HurricaneJosh Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 I need a single place to be obsessive between actual chase projects, and so I'm resurrecting this thread from EasternUSWx. The EPAC cyclone last week and model hints on the NATL side have my juices flowing a little. I'm coming back to the USA on the 28th and I'm excited to catch me a big bad cyclone or two this year. The last few years have been... mixed. I've had some good successes, but no mega-score. It's frustrating, because I've given it my all-- but the good material just hasn't been there to chase. I've done six Cat 2s in a row now (OK, Karl was technically a Cat 3, but just barely). I feel like an actor who's begging the studio for a red-meat script, but keeps getting put in B-horror pictures and spaghetti westerns. I need an epic in 2011. I need to "rediscover" hurricanes this year. Give me 115 kt+ or give me nothing, dude!1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 I dont' know if I have ever heard a bendy tree strom referred to as a Sergio Leone creation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 I dont' know if I have ever heard a bendy tree strom referred to as a Sergio Leone creation. Hush, troll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 I see Josh spending a lot of time visiting Nana in Florida this year. Can you set up an office in Florida somewhere so you can save money on airfare to LAX or John Wayne? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 I guess I should repeat I'll still order bendy tree pr0n from i-Cyclone if they ever get it finished, so as to help financially support the effort... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Something tells me that Texas will be in your summer travel plans this year. And maybe more than once... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Something tells me that Texas will be in your summer travel plans this year. And maybe more than once... A Bret/Kenedy County bendy palms trip renting a car in CRP would be cool, close enough for local interest, far enough away I don't miss sports on TV... Probably not that particular car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Give me 115 kt+ or give me nothing, dude!1! Be careful what you ask for... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 Be careful what you ask for... I'm kind of serious, though... OK, maybe 100 kt or nothing. But if I chase one more 90-kt thing... grrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 I'm kind of serious, though... OK, maybe 100 kt or nothing. But if I chase one more 90-kt thing... grrrr. We're cool and not talking politicians? You're the last person I want snippiness with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 how is your cuban visa project going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Mentioned this in the Atlantic thread. August and September. Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 bad ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 We're cool and not talking politicians? You're the last person I want snippiness with. Yes, we're cool. No issues. how is your cuban visa project going? Ugh-- absolutely nothing. I'm annoyed with myself about it. I'm back in the USA in 2 weeks, will try to work on it then-- but it would probably be too late for this year. I have no one to blame but myself! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Ugh-- absolutely nothing. I'm annoyed with myself about it. I'm back in the USA in 2 weeks, will try to work on it then-- but it would probably be too late for this year. I have no one to blame but myself! It's got to be logistically difficult anyways. You'll have to predict a Cuba landfall, then fly through Mexico, then deal with their customs and secret police + the difficulties of finding rental cars and stuff. I just hope it isn't like 2008 and you don't have to watch a parade of cat 4's crash into the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 An interesting story today in the Key West Citizen concerning airports approved for travel to/from Cuba. I suspect next year the ball will be rolling to open things up from the US... Only Miami, Los Angeles and New York City previously had the designation. The federal government in March expanded the designation to Atlanta, Fort Lauderdale, Baltimore, Dallas, New Orleans, Chicago, Pittsburgh, Tampa and San Juan, Puerto Rico. http://keysnews.com/node/32580 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAwxman Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 I just hope it isn't like 2008 and you don't have to watch a parade of cat 4's crash into the island. Oooh and 2008 has been a top analog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 An interesting story today in the Key West Citizen concerning airports approved for travel to Cuba. I suspect next year the ball will be rolling to open things up from the US... http://keysnews.com/node/32580 That's right...I forgot that the rules got liberalized a bit recently. I had a friend who went a few years ago, but he had to fly through Mexico and carry a bunch of OTC drugs with him (so that he could disguise his tourism as a humanitarian mission). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 It's got to be logistically difficult anyways. You'll have to predict a Cuba landfall, then fly through Mexico, then deal with their customs and secret police + the difficulties of finding rental cars and stuff. I just hope it isn't like 2008 and you don't have to watch a parade of cat 4's crash into the island. Yeah, 2008 was the year of Obscene Cuba Envy. But that was off-the-charts unusual: in the period 1986-2010, the island has only had major hits in 2001, 2004, 2005, and 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Yeah, 2008 was the year of Obscene Cuba Envy. But that was off-the-charts unusual: in the period 1986-2010, the island has only had major hits in 2001, 2004, 2005, and 2008. That is a pretty interesting factoid, but it mixes AMO states...how did they do during the last +AMO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 That is a pretty interesting factoid, but it mixes AMO states...how did they do during the last +AMO? Good