SmokeEater Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Dusty tornado. http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player.pl?username=jeffrey.gonzales&uid=270 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Looks like it will be a close miss for Bradshaw... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 the front is blowing up toward ok now It's unzipping as the cold front is overtaking the dryline. You can see that on vis sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 tornado on weatherweenies.com cam I've never heard a chaser sound more bored while filming a tornado.... Not that there's anything wrong with that - better than the orgasmic screaming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Storms initiating as cold front overtakes dryline in Northern OK. Dryline has stalled along HWY81 in OK, about 25 miles west of OKC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 It's unzipping as the cold front is overtaking the dryline. You can see that on vis sat. sweet sat shots this eve... meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Interesting you can see to lines on the Vance Air force Base radar. Tstorms are exploding north of where the two boundries meet. Edit: people beat me too it, Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Interesting you can see to lines on the Vance Air force Base radar. Tstorms are exploding north of where the two boundries meet. Edit: people beat me too it, Oh well. it's closing in on waukomis now.. would be fun to drive across both. well, sorta.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Interesting you can see to lines on the Vance Air force Base radar. Tstorms are exploding north of where the two boundries meet. Edit: people beat me too it, Oh well. you think that's also going to happen over hastings soon? we have 2 gust fronts right now, one coming in from the NW and one from the ne. and it looks like they'll collide right near the hastings nws office and the hastings radar site. between down there at vance afb and now in se ne, we got more cells about to ignite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 So uh... Tornado Watch for E. Kansas and Nebraska: TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. Not PDS But the SVR TS watch for OK/TX... ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... EXTREMELY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...LARGE HAIL TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. So there's less of a threat for tornadoes, smaller maximum hail size, and all of the probabilities are equal to or lower then the Tornado watch, but it gets a PDS? Both are from Hales too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Looks like there's developing rotation on a SVR warned storm north of Albany, TX. Thoughts anyone? I'll be home soon to check GRL2, but I'm wundering (get the pun?) about stuff right now (currently limited to wunderground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 The supercell in central NE has been having producing tornado/funnel reports for >180 miles now, since it crossed I-70 almost 6 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 And there's the warning...love that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 So uh... Tornado Watch for E. Kansas and Nebraska: TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. Not PDS But the SVR TS watch for OK/TX... ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... EXTREMELY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...LARGE HAIL TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. So there's less of a threat for tornadoes, smaller maximum hail size, and all of the probabilities are equal to or lower then the Tornado watch, but it gets a PDS? Both are from Hales too... Probably because Hales realizes the first two PDS watches probably didn't need the PDS...as was speculated here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Some of the LSRs do have homes being destroyed, high-tension towers damaged, etc. The PDS tornado watch may very well verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 And there's the warning...love that. going to be tough to get to the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Some of the LSRs do have homes being destroyed, high-tension towers damaged, etc. The PDS tornado watch may very well verify. Would a forecasted High Risk already be verified based on what we've seen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 So uh... Tornado Watch for E. Kansas and Nebraska: TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. Not PDS But the SVR TS watch for OK/TX... ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... EXTREMELY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...LARGE HAIL TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. So there's less of a threat for tornadoes, smaller maximum hail size, and all of the probabilities are equal to or lower then the Tornado watch, but it gets a PDS? Both are from Hales too... I'm not an expert in the field of social meteorology by any means, but a few people I know are poo-pooing the threat of storms today since the threat of tornadoes has been communicated as "low". Is it PDS to catch people's attention that the storms can still produce damage, even without tornadoes? The problem with this method is there is no uniformity in standards of when to issue a PDS. That's for another thread.... Dewpoint in El Reno is 64, Hinton is 25. The mesonet sites are separated by 27 miles. Exceptional drought FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 And there's the warning...love that. There's some weak rotation...but with Graham nearby reporting 95/55...good luck getting that one to produce. Maybe they can get a landspout out