MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 NAM is 97-99 for the three airports on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 NAM is 97-99 for the three airports on Thursday. not bad for the chilly nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 NAM is 97-99 for the three airports on Thursday. Sounds cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 sweatshirt weather. might have to pull the gloves out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 In light of the extreme heat I think we should change the conference location to Fairbanks, Alaska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Here are some composite 500 maps for periods that had at least 2 consecutive days 100+ at D.C., with one being 103+. Should probably work back to 102 at least as 103 is out on a limb for heat here. The maps I pulled were from the hottest day of each stretch. Most look fairly similar on their own, at least with a big fat subtropical ridge. The 1930s maps are a bit different with the highest heights centered well west of others. 1980 and beyond (4) Early period (5) All (9) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 This Thanks. Friday looks brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 I finally taught something to Wes . lol, yes you did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 MOS for DCA and IAD respectively. 80 102 74 103| Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 MOS for DCA and IAD respectively. 80 102 74 103| Now 7 straight GFS runs of 102 or above for Friday at DCA. IAD's raw temp from this morning's GFS: 105 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 So what's the prediction for July's temp departure? +5? +6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 nom nom -- DC forecast: Thursday "around 100" point: 101 Friday "around 100" point: 103 Saturday "upper 90s" point: 99 Sunday "around 100" point: 99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 nom nom -- DC forecast: Thursday "around 100" point: 101 Friday "around 100" point: 103 Saturday "upper 90s" point: 99 Sunday "around 100" point: 99 What do you think - contest Thur-Sun? Highs only? The three airports? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 * Not a forecast * 7pm Friday - GFS 850T = 26.1....fully mixed out is ~105/106F......I have to at least consider the possibility that we get 104-106 on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 What do you think - contest Thur-Sun? Highs only? The three airports? yeah that would probably work.. going to be clustering but out of 12 data pts someone should win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 7pm Friday - GFS 850T = 26.1....fully mixed out is ~105/106F......I have to at least consider the possibility that we get 104-106 on Friday. I'm putting some foil on the sidewalk and slow roasting a bunch of rotiserries on Friday. Everyone is free to come over for some bird and beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 * Not a forecast * 7pm Friday - GFS 850T = 26.1....fully mixed out is ~105/106F......I have to at least consider the possibility that we get 104-106 on Friday. hard to predict near all time records. would be neat to see i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 hence the disclaimer...i'm just going to tell the atmosphere if it's gotta be this way, go for it all hard to predict near all time records. would be neat to see i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 hard to predict near all time records. would be neat to see i guess. We'll get a 104 ob and then switch to a S wind and drop to 98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 We'll get a 104 ob and then switch to a S wind and drop to 98 im not convinced the dca therm can read past 102 so hopefully it doesnt get stuck there on the hot day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 im not convinced the dca therm can read past 102 so hopefully it doesnt get stuck there on the hot day. Fair enough. What I really want is my thermometer to hit 100. On the super-hot days it has lagged DCA by 4 or 5. Stupid trees and elevation. LWX throwing out some big numbers: THE CENTER OF THE HIGH WILL BE OVERHEAD FRIDAY CAUSING EXTREME HEAT OVER THE REGION. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY EXCEED 100 DEGREES ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS WITH SOME AREAS POSSIBLY APPROACHING 105 DEGREES. HEAT INDICES UP TO 115 DEGREES ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH MAY BE WARRANTED FOR FRIDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 12Z GFS from the IPS site has 104 for Martinsburg on Friday. Still quite a ways from the 112 degrees at that location on 7/10/1936. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Begin: Day 1 90 this hour, with 90 recorded prior to 2pm. KDCA 181852Z 18012KT 10SM SCT055 32/22 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP149 T03220222 KDCA 181752Z 17009KT 10SM SCT060 SCT250 32/22 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP161 T03170217 10322 20250 58015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Sort of weather related.... This is for the PJM Interconnection area which includes our entire region. The highest Peak Demand for electricity last year occurred on July 6th at 136,680 MW. My high temperature that day was 98.4F. DCA was 102 and IAD was 100. The all time Peak Demand was 144,644 MW on August 2, 2006. It was 96 at CRW that day, 99 at DCA and 97 at IAD. The temperatures were lower than last year's peak date so we apparently are using less electricty and/or becoming more efficient with its use. An all time record usage for a Saturday (weekend) was set last year on July 24. It will be interesting to see if we set an all time record for electricity usage on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 98 in downtown Baltimore.... I'm going to melt by Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 98 in downtown Baltimore.... I'm going to melt by Friday. Woof! Being in brick townhome with window A/C units is going to suck this week! Come on September. 90s are cookin' way up into PA already today. 91 in State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 lol, yes you did. I hope you are enjoying the summer and i cannot wait till winter to hear your pearls of wisdom again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 So, if we were to use our winter SECS/HECS/BECS slang to describe summer weather, would it be fair to say we are facing a 'Biblical East Coast Heat' (BECH)? And if it stays hot next week, would that be a son-of-a-BECH? (sorry!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DerekZ Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Thanks for sharing this data. I just looked at PJM data for today and it looks like we are running at 143,668 MW. See http://www.pjm.com/pub/account/lmpgen/lmppost.html Could be a good bet to break the all time record on Thursday or Friday. Sort of weather related.... This is for the PJM Interconnection area which includes our entire region. The highest Peak Demand for electricity last year occurred on July 6th at 136,680 MW. My high temperature that day was 98.4F. DCA was 102 and IAD was 100. The all time Peak Demand was 144,644 MW on August 2, 2006. It was 96 at CRW that day, 99 at DCA and 97 at IAD. The temperatures were lower than last year's peak date so we apparently are using less electricty and/or becoming more efficient with its use. An all time record usage for a Saturday (weekend) was set last year on July 24. It will be interesting to see if we set an all time record for electricity usage on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 * Not a forecast * 7pm Friday - GFS 850T = 26.1....fully mixed out is ~105/106F......I have to at least consider the possibility that we get 104-106 on Friday. Hopefully, the GFS warm bias at 850 will keep the 850 temps lower than 26C. I kind of wish we still had the cold bias version running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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