question. I don't have the data pulled together, but it would be interesting to know. My only point is that they don't get his as often as you'd think based on that very intense mid-2000 burst of activity. After 2008, I was like, "Wow-- how often do they get hit by majors?" and I was a little surprised there weren't more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAwxman Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Good question. I don't have the data pulled together, but it would be interesting to know. My only point is that they don't get his as often as you'd think based on that very intense mid-2000 burst of activity. After 2008, I was like, "Wow-- how often do they get hit by majors?" and I was a little surprised there weren't more. It's a new paradigm we're in. Odds are Cuba trashes a lot of cyclones again this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 It's a new paradigm we're in. Odds are Cuba trashes a lot of cyclones again this year. But it doesn't always trash them-- that's a bit of a myth. The strongest hurricane to hit the USA in the last two decades hit Cuba first-- and then hit the USA as a much stronger and more violent cyclone just hours later (Charley 2004). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAwxman Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 But it doesn't always trash them-- that's a bit of a myth. The strongest hurricane to hit the USA in the last two decades hit Cuba first-- and then hit the USA as a much stronger and more violent cyclone just hours later (Charley 2004). I know. I'm only trolling. On a serious note though, assuming the projected summer pattern pans out the rest of the way (big assumption, I know), you'd think we're open to risk in both the western Gulf and around the Carolinas this season... not that my statement here is really that different from what I think most are saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 But it doesn't always trash them-- that's a bit of a myth. The strongest hurricane to hit the USA in the last two decades hit Cuba first-- and then hit the USA as a much stronger and more violent cyclone just hours later (Charley 2004). Give me a storm traversing the dry tortugas any day of the week. That area is hott. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 I know. I'm only trolling. Oh, I knew-- and I decided to fight back with knowledge. On a serious note though, assuming the projected summer pattern pans out the rest of the way (big assumption, I know), you'd think we're open to risk in both the western Gulf and around the Carolinas this season... not that my statement here is really that different from what I think most are saying. Well, that excites me-- the W-Gulf part, I mean. The TX coast remains my favorite chase turf outside of MX. Give me a storm traversing the dry tortugas any day of the week. That area is hott. Omg, totally. It's a sweet spot. Charley aside, that's about where Rita 2005 started to bomb out. And Wilma 2005 began its pre-FL-landfall strengthening in that general area, as well. Hawt, indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUAHusker Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 I just need one place to be all obsessive between actual chase projects, and so I'm resurrecting this thread from EasternUSWx. The EPAC cyclone last week and model hints on the NATL side have my juices flowing a little. I'm coming back to the USA on the 29th and I'm excited to catch me a big bad cyclone or two this year. The last few years have been... mixed. I've had some good successes, but no mega-score. It's frustrating, because I've given it my all-- but the good material just hasn't been there to chase. I've chased six Cat 2s in a row now (OK, Karl was technically a Cat 3, but just barely). I feel like an actor who's begging the studio for a red-meat script, but keeps getting put in B-horror pictures and spaghetti westerns. I need an epic in 2011. I need to "rediscover" hurricanes this year. Give me 115 kt+ or give me nothing, dude!1! I guess I don't need anything "epic" This is the first year I may try my hand at Hurricane chasing. I have loved streaming this year on ChaserTV but I am unsure how this would work with the 'canes . Any idea what level of hurricane the data from the cell towers would hold up to? Of course I would also get some traditional video and stills, but I think it would be fun to stream the event live as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 I guess I don't need anything "epic" This is the first year I may try my hand at Hurricane chasing. I have loved streaming this year on ChaserTV but I am unsure how this would work with the 'canes . Any idea what level of hurricane the data from the cell towers would hold up to? Of course I would also get some traditional video and stills, but I think it would be fun to stream the event live as well. Hey, what's up? Re: live streaming... Some dudes here are real experts on that, but I am not one of them. In fact, I would say I take longer than most chasers to post my footage-- usually a couple of weeks after a chase-- because I really like to go through it all in the editing room, pick out my favorite little pieces, and put it together as a compact "highlights" package. I see the editing process as a critical part of the storytelling-- and necessary for really conveying the experience of what it's like as a cyclone approaches. Paradoxically, I don't feel live streaming captures it as well-- or, let's just say it's not how I choose to tell the story. But like I said, there are some dudes on this forum who are real experts in his area, so I'm sure one them could give you some pointers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cory Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Give me 115 kt+ or give me nothing, dude!1! I can't wait for something to beat the living **** out of BASTARD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 I can't wait for something to beat the living **** out of BASTARD. I can't wait to see the iCyclone Cherry Popper hoping across the Western Basin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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