it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Some of the LSRs do have homes being destroyed, high-tension towers damaged, etc. The PDS tornado watch may very well verify. I suppose the PDS Tornado Watch could end being debatable depending on the exact results...but I don't think anything will be able to convince me about the PDS SVR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Tornado on the ground again with the eastern cell, huge well cut meso reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Would a forecasted High Risk already be verified based on what we've seen? not major coverage of tornadic cells so far... handful of multiple producers. that first cell was money in laying down some numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Some of the LSRs do have homes being destroyed, high-tension towers damaged, etc. The PDS tornado watch may very well verify. Its very difficult and subjective to say what verifies a PDS or not. Personally, regardless of whether it "verified" or not, I do not think the PDS was warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 those tx cells are really classic looking now.. must be beautiful on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Its very difficult and subjective to say what verifies a PDS or not. It's one EF4 or two EF2s (plus the guideline of two tornadoes any strength). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1329 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0617 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN NEB...NRN/ERN KS...WRN IA...SERN SD CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 523...524... VALID 202317Z - 210015Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 523...524...CONTINUES. NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE FORTHCOMING TO REPLACE PARTS OF WW 523/524 AND TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF SERN SD/NWRN IA. GREATEST TORNADO THREAT SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTRL/E-CNTRL NEB N/E OF PRIMARY SURFACE CYCLONE NEAR GRI...EVOLVING E/NEWD THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ENLARGED HODOGRAPHS /SAMPLED BY OMAHA VWP/ HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO 0-1 KM SRH AOA 200 M2/S2 AMIDST A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES. FARTHER SW...TSTM CLUSTER HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY INVOF PIVOT POINT OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH AXIS OVER NWRN KS. TORNADO THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH HERE AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES EWD. STRONG LINEAR FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE N/S-ORIENTED SURFACE COLD FRONT AND S/SWLY DEEP-LAYER FLOW HAVE RESULTED IN VIGOROUS UPSCALE GROWTH AND INCIPIENT QLCS FORMATION ACROSS PORTIONS CNTRL/ERN KS. AS MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX SHIFTS E/NEWD THIS EVENING AND SURFACE COLD POOL STRENGTHENS...EMBEDDED LEWPS/BOWING STRUCTURES APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP...ENHANCING THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS ERN KS/FAR SERN NEB TOWARDS THE MO RIVER VALLEY. ..GRAMS.. 06/20/2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 625 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN DECATUR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS... NORTHWESTERN NORTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN RED WILLOW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 730 PM CDT * AT 620 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF NORCATUR. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LEBANON. THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 82 AND 103. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 It's one EF4 or two EF2s (plus the guideline of two tornadoes any strength). Is that from the SPC website? I'd figure it'd be something more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Is that from the SPC website? I'd figure it'd be something more. Yeah it's from an old slideshow from when Dan McCarthy was WCM. I can't find it on the site anymore, so I don't honestly know if that's even used anymore, but that's what it at least used to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 SJT has a really interesting warning template... AT 621 PM CDT... THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF WOODSON...OR 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THROCKMORTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. A TORNADO COULD DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM THIS STORM. STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE... DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS. LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO TENNIS BALL SIZE. HAIL DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS... OVERTURNED VEHICLES... DAMAGE TO TREES...SOME MAY BE UPROOTED... DAMAGE TO HOMES...MAY DESTROY MANUFACTURED HOMES... DENTED VEHICLES... MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE... MAY BREAK WINDOWS ON VEHICLES AND HOMES MAY INJURE PEOPLE...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK LEFT UNPROTECTED... SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS... SOME TREES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN... SHEDS TOPPLED... ROOF DAMAGE TO MANUFACTURED HOMES... EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES... Some of this really long impact list stuff is contradictory though...it talks about destroyed manufactured homes then later says roof damage to manufactured homes. It also mentions overturned vehicles...then a few items below...dented vehicles. Doesn't look effectively employed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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