Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,609
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

Jonesing for a Chase


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

That and the fact that Los Mochis is about halfway Los Angeles and Acapulco :D

Learn something new everyday...

 

Los Mochis was founded in 1893 by a group of American utopian socialists who were adherents of Albert Kimsey Owen, an American civil engineer who built the first irrigation ditches in the valley. The colony, organized under the principles of utopian socialism, survived for 30 years. Albert K. Owen, the American civil engineer who came to do studies for the construction of a railway, was enchanted by Ohuira Bay and imagined the city of the future, where railways and shipping lines converged to ship throughout the entire world. Today, the port city of Topolobampo continues to be developed and may one day reach Owen's dream.

 

 

 

I think you can fly direct on Aeromexico Connect from Monterrey to Culiacan, I think you'd have to make a connection to Los Mochis.  If I'm reading it right.

 

It'll be tight.  8:41 on Aeromexico Connect arriving 9:17.  Time zone involved.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It looks like Manuel finally made landfall in Sinaloa, after stalling on the coast for hours, with an intensity of 65 kt/987 mb.  An odd twist ending to this one.

 

I almost got on a plane to chase this one today, but it came ashore to fast.  I'm glad I didn't-- doesn't seem like it was quite worth it. That having been said, there are some very exposed beach communities right near the center, and I imagine they're getting nailed pretty good--  for example, Dautillos (24.72N 107.97W).

 

post-19-0-66246900-1379585551_thumb.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Uber-ambitious plan to try and intercept Usagi starting tomorrow morning, will require a huge amount of luck but it's worth the risk and effort. It should peak as a cat 5 soon per JTWC, more updates to come.

 

Did you see my post on Usagi yesterday in this thread?  It might have gotten lost in the discussion of Manuel, but I wanted to know if you were chasing, and if so, if you would be heading to southern Taiwan or what?  Good luck!  It's looking like a real monster right now, and even with an ERC or two, should almost certainly hit or brush Taiwan as a Cat 3+ with a good shot of at least the southern tip of Taiwan experiencing the northern eyewall. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It looks like Manuel finally made landfall in Sinaloa, after stalling on the coast for hours, with an intensity of 65 kt/987 mb.  An odd twist ending to this one.

 

I almost got on a plane to chase this one today, but it came ashore to fast.  I'm glad I didn't-- doesn't seem like it was quite worth it. That having been said, there are some very exposed beach communities right near the center, and I imagine they're getting nailed pretty good--  for example, Dautillos (24.72N 107.97W).

 

attachicon.gifrad-guas13.jpg

 

Hmm, super slow-moving low-end hurricane dropping copious amounts of rain?  Sounds like your Isaac chase to me (minus the massive eyewall and a tad weaker).  I have a feeling the constant driving rain and wind with this one would become really physically and emotionally draining, especially if you had to deal with numerous washed-out roads which appears to be occurring.  In retrospect, probably not a bad idea that you sat this one out. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hmm, super slow-moving low-end hurricane dropping copious amounts of rain?  Sounds like your Isaac chase to me (minus the massive eyewall and a tad weaker).  I have a feeling the constant driving rain and wind with this one would become really physically and emotionally draining, especially if you had to deal with numerous washed-out roads which appears to be occurring.  In retrospect, probably not a bad idea that you sat this one out. 

 

Yeah, exactly.  I was thinking exactly that-- that this would have been like Issac, the way it just stalled/wobbled on the coast-- and yeah, it does kind of wear you out.  And, yeah, I'm OK about missing this one.  The low-end intensity would not have been enough to justify what's probably a nightmare in terms of washed-out roads.  Also, it was basically a nighttime event.

 

On the other hand, it must have been cool to be in those exposed towns right on the coast.  And Manuel is a cool name.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

a few individual members have it too :D

 

Hey, it's a start.   :)

 

I looked coser at the 12Z GFS... The feature forms near the Lesser Antilles around Day 10 and moves basically W, reaching the Yucatan as a decent cyclone by Day 16.

 

Yeah, it's way out there in fantasyland, but it's an improvement-- the first time in a long time the GFS is actually sniffing a solid, deep-tropical cyclone.  Even if the feature disappears in the 00Z, I'm just hoping it's a signal that the environment is becoming more hospitable.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Rays of sunshine in an otherwise bleak landscape.

 

And 15 km resolution FIM-9 that runs through 168 hours supports the development forecast on the long range 30 km FIM-8.  Verbatim, a 50-55 knot storm hitting Florida, but the 30 km FIM-8 global, maybe better.

 

And nobody wants Florida to exceed 8 years w/o a hurricane.

 

Can't get too optimisitic, not supported by GEFS, or op GFS.  But in a dead season, any port in a storm.

post-138-0-87581500-1380206405_thumb.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Rays of sunshine in an otherwise bleak landscape.

 

And 15 km resolution FIM-9 that runs through 168 hours supports the development forecast on the long range 30 km FIM-8.  Verbatim, a 50-55 knot storm hitting Florida, but the 30 km FIM-8 global, maybe better.

 

And nobody wants Florida to exceed 8 years w/o a hurricane.

 

Can't get too optimisitic, not supported by GEFS, or op GFS.  But in a dead season, any port in a storm.

 

:wub:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...