Deck Pic Posted July 21, 2011 Author Share Posted July 21, 2011 Highs so far DCA: 96 IAD: 97 BWI: 98 At this point I am hoping for a 79 or 80 dew....100 seems like a 20% chance at this point...maybe we'll get a wind shift?...I don't think 850's are warm enough here yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 Highs so far DCA: 96 IAD: 97 BWI: 98 At this point I am hoping for a 79 or 80 dew....100 seems like a 20% chance at this point...maybe we'll get a wind shift?...I don't think 850's are warm enough here yet I think you've basically nailed it. Really, only 1 of the last 11 GFS runs had us hitting 100, and maybe only 1 or 2 of the NAM runs. It was always uphill today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 DCA just ruins me on all of our contests. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 IAD 97 BWI 98 Revenge of the Potomac! IAD was progged to be 3 degrees or so warmer than DCA today... we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 21, 2011 Author Share Posted July 21, 2011 my DCA "mirror" station is stuck at 96/76....we are doomed if winds don't change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 Just lost power at the office in Bowie... its gonna heat up reeeeal quick... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 Just lost power at the office in Bowie... its gonna heat up reeeeal quick... Are you on PEPCO there? PEPCO fail? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 21, 2011 Author Share Posted July 21, 2011 my DCA "mirror" station is stuck at 96/76....we are doomed if winds don't change popped to 97.6 in 7 minutes....maybe we are getting that sw wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 I think you've basically nailed it. Really, only 1 of the last 11 GFS runs had us hitting 100, and maybe only 1 or 2 of the NAM runs. It was always uphill today. with any wind other than south we'd probably have an ok shot. are 850s that much warmer in syracuse than here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 21, 2011 Author Share Posted July 21, 2011 with any wind other than south we'd probably have an ok shot. are 850s that much warmer in syracuse than here? probably 1-2 warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 Wooooooooo Syracuse I'll be up there right after the conference... Still waiting for DCA to get the subtle wind shift that pushes us up to 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 probably 1-2 warmer we suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 I see 97 at 3pm ob... a bit disappointed 100 is out of reach unless some west winds come along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 21, 2011 Author Share Posted July 21, 2011 IAD was progged to be 3 degrees or so warmer than DCA today... we shall see not really...here is GFS MOS from 0z last night...appears to be pretty good so far DCA: 98, 101, 100 IAD: 99, 102, 100 BWi: 98, 101, 99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 popped to 97.6 in 7 minutes....maybe we are getting that sw wind Mine just popped too. Sat shows maybe a little drying? #1 reason I'm not giving up on 100 yet. This year for days that have hit 92+ on my station, DCA's high has been 5,4,4,5,2,3 degrees above mine. Just hit 96.1 a few seconds ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 not really...here is GFS MOS from 0z last night...appears to be pretty good so far DCA: 98, 101, 100 IAD: 99, 102, 100 BWi: 98, 101, 99 Yoda is looking at the raw GFS, which for some reason has a high bias at IAD. Agree that MOS is probably the best way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 Yoda is looking at the raw GFS, which for some reason has a high bias at IAD. Agree that MOS is probably the best way to go. Yes I was... should have differentiated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 i see more sun.. we were getting double whammied with south winds and clouds. 2:52 ob might be the biggest of the yr so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 21, 2011 Author Share Posted July 21, 2011 i see more sun.. we were getting double whammied with south winds and clouds. 2:52 ob might be the biggest of the yr so far. 96/77 is my guess I will miss it...have to go back into a meeting....I bet we hit 97 somewhere in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 96/77 is my guess I will miss it...have to go back into a meeting....I bet we hit 97 somewhere in there if it's 96 or lower i wont post here again till the heat is over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 if it's 96 or lower i wont post here again till the heat is over quoted for later trolling purposes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 98/78 is my guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 quoted for later trolling purposes good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 i'm going with 99. on a limb or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 if it's 96 or lower i wont post here again till the heat is over This heat? Or the last heat of the summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 This heat? Or the last heat of the summer? this heat wave and there are the clouds again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 Rolling now. I'm feeling good. 98/75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 7 mins until we find out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 Cherrydale neighborhood in Arlington has a DP of 80 and HI of 116. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ioke09 Posted July 21, 2011 Share Posted July 21, 2011 Guess: 95/77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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