Ji Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 The ecmwf sucks. On the 12z run yesterday...it have iAd .40 liquid for yesterday. Not a drop. It busted a forecast on he day it was suppose to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 6z GFS is pretty dry through the whole run. Heatwave #6 looks like Thurs-Sun of mid/maybe upper 90's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 This is a summer where the urban heat islands are magnifying their own conditions. Hence Newark at 108 degrees and DCA remaining tropically soupy all night. These cities need more rooftop gardens. I might agree, but how do you explain Altoona, PA airport recording 102/77 and 103/80 on consecutive days? It's at 1500' and surrounded by farmland. Also, Lake Erie off Buffalo has tied the all-time record high temperature of 80. No urban heat island 30 feet below the surface of the lake. With a few weeks to go before the seasonal peak, if it stays hot 82 or 83 isn't out of the question. This has just been a crazy hot and humid summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 Looking more and more like Heatwave #5 may just continue on for at least another week. Today was the best chance for an "ill-timed" shower or a lot of cloud cover to keep us down, but 85 at 9am and sun does not signal staying in the 80s to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 Just got back from a week long cruise. Looks like I missed some really hot stuff!!! I noticed it reached 91 degrees here on Friday, which is the highest temp I've recorded in my 8 years here. Pouring rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 Also, Lake Erie off Buffalo has tied the all-time record high temperature of 80. No urban heat island 30 feet below the surface of the lake. With a few weeks to go before the seasonal peak, if it stays hot 82 or 83 isn't out of the question. Epic lake-effect snow season upcoming? Looking more and more like Heatwave #5 may just continue on for at least another week. Today was the best chance for an "ill-timed" shower or a lot of cloud cover to keep us down, but 85 at 9am and sun does not signal staying in the 80s to me. DCA might stay 90+, but BWI/IAD and certainly some of the burbs will probably have some sub-90 highs this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 Visting from NH down here in Baltimore. Last few days have sure been hot. Looking forward to a nice line of storms this PM. Lots of sun this AM really heating up the DC/BWI area and nice line should sweep through later bringing in the lower dews for awhile. Just don't get many good T storms up north. I would bet a Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be issued later since more sun than expected is occuring now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 9z LWX ARW seems to have initialized the storms in PA well and gives everyone storms and showers starting in a couple hours. Fingers crossed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 9z LWX ARW seems to have initialized the storms in PA well and gives everyone storms and showers starting in a couple hours. Fingers crossed... Indeed, on fingers crossed. Looking at radar and hoping a split isn't already showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 DCA might stay 90+, but BWI/IAD and certainly some of the burbs will probably have some sub-90 highs this week. DCA's revenge for being the loser over the weekend. Wednesday does look like a challenge on the NAM, with 850s dropping to around 15°C. Wed could actually be a quite decent day. 9z LWX ARW seems to have initialized the storms in PA well and gives everyone storms and showers starting in a couple hours. Fingers crossed... Hope so. Even with the humidity, the temps and sun did a number on my lawn and gardens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 It gon rain. Looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 It gon rain. Looking good Never underestimate the power of the mountains or the ability to split. I'll take my 0.04" and be happy. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 my god it is muggy out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 storm firing west of dc.. looks like it's finally going to rain hopefully we nudge 90 first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 storm firing west of dc.. looks like it's finally going to rain hopefully we nudge 90 first I caught the first couple of drops from that in Fair Oaks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 I caught the first couple of drops from that in Fair Oaks getting some rain here now too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 hopefully we nudge 90 first U R twisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 Going to need a flash flood warning in southern PA soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 U R twisted. not really... we've gone thru the pain might as well cement this as the all time greatest month of heat. we need every day left to get the 90+ crown without a tie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 not really... we've gone thru the pain might as well cement this as the all time greatest month of heat. we need every day left to get the 90+ crown without a tie. I will never cheer for heat. Never! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 Looks like most of the action is jumping out ahead of the main line. Firing on the lee trough ? That's a recipe for my area getting screwed sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 92.. Safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 storm firing west of dc.. looks like it's finally going to rain hopefully we nudge 90 first 92. Got it. Rain discussion to the obs thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 92. Got it. Rain discussion to the obs thread? Yeah might as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 since it wasnt posted (even if already known) Statement as of 01:27 am EDT on July 24, 2011 ... Record high minimum temperature set at Washington National DC... a record high minimum of 84 degrees was set at Washington National DC yesterday. This breaks the old record of 81 set in 2010. A new record for number of consecutive days where the temperature has not gone below 80 degrees was set yesterday. There now have been 4 consecutive days where the temperature has not dropped below 80 degrees. The previous record was 2 days which was set in 2010... 2006... 1999... 1987... 1983... 1959... 1949 and 1876. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 Think BWI hit 90 too, but IAD has already dropped, so they'll probably break the "heatwave". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 Never underestimate the power of the mountains or the ability to split. I'll take my 0.04" and be happy. lol Not one of those setups where the mountains screw you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 Looks like most of the action is jumping out ahead of the main line. Firing on the lee trough ? That's a recipe for my area getting screwed sometimes. Yep. Line died just before it got here and continues to refire just over the Blue Ridge to my east.. Have to wait to see if the next one still in NW PA/Ohio can get here in tact this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 93 for the high at DCA. 6hr low of 82, so the streak lives on for a little while longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 25, 2011 Share Posted July 25, 2011 80+ streak over SPECI KDCA 252015Z 05015KT 5SM -RA BKN018CB OVC027 26/23 A2979 RMK AO2 CB VC SE-SW MOV SE P0005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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