FoothillsNC Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 small but intense looking line crossing the srn Mtns of NC now about to enter ne GA and nw SC. We'll see how that holds together. Also a firing in eastern NC tonight. Better late than never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Never looking forward to something like that ever again haha, we need the rain but not that extreme. Looking forward to something like this: Dennis: Floyd: Rainfal Totals: http://www.learnnc.org/lp/table.php?id=6246 Rainfall from hurricanes Dennis, Floyd, and Irene, September–October 1999 Provided by U.S. Geological Survey Rainfall amounts, in inches, associated with Hurricanes Dennis, Floyd, and Irene, September - October 1999; Hurricane Fran, September 1996; and annual average (1960-90) rainfall at selected locations in North Carolina Location = Hurricane Dennis (Sept. 3–7) = Hurricane Floyd (Sept. 14–17) = =Hurricane Irene (Oct. 17–18) = Sept - Oct. 1999 total = Annual average rainfall Tar-Pamlico River Basin Oxford 6.07 5.67 1.94 20.15 43 (est.) Louisburg 5.59 8.88 2.01 24.34 45.56 Rocky Mount 5.06-7.59 14.07-18.00 5.16 37.72 44.24 Enfield 7.01 11.84 4.30 32.39 44.54 Greenville 7.03 12.63 3.29 30.20 49.00 Washington 7.60 10.73 5.07 31.05 46.96 Neuse River Basin Durham 3.30 5.98 0.91 18.60 48.10 Raleigh 8.46 6.55 1.50 24.24 41.43 Clayton 5.35 9.80 2.59 20.98 45.11 Goldsboro 7.19-7.94 12.06-12.70 4.36 32.10 49.27 Wilson 7.60 10.73 5.07 31.05 46.96 Kinston 6.07-6.93 13.35-13.98 5.37 29.48 51.20 New Bern 4.00 5.51 6.39 19.82 53.11 Trenton 7.42 14.98 — >24.60a 52.22 Cape Fear River Basin Chapel Hill 12.52 4.67 0.84 26.55 46.02 Dunn 4.50 7.65 4.34 23.81 47.72 Fayetteville 2.12 7.23 4.19 21.83 46.72 Clinton 2.96 11.50 4.33 27.50 49(est.) Willard 1.30 13.23 — >21.01a 53.04 Elizabethtown >1.19b >14.19b >6.69b >28.00b 46.78 Wilmington 0.59 19.06 2.73 27.10 54.27 Waccamaw and Lumber River Basins Lumberton 1.34 9.82 5.48 24.16 46.54 Whiteville 1.52 16.76 5.97 34.27 48.73 Other sites Lewiston 3.56 9.73 3.47 19.55 46.82 Williamston 7.20 16.28 5.54 35.55 48.07 Edenton 5.07 6.18 6.12 23.59 48.54 Elizabeth City 7.68 2.64 5.06 17.73 48.48 Plymouth 5.03 7.37 -- >15.15a 51.06 Morehead City 4.29 4.33 — >11.21a 55.05 Hoffman Forest 6.49 9.78 — >19.58a 55.60 (a) October rainfall records are unavailable. ( Partial record; some missing values for period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 We have some amazing continuous lightning here in Jville atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Well well, look at what has erupted to my northwest: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Well well, look at what has erupted to my northwest: And it still continues to hold as it heads Southeast into the Apps with a few severe thunderstorms still occurring in spots and plenty of flooding. This impulse will likely have impact further down the road in the next few hours as the rain and storms move through the Carolinas throughout the day with some instability in place and plenty of moisture. The threat for more strong wind gusts due to the presence of favorable WNW flow aloft and some large hail will be possible under any of the stronger storms. We'll see what comes to pass this go around. SPC still holding on to the slight risk idea for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 As much as 4-6 inches has fallen just to my west this morning, nothing here yet but it has been booming all morning. Morristown might have to put sand bags out at this rate. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Some amazing photos of the Wall Cloud that moved over Simpsonville, SC yesterday in the Tornado Warned cell. http://ulocal.wyff4.com/service/searchEverything.kickAction?as=63260&sortType=recent&includePhoto=on&keywords=%22weather%22&widgetId=253455 Here are a couple of the better shots: Looks like it crossed over I-385 at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted June 20, 2011 Author Share Posted June 20, 2011 No drops last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Got lucky overnight - 2 storms dropped .28" in the bucket. Now up to .65" for the month. A bed and breakfast in Raleigh caught fire after being hit by lightning overnight around 2:00AM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Looking outside this morning you would think it's March 20th instead of June 20th with all this darn wind blowing outside...it's been sustained at 25-30 mph with gusts over 40 since before daylight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Looking outside this morning you would think it's March 20th instead of June 20th with all this darn wind blowing outside...it's been sustained at 25-30 mph with gusts over 40 since before daylight. Same here. Most wind I've seen in a while. Very warm also with temp at 80. Looks like the heavy weather is going to pass over you in Pleasant Gardens. Whoops, there goes the porch chairs........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Looking outside this morning you would think it's March 20th instead of June 20th with all this darn wind blowing outside...it's been sustained at 25-30 mph with gusts over 40 since before daylight. rain is trying to get here, but keeps disippating just north. Atleast its cooler with the clouds. The clouds might keep the highs from reaching their forecast high again,by atleast 10 degrees, which would be fine with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Same here. Most wind I've seen in a while. Very warm also with temp at 80. Looks like the heavy weather is going to pass over you in Pleasant Gardens. Whoops, there goes the porch chairs........ you're 80 already? I'm 74 and no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted June 20, 2011 Author Share Posted June 20, 2011 rain is trying to get here, but keeps disippating just north. Atleast its cooler with the clouds. The clouds might keep the highs from reaching their forecast high again,by atleast 10 degrees, which would be fine with me. Robert, are my chances of getting 3 drops any better today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Robert, are my chances of getting 3 drops any better today? whatever you had yesterday, double it. We're about to get into just pop up convection, it will be reduced in coverage since the ridge is building but mtns will be one local spot for the majority, and probably foothills /nw piedmont . Can't rule out a pop up storm anywhere this week though, and if you get it, it could be a big one but most folks won't. What does form should head north to south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 This is the way it has been for the last two hours. Still no rain, and the temp has dropped to 78. The Hemlocks in the vid are 70 feet tall. They sure are getting their excersize today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 rain is trying to get here, but keeps disippating just north. Atleast its cooler with the clouds. The clouds might keep the highs from reaching their forecast high again,by atleast 10 degrees, which would be fine with me. Yeah its driving me crazy watching these things die over the mountains. Yes the debris clouds are keeping out temperatures down to more comfortable levels but its also killing our storm chances in the afternoon by keeping instability down to a minimum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Dead calm now. Very unusual weather. Hard to believe all Hell was breaking loose just 20 minutes ago. Calm before the storm???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 My phone alert woke me up just before 3am for a stw, as I was checking the radar there was a lightning strike close by and the thunder shook the house. Once again the little cell missed me. This makes the third time in 2 days I have been under a warning without a drop of rain falling. Now at day 24 with temps above 90+ The heat continues...... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...MIDLANDS/CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA/PEE DEE. * IMPACTS...HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE AROUND 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Yeah its driving me crazy watching these things die over the mountains. Yes the debris clouds are keeping out temperatures down to more comfortable levels but its also killing our storm chances in the afternoon by keeping instability down to a minimum. exactly. probably what helped this area to be so calm yesterday as well. Looks like the activity in KY is gearing up and organizing so far, so downstream would place it in nw NC and ne TN and sw VA soon, probably advecting and growing into much of western to northern NC by mid afternoon and maybe into a huge cluster for much of central NC late afternoon, but thats based on the flow and developing ridge. When we had developing ridges to our south previously, the day before big hit set in, its common to get walloped esp. around the nw piedmont to foothills, hopefully as many people as possible get wet today before tomorrows bad heat and pure sinking air. Dead calm now. Very unusual weather. Hard to believe all Hell was breaking loose just 20 minutes ago. Calm before the storm???? Several reports around the upper part of Rutherford to Cleveland had shown strong consistent wind, in addition to yours and Dan's. Even before any rain hit, just a lot of wind for quite a long time. Watching the radar it was showing the moisture just dissipating right around that area, so thats probably the areas that had the high winds, as the rain came over the mountains and downsloped it got eat up. That process probably translated energy into mass at the surface(wind) that started aloft and spread out at the ground surface. It never made it here, but I've seen that process occasionally here, similar to a gust front but longer lasting. It'll be interesting to see if a boundary sets up somewhere from that for the storms later on coming from KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Story for the day? NC/SC - possible severe GA/AL - Blazing Heat and High Dewpoints.... 96 forecast high today for me Dewpoint is at 72 now ugh, super nasty heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 I really hope we avoid yet another screw job today. This will be one of the worst weeks of the summer (and one that makes me question living here). We will see what survives the apps this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 have to watch KY and the srn Apps today. The winds are sw west of the apps and nw east, with high dewpoint air being advected in, so theres a strong quasi-boundary stretching nw to se , this usually ends up being severe for TN VA and NC possibly even down to n. GA and SC as well, but it depends on how they survived the worked over environment in that area. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1315 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0853 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN INDIANA AND WESTERN/SOUTHERN OH TO SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS VICINITY CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 201353Z - 201530Z SEVERAL QUASI-LINEAR CLUSTERS /WITH SOME EMBEDDED AND OCCASIONAL BOWING/ WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR WITHIN A CORRIDOR FROM SOUTHERN/EASTERN INDIANA AND WESTERN/SOUTHERN OH SOUTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN KY/WESTERN WV AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS VICINITY. IF AN UPSWING IN CONVECTIVE TRENDS CONTINUE...ONE OR MORE WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING. AFOREMENTIONED STRONG/SEVERE INITIALLY ELEVATED LINEAR-TYPE CLUSTERS ARE OCCURRING ALONG AN EFFECTIVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY/EDGE OF THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT WITH A WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FEED OF INSTABILITY AS PER REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS AND 12Z OBSERVED RAOBS FROM NASHVILLE TN/LINCOLN IL/WILMINGTON OH. WHILE GRADUAL SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL TEND TO OCCUR WITH TIME AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS NOT INITIALLY VERY UNSTABLE/CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER EXISTS...THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER COLD POOL EXPANSION/UPSCALE GROWTH AND GRADUAL DIURNAL WARMING MAY SUPPORT AN INCREASING DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL THROUGH LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL. another phase of cooling in the cloudtops over Ky and srn Ohio now, just when it was looking to end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Lightning is beating down all around the house right now and the rain has picked up hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Very heavy rain and storms in SE KY, SW VA, and NE TN right now. It appears to be continually training over the same area. If it can cross the Apps, I'm right in line for some decent rainfall. I've had sprinkles all morning, but I'm only at 0.05 inches so far. These clouds and damp conditions seem to indicate to me that our forecast high of 93 from GSP is going to bust big time. I don't see us getting much warmer than low 80s unless the sun really breaks through soon. This day is almost a carbon copy of yesterday so far...and I am not complaining at all. Who wants 90s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Lightning is beating down all around the house right now and the rain has picked up hard. just to your west look how much rain has occurred since Thursday. I know a lot of this has happened last night and this morning in NE Tn, looks like 10" to 15" total which is amazing. Where are the ne TN posters ? This area is ground zero today maybe a smidge east as the upper low to the ne and devloping ridge to the south holds this nw to se stretching boundary in place, so its probably going to keep on repeating today. Eastern Ky /ne TN and sw VA is really going to get hammered today with both strong storms and training rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Very hot in the Charleston area today. Airport already at 90, already up to 87 on James Island. Gonna be a very hot day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 just to your west look how much rain has occurred since Thursday. I know a lot of this has happened last night and this morning in NE Tn, looks like 10" to 15" total which is amazing. Where are the ne TN posters ? This area is ground zero today maybe a smidge east as the upper low to the ne and devloping ridge to the south holds this nw to se stretching boundary in place, so its probably going to keep on repeating today. Eastern Ky /ne TN and sw VA is really going to get hammered today with both strong storms and training rainfall. I know and the crazy thing is i've only picked up about 2 inches or so in that same time frame, which is still alot but it is just sprinkles compared to the stuff out west. Radar's estimated I've picked up around in inch since my last post, power went out for just a little bit but is back on. It has been thundering ever since about 5:30-6:00 a.m. this morning but that lightning that just came through was pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 I know and the crazy thing is i've only picked up about 2 inches or so in that same time frame, which is still alot but it is just sprinkles compared to the stuff out west. Radar's estimated I've picked up around in inch since my last post, power went out for just a little bit but is back on. It has been thundering ever since about 5:30-6:00 a.m. this morning but that lightning that just came through was pretty bad. not sure where you're at exactly but eastern KY is just getting hammered now, with continuous back building just on aline from east of Lexington to Corbin and its hardly budging from that eminating point. The Jackson radar shows 1.6" to 2" in the last hour, and there's plenty more where that came from , so if this doesn't dwindle or move soon, there will be major flooding in large part of eastern Ky and ne TN, probably going to grow to sw VA as well. The only thing saving there is the lack of precedent heavy rain. Should be an interesting day. I'd love to see some heavy rain train this area , but thats hard to come by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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