ICEHOCEY77 Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Gabrielson has a tornado on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iowahawkeyedave Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Here comes a mess brought to you by Veer-Back-Veer ™ brand wind profiles! Veer-Back-Veer, for all your precip-loaded, mixed-mode, generally craptacular convection needs! But wouldn't that have been a problem from the start? I mean we did have tight couplets not long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Large rain wrapped cone just reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 But wouldn't that have been a problem from the start? I mean we did have tight couplets not long ago. It wasn't a problem until the cap weakened sufficiently to the east for more numerous convective elements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Doesn't seem to be too big of a problem, at least right this second. It's producing as we speak. Tornado still on the ground on Andy Gabrielson's cam. http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player.pl?username=andy.gabrielson&uid=140 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 It wasn't a problem until the cap weakened sufficiently to the east for more numerous convective elements. Give it time...we can always count of Oklahoma to produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 So far it's been a cap crush job in OK. Every little promising echo has been slapped down with disdain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Lowering near Stockham/Henderson, NE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Give it time...we can always count of Oklahoma to produce. No tornadoes in OK, kush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Next serious tornado threat may be S of Central City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Lowering near Stockham/Henderson, NE... Funnel cloud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Next serious tornado threat may be S of Central City. WeatherWeenies.com stream has a funnel right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Not particularly impressive yet but worth keeping an eye on...will cross I-80 shortly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 So far it's been a cap crush job in OK. Every little promising echo has been slapped down with disdain. I would imagine development will likely take place when the cold front, seen here in NW OK, overtakes the dryline and hits the warm sector, unless of course the cap breaks before then, which I'm a bit dubious of given the timid dCV and still rather warm H7 temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Tornado reported crossing I-80, east of Aurora. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 ...And there it is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Debris ball? Not much rotation in the area though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Debris ball? Not much rotation in the area though. 99% sure its not...I've never seen one not coincident with at least 100kts of gate-to-gate...that has basically nothing on top of it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Debris ball? Not much rotation in the area though. I doubt that, but I wouldn't doubt the spike under the TVS symbol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 tornado on weatherweenies.com cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 That portion of the cell is getting better organized now...it may eventually produce...but still doesn't look like it has yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 I doubt that, but I wouldn't doubt the spike under the TVS symbol... There is a nice meso above that southern reflectivity spike, so eventually I wouldn't be surprised to see it produce. I wonder if that was more a descending reflectivity core rather than debris ball? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 There is a nice meso above that southern reflectivity spike, so eventually I wouldn't be surprised to see it produce. I wonder if that was more a descending reflectivity core rather than debris ball? That would be my guess, which if it's the case then it will likely produce very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Now producing according to Brett Lyons... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 just an amazing setup. when's the lat time we have had a 990 low in june not produce a severe outbreak anywhere along the plains, much less the central plains? just nuts from what i could see real quick. isobars at 2 hPa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 Definite BWER now, rotation increasing. Tornado reported 2 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 That would be my guess, which if it's the case then it will likely produce very soon. And it did, according to reports coming into Hastings now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 the front is blowing up toward ok now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 This has been one of the more prolific Nebraska tornado outbreaks of recent years. Are we up to a dozen individual tornadoes yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted June 20, 2011 Share Posted June 20, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1327 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0535 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL OK INTO NW TX CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 525... VALID 202235Z - 210000Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 525 CONTINUES. SCATTERED DISCRETE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY ALONG A QUASI- STATIONARY DRY LINE WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR OF OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS...PARTICULARLY NEAR AND SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS. A 40-50+ KT SOUTHWESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW FIELD IS ALLOWING FOR INITIATING STORMS TO PROPAGATE OFF THE DRY LINE...BUT INHIBITION BENEATH LINGERING VERY WARM ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR IS STILL ONLY SLOWLY WEAKENING. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MERGING WITH THE DRY LINE AS FAR SOUTH AS THE ENID OKLAHOMA AREA...BUT STRONGER MID-LEVEL COOLING /CENTERED AROUND 700 MB/ IS JUST BEGINNING TO SPREAD EAST OF THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE REGION. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO OVERTAKE THE DRY LINE AND GRADUALLY PROGRESS INTO THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR BETWEEN NOW AND 00-02Z. HOWEVER...IT MAY BE THAT STORMS REMAIN RATHER SCATTERED IN COVERAGE ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS UNTIL STRONGER MID-LEVEL FORCING ARRIVES IN THE 01-03Z TIME FRAME. SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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