HurricaneJosh Posted October 24, 2011 Author Share Posted October 24, 2011 Well... I said I was done for the season after Jova. And I sincerely meant it at the time. But... c'mon. It's hard to ignore a forecast for a hurricane on the Yucatan in October. That combo of words-- hurricane, Yucatan, October-- is just a little too hawt to ignore. So I ain't ignorin' it. I guess the crack pipe is still lit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
left_gulley Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Well... I said I was done for the season after Jova. And I sincerely meant it at the time. But... c'mon. It's hard to ignore a forecast for a hurricane on the Yucatan in October. That combo of words-- hurricane, Yucatan, October-- is just a little too hawt to ignore. So I ain't ignorin' it. I guess the crack pipe is still lit. Nice! Maybe you can rent a small boat in Belize and follow her around the NW Carribean in case she drifts aimlessly for a few days as per the 00z GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Well, now that Rina is a hurricane...?.?.....??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 24, 2011 Author Share Posted October 24, 2011 Nice! Maybe you can rent a small boat in Belize and follow her around the NW Carribean in case she drifts aimlessly for a few days as per the 00z GFS! It's evil of you to even suggest such a miserable scenario. Well, now that Rina is a hurricane...?.?.....??? Well... It's looking interesting, for sure. The track is the big question now. The forecast has it skimming the E coast of the Yucatan. I am sure it will trend one way or the other over the next 24 hr. If it trends left, I'll go for it; if it trends right, I'll sit it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 24, 2011 Author Share Posted October 24, 2011 congrats Well, let's see what happens with it. It may or may not be chase material-- depends on how the track forecast evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
U_Thant Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Well, let's see what happens with it. It may or may not be chase material-- depends on how the track forecast evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 24, 2011 Author Share Posted October 24, 2011 :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Too much win to contain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 24, 2011 Author Share Posted October 24, 2011 It's almost as if you'd all be pleased if something bad happened to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Josh gets fooled again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypatia Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Given the current modeling... the predicted tracks don't suggest the best chase opportunity, given the approach towards the Yucatan and subsequent recurvature.... this looks like one of those decisions that will have to be made last minute if it's going to happen at all, considering the uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 Given the current modeling... the predicted tracks don't suggest the best chase opportunity, given the approach towards the Yucatan and subsequent recurvature.... this looks like one of those decisions that will have to be made last minute if it's going to happen at all, considering the uncertainty. Yep, exactly. Rina looks like a bit of a cliffhanger. The current NHC track would be totally hawt, but there's no margin for error. 30 mi E of that and it's a complete bust. My feeling is that the models (and NHC forecast) have to trend one way or the other over the next 24 hr-- which is about how much time I have to decide. So all I want is a clear trend either way: if it trends left, it's a go; if it trends right, it ain't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypatia Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Yep, exactly. Rina looks like a bit of a cliffhanger. The current NHC track would be totally hawt, but there's no margin for error. 30 mi E of that and it's a complete bust. My feeling is that the models (and NHC forecast) have to trend one way or the other over the next 24 hr-- which is about how much time I have to decide. So all I want is a clear trend either way: if it trends left, it's a go; if it trends right, it ain't. Well... I of course hope for a NE, stronger trend (given my positioning in FL)... yet I would also hope for an awesome chase opportunity in the Yucatan for you if that isn't possible... my IMBY desires are a pipe dream at this point, but if you could get a great chase out of it, I'm rootin' for ya. Anything in-between those two options would bum me out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 Well... I of course hope for a NE, stronger trend (given my positioning in FL)... yet I would also hope for an awesome chase opportunity in the Yucatan for you if that isn't possible... my IMBY desires are a pipe dream at this point, but if you could get a great chase out of it, I'm rootin' for ya. Anything in-between those two options would bum me out. Hey, a good 'cane in FL would suit all of us. That would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/143405.shtml?gm_track#contents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I say go. Might get lucky and get a major landfalling on the Yucatan, and if you didn't go, you'd be kicking yourself. If its a miss, virgin cocktails in coconut shells with little umbrellas on a hammock strung between palm trees, fresh catch of the day mojo de ajo style, then back to the Big City grind. As soon as Josh sells his first i-Cyclone DVD, besides being eligible for an orange tag (whether he wants it or not), his airfare, hotels and meals become business expenses, no? (Not an accountant). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I'm leaning farther south now, ridge looks stronger, and that will keep Rina moving steadily to the WNW before recurve starts in 36 hours...I even think she will hit a bit S of CZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 Well... It's very tempting. If I go, I'm flying out late tonight. I just need to have more consultation with the trusted advisors after the 12Z models come out. I'm a tad frightened Re: my business partner's reaction to another chase so soon after Jova. He's so supportive-- just a treasure-- but even he has his limits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Well... It's very tempting. If I go, I'm flying out late tonight. I just need to have more consultation with the trusted advisors after the 12Z models come out. I'm a tad frightened Re: my business partner's reaction to another chase so soon after Jova. He's so supportive-- just a treasure-- but even he has his limits. Invite him along. Get him hooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 Well, my business partner has given me his good graces. Bless his heart, he is precious. I'll buy him a gift when I return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAwxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Well, my business partner has given me his good graces. Bless his heart, he is precious. Ill buy him a gift when I return. Ooooo sounds like decision made? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Well, my business partner has given me his good graces. Bless his heart, he is precious. Ill buy him a gift when I return. Are you bringing BASTARD so you can get some juicy wind readings? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 Ooooo sounds like decision made? Well... I'm teetering on da edge. Are you bringing BASTARD so you can get some juicy wind readings? Unfortunately not. Cory is reengineering it a bit right now. It should be back in operation 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 lol. Latest NHC track. A bit further N over Cozumel and heading right at Puerto Morelos as a major before skimming the coast and missing Cancun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 lol. Latest NHC track. A bit further N over Cozumel and heading right at Puerto Morelos as a major before skimming the coast and missing Cancun. Of course it's driving me completely insane. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Of course it's driving me completely insane. Ugh. October 25th already... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 Yeah, that's how I justified it to my biz partner-- I was like, "There will not be anything else this year, and next year's gonna suck with the El Nino, so this could be my last meal in a really long time, and please don't be angry..." He was cool. He really is so supportive and caring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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