www.avlweatherblog.com/ Looks like I will be dodging some storms this weekend while hiking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raysum Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Mesoscale Discussion 1360< Previous MD MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1360 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0344 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN GA...WRN NC/SC CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 222044Z - 222215Z FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS CURRENTLY OVER NCNTRL GA IS CURRENTLY MOVING NEWD ALONG AN INSTABILITY AXIS. WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS...A WW IS POSSIBLE. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM AHEAD OF THE MCS /LOW 90S/ LEADING TO STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DCAPE VALUES OVER 1000 J/KG. THOUGH LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE PER LOCAL VWP DATA...THE MCS WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS IT TRACKS ALONG AN AXIS OF SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. IF THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS ORGANIZATION...IT WILL POSE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS. ..JIRAK.. 06/22/2011 ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...FFC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Round 1 is about through, very nice heavy rain followed by some steady rains. Round two could be coming through later tonight if it can hold together! Rain yea! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 very nice coverage today. Looks like GA is getting blasted now. and the SPC thinks this may work up 85 and strengthen. We haven't really had too much come to this part of NC yet from that direction, which is odd. Other than yesterday. Used to be the "norm". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 very nice coverage today. Looks like GA is getting blasted now. and the SPC thinks this may work up 85 and strengthen. We haven't really had too much come to this part of NC yet from that direction, which is odd. Other than yesterday. Used to be the "norm". Could have some microburst potential in Upstate SC and Piedmont of NC as the squall line is moving right into an area of high DCAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Could have some microburst potential in Upstate SC and Piedmont of NC as the squall line is moving right into an area of high DCAPE. seems so odd now to be watching a severe line from that direction...i forgot how to even go about it lol. There's no mtns atleast. We're sunny and unstable, and its almost climo perfect timing here, so we'll see how it goes. I just got in and haven't looked at anything but SPC, and radar. Its bowing already, and filling in behind the main bow with heavy rain, so there's going to be cool pools to develop, which is a good sign if you like severe and a lot of rain afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 very nice coverage today. Looks like GA is getting blasted now. and the SPC thinks this may work up 85 and strengthen. We haven't really had too much come to this part of NC yet from that direction, which is odd. Other than yesterday. Used to be the "norm". Still loaded to the north. I got .1 when the tall end dragged through. The next line looks like it has a shield south of Atl. but who knows what it will look like when it gets here My whole county is drying up. A friend on the far eastern border of Spalding Co. has just .3 for June and I'm on the west side and I have 30 drops over .3 now. I think I'm the new Foothills/Lookout this year, lol. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Up goes the SVR Watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Wow we are getting very heavy rain and storing winds. Been off lune much of the day and got hime just in time. Some thunder but the rain and winds are the most impressive right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juspeachy Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Nice little storm going on here. Lots of wind & rain, but very little lightning. Rain might stick around a little while... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 It sure is humid after that rain. Temp is 74 with a dp of 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Off topic... Sirens are going off in North Dakota calling for 12,000 residents to evacuate by tomorrow morning because of flooding! The mayor was in tears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted June 22, 2011 Share Posted June 22, 2011 Picked up .60 last night,2.4'' for the month. Think my area may be getting in the next band around 9 or 10 PM tonight,we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.