triadwx Posted September 14, 2011 Author Share Posted September 14, 2011 La La Land never looked so good.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 I'm curious to hear what ya'll consider the start of winter to be. For me its December 1st. ditto - dec 1 is the start of met. winter its coming up in less than three months thankfully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman22 Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 The start of met. winter is considered Dec 1st. That's what I go with. Im just a quirky sports fan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 The one thing that is a bit wonky about winter outlooks in the SE is that we could have a typical La Nina projection of warmer and drier than average, but get a cold spell for a few weeks and luck out on a good snow. All it takes is one good storm to end up with above average snow given that our annual amounts are so low. By comparison, if you take a location that gets its share of snow (e.g. Boston), a warmer and drier than average winter has a much greater chance of leading to below average snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Winter begins for me with the first frozen precip and establishes itself with a good two foot snowfall or major ice storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 http://www.crh.noaa....testatsandfacts The low temperature at 7:06 am this morning at International Falls was 19 degrees. This breaks the record low for a September 15th, 24 degrees, set in 1964. This is the coldest temperature reported for so early in the season. This also marks the first time in station history that a temperature in the teens has been recorded in the month of September. Winter has begun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Weather extremes, either worldwide or regional: http://www.daculaweather.com/world_extremes.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gtg947h Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 I'm curious to hear what ya'll consider the start of winter to be. For me its December 1st. My "start of winter" date is the first day that my windshield frosts over. Coincidentally, that's about the same time of year I start futilely looking for jobs in south Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 I'm curious to hear what ya'll consider the start of winter to be. For me its December 1st. When I'm reading the first hawt pbp of the Euro late at night for someone's backyard in the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 The one thing that is a bit wonky about winter outlooks in the SE is that we could have a typical La Nina projection of warmer and drier than average, but get a cold spell for a few weeks and luck out on a good snow. All it takes is one good storm to end up with above average snow given that our annual amounts are so low. By comparison, if you take a location that gets its share of snow (e.g. Boston), a warmer and drier than average winter has a much greater chance of leading to below average snowfall. Exactly. When you get into areas of southern VA and points south where the annual snow is on the range of 7" to 8" and less, what we need is the pattern. Luckily, we've had the pattern, even in otherwise broad "bad patterns" the last few years. Namely, we score with a cold upper low that dives far south (March 2009), or Gulf lows in a split flow (December 2009), or supressed patterns with great Greenland Blocking (Feb. 2010 and several more events 2011). Either of these big three is how we traditionally get our snow, and we've had an absence of all of these in the years 2005 to 2009 roughly speaking. Now, we've switched back to more and more blocking, Gulf lows, and split flows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Exactly. When you get into areas of southern VA and points south where the annual snow is on the range of 7" to 8" and less, what we need is the pattern. Luckily, we've had the pattern, even in otherwise broad "bad patterns" the last few years. Namely, we score with a cold upper low that dives far south (March 2009), or Gulf lows in a split flow (December 2009), or supressed patterns with great Greenland Blocking (Feb. 2010 and several more events 2011). Either of these big three is how we traditionally get our snow, and we've had an absence of all of these in the years 2005 to 2009 roughly speaking. Now, we've switched back to more and more blocking, Gulf lows, and split flows. The bolded gives me tingles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 When I'm reading the first hawt pbp of the Euro late at night for someone's backyard in the SE Can't wait! Hopefully the hawtness occurs on many nights! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 It's snowing in the high rockies. 36 degrees and moderate snow at Monarch Pass (11,312 ft) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 It's snowing in the high rockies. 36 degrees and moderate snow at Monarch Pass (11,312 ft) and so it begins! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Exactly. When you get into areas of southern VA and points south where the annual snow is on the range of 7" to 8" and less, what we need is the pattern. Luckily, we've had the pattern, even in otherwise broad "bad patterns" the last few years. Namely, we score with a cold upper low that dives far south (March 2009), or Gulf lows in a split flow (December 2009), or supressed patterns with great Greenland Blocking (Feb. 2010 and several more events 2011). Either of these big three is how we traditionally get our snow, and we've had an absence of all of these in the years 2005 to 2009 roughly speaking. Now, we've switched back to more and more blocking, Gulf lows, and split flows. Um...living in southern Virginia, I can testify..the average snowfall is 7" on the waterfront. A little inland where I am and it bumps up to near a foot on average. Just wanted to clarify. Go west of 95 in S. VA and it goes up quite a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Mount Washington: 9.15.11 8pm Freezing Drizzle Freezing Fog and Windy 30 °F (-1 °C) This is a good sign that winter is coming, but actually this place can have this type of weather in July. ***Never been but it's on my list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Um...living in southern Virginia, I can testify..the average snowfall is 7" on the waterfront. A little inland where I am and it bumps up to near a foot on average. Just wanted to clarify. Go west of 95 in S. VA and it goes up quite a bit more. thanks. I'm well aware of the snow averages from DC, south... I was speaking in generalities without the map in front of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Exactly. When you get into areas of southern VA and points south where the annual snow is on the range of 7" to 8" and less, what we need is the pattern. Luckily, we've had the pattern, even in otherwise broad "bad patterns" the last few years. Namely, we score with a cold upper low that dives far south (March 2009), or Gulf lows in a split flow (December 2009), or supressed patterns with great Greenland Blocking (Feb. 2010 and several more events 2011). Either of these big three is how we traditionally get our snow, and we've had an absence of all of these in the years 2005 to 2009 roughly speaking. Now, we've switched back to more and more blocking, Gulf lows, and split flows. Gulf lows and split flows....dang, I think I feel a song coming on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted September 17, 2011 Share Posted September 17, 2011 Asheville Citizen Times Article on Winter Forecast. LINK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 35° here this morning...just flew back into Denver yesterday and there is def. snow in the rockies...at or above 11k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 35° here this morning...just flew back into Denver yesterday and there is def. snow in the rockies...at or above 11k Here's a view from a webcam in a mountain community that I bought a parcel of land at a few years ago. The camera is at 9,500 feet. The mountains in the back ground is uncompadre peak; which is a little over 14,000 feet. http://www.arrowhead1.org/pages/areacond/areacond_arrowhead2.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AcworthWx Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 35° here this morning...just flew back into Denver yesterday and there is def. snow in the rockies...at or above 11k This was on Monday at Silverton Mountain. First skiing in Colorado. http://www.onthesnow.com/news/68/a/49623/first-skiing-at-silverton-mountain-in-colorado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Euro has 850 0 deg line in NC at 216 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Euro has 850 0 deg line in NC at 216 Screenshot? Someone should save all of the "firsts" of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted September 23, 2011 Author Share Posted September 23, 2011 Screenshot? Someone should save all of the "firsts" of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 If that were to verify. which is highly unlikely at that timeframe, it would probably bring the first flurries to the highest elevations. I remember the Fall of 1976, there were snow flurries repoted in Sept that year above 6000 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted September 25, 2011 Share Posted September 25, 2011 Maybe a frost next weekend in the mountains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted September 25, 2011 Author Share Posted September 25, 2011 Maybe a frost next weekend in the mountains? Maybe a frost for a lot of the piedmont? Euro continues with that solution at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted September 25, 2011 Share Posted September 25, 2011 Maybe a frost for a lot of the piedmont? Euro continues with that solution at 12z. That would be something. I am not ready for the end of the growing season! Right now I am thinking mountains only. But still cold in the piedmont but most likely above freezing temps. Greensboro October 1st Record Low: 35°F (1924) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted September 25, 2011 Author Share Posted September 25, 2011 That would be something. I am not ready for the end of the growing season! Right now I am thinking mountains only. But still cold in the piedmont but most likely above freezing temps. Greensboro October 1st Record Low: 35°F (1924) I would be all for a freeze. Climatologically speaking, you can count the number of days on one hand with minimum temperatures at or below 32 in October here in the Triad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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