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June 17th-22nd severe threat


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In reality, cells start out going along with the 850mb-300mb average wind (or something like that). They turn to the right given some circumstances-- development of a mesocyclone is one of those circumstances.

Goes back to the ongoing debate about whether storm rotation leads to propagation in a particular direction or if a storm derives its rotation from the direction it moves in.

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000

NOUS43 KGLD 212120

PNSGLD

TOPPNSGLD

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS

320 PM MDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...STORM DAMAGE SURVEY TEAM RESULTS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND SENT A TEAM OF

METEOROLOGISTS TO REVIEW DAMAGE ACROSS NORTON AND NORTHERN

GRAHAM COUNTIES RESULTING FROM THE TORNADOES THAT OCCURRED

YESTERDAY.

THE TEAM DETERMINED THAT TWO EF3 TORNADOES OCCURRED. A TORNADO

DEVELOPED NORTHWEST OF HILL CITY AND PRODUCED EF3 DAMAGE ABOUT 10

MILES NORTH OF HILL CITY. HEAVY FARM IMPLEMENTS AND VEHICLES WERE

THROWN ABOUT 1/2 MILE. THE SECOND EF3 TORNADO OCCURRED ALONG AND

NORTH OF HIGHWAY 383 JUST NORTHEAST OF ALMENA. A HOUSE WAS

DESTROYED AND FOUR PEOPLE SUFFERED MINOR INJURIES.

ACCORDING TO THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE...EF3 TORNADOES PRODUCE WIND

SPEEDS BETWEEN 136 MPH AND 165 MPH.

THE TEAM WILL CONTINUE TO ASSESS THE DATA TO DETERMINE THE EXACT

NUMBER OF TORNADOES THAT OCCURRED AND THE LENGTH OF THE TORNADO

TRACKS.

$$

MENTZER

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TORNADO WARNING

TXC347-405-419-212230-

/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0079.110621T2155Z-110621T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

455 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHEASTERN NACOGDOCHES COUNTY IN EASTERN TEXAS...

NORTHWESTERN SAN AUGUSTINE COUNTY IN EASTERN TEXAS...

SHELBY COUNTY IN EASTERN TEXAS...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CENTER...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 452 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES WEST OF

CENTER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

SHELBYVILLE AND NEUVILLE...

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WFUS53 KGRR 212226

TORGRR

MIC005-212300-

/O.NEW.KGRR.TO.W.0012.110621T2226Z-110621T2300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI

626 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTH CENTRAL ALLEGAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 700 PM EDT

* AT 625 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR THE

HOPKINS AREA. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST

AT 30 MPH.

THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...

MOLINE... BURNIPS... HOPKINS...

DORR... DIAMOND SPRINGS... MONTEREY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN

INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID

WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE

CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING OBJECTS.

&&

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Good. They need the drought relief.

All of Texas does, but the widespread rains predicted today for the Houston area have failed to materialize. The Grimes County fire which has destroyed almost 40 homes, winds down, humidity up, but hoped for rain has not materialized.

southplains_loop.gif

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI

638 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

MIC005-212300-

/O.CON.KGRR.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110621T2300Z/

ALLEGAN MI-

638 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL ALLEGAN

COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 634 PM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A POSSIBLE TORNADO. POWER

FLASHES WERE REPORTED NORTH OF HOPKINS. THIS TORNADO WAS

LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF WAYLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

MOLINE... BURNIPS... HOPKINS...

DORR... GREEN LAKE... MONTEREY...

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI

723 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW CASCADE 42.88N 85.52W

06/21/2011 KENT MI COUNTY OFFICIAL

*** 4 INJ *** TWO CIVILIAN HANGARS DAMAGED... ONE

SIGNIFICANTLY AT THE GERALD R. FORD INTERNATIONAL

AIRPORT.

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I watched the nice mid level dry punch come in here and then bam just off to the NE out over whiteside county in IL the radar almost immediately responded with the huge cumulonimbus I was seeing showing up on radar, it didn't take long. Impressive dry punch also showing up on water vapor imagery. To bad this system wasn't a little slower today or I could have had something here but off to the East and Northeast the sky is filled with towers.

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Hmm. I mean it got kind of windy here, but...don't know, maybe a down burst or something. There was a flare up as the cells split, missing Lafayette (one east, one west), but could have gone through the west side from the looks of radar.

0745 PM TSTM WND DMG WEST LAFAYETTE 40.44N 86.91W

06/21/2011 TIPPECANOE IN BROADCAST MEDIA

POWER POLES SNAPPED AT YEAGER AND NORTHWESTERN ROADS.

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mcd1347.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1347

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0655 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...LWR MI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 533...

VALID 212355Z - 220130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 533 CONTINUES.

STORMS WHICH INITIATED OFF THE MICHIGAN LAKE BREEZE...PERHAPS AIDED

BY A WEAK SHORT WAVE IMPULSE...CONTINUE TO EVOLVE INTO AN

INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM ACROSS WESTERN

INTO CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. ALTHOUGH SOUTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW

IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...AND COULD BEGIN TO GRADUALLY BACK TO A

MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING...NEAR

SURFACE EASTERLY FLOW RELATIVE TO THE CONSOLIDATING AND EASTWARD

ADVANCING COLD POOL IS MODESTLY STRONG. GIVEN THE INFLOW OF VERY

MOIST WARM SECTOR BOUNDARY LAYER /WITH DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 70S

CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATELY LARGE CAPE/...THIS MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR

FURTHER INTENSIFICATION...WITH STRONGEST ACTIVITY FOCUSED ALONG THE

WARM FRONT...NORTHWEST OF LANSING INTO AREAS NEAR/JUST SOUTH OF THE

MICHIGAN THUMB BETWEEN NOW AND 02-03Z. THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING

WINDS MAY INCREASE...WHILE THE RISK FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO

CONTINUES.

..KERR.. 06/21/2011

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL

731 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

SOUTHERN DE KALB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

WESTERN DUPAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...

GRUNDY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...

KANE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...

KENDALL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...

NORTHEASTERN LA SALLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

EAST CENTRAL LEE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

NORTHWESTERN WILL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 830 PM CDT

* AT 730 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE

LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PAW PAW TO LELAND TO SERENA TO

6 MILES EAST OF STREATOR...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...

SOMONAUK AND SENECA AROUND 740 PM CDT.

SHABBONA...SANDWICH AND NEWARK AROUND 745 PM CDT.

LITTLE ROCK...WATERMAN AND HINCKLEY AROUND 750 PM CDT.

PLANO AROUND 755 PM CDT.

DE KALB...YORKVILLE...MORRIS AND MAZON AROUND 800 PM CDT.

CORTLAND AND SUGAR GROVE AROUND 805 PM CDT.

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I watched the nice mid level dry punch come in here and then bam just off to the NE out over whiteside county in IL the radar almost immediately responded with the huge cumulonimbus I was seeing showing up on radar, it didn't take long. Impressive dry punch also showing up on water vapor imagery. To bad this system wasn't a little slower today or I could have had something here but off to the East and Northeast the sky is filled with towers.

Yeah I made a quick run at them out to near Prophetstown. Just stayed on the west side of them since they didn't look all that impressive on radar anyway. Nothing too exciting but better than the nothing we got here.

post-613-0-15389500-1308703143.jpg

post-613-0-34416300-1308703150.jpg

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