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June 17th-22nd severe threat


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I was just north of I-80 on the cell northeast of North Platte. Dropping south now. I wont even mention the tor watch in KS. I was gonna play that area, but thought it was too risky. Now its going to be a wedgefest.

Yeah south would be better hope you make it. When I did my first internship my friend who is now a senior at Albany had a phrase you never forgot...."never trust a warm front"....and if you have a double wf I always go for the south one....good hunting.

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I am really struggling with my target area tmrw. The warm front is what my gut is saying where SRH will be maximazed. But the models seem to be shifting west a bit and slowing down the system. The cold front can def have some nice supercells but I feel that activity will line up quicker. Hmmmm....what to do. Warm fronts are amazing when they work out. aka April 9th, 2011 in Iowa. but warm fronts are often cap busts to.

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00Z Severe Analysis, showing Imperial, NE - Manhattan, KS - Concordia, KS - Topeka, KS and Kansas City, MO as the highest instability areas. While the greatest TI Indexs are around the Imperial, NE, Topeka, and Ogalllala, NE. Showing SFC CAPE around 4060.3 j/kg, 0-1KM EHI around 10, 0-3KM CAPE are increasing, up to 120 m/s. Detail analysis http://smartwxmodel.net/severe.html.

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This all takes a way back seat to the Plains tonight but given we weren't outlooked for any severe, it was a respectable evening - two pictures from a couple hours ago when two cells went up in the vicinity. One going severe warned with half dollars reported in northern McHenry County. Lack of upper air support doomed both but they were popping for a bit.

Looking south at first wall cloud near/over Huntley. Some upward motion was evident but could not make out any rotation.

post-855-0-14895300-1308531938.jpg

Looking north at second wall cloud about twenty minutes later between Woodstock/Crystal Lake. This had a bit more going on (and was the SVR cell). I did meet another chaser/spotter who had been up close to witness broad rotation but no upward motion.

post-855-0-40569700-1308531957.jpg

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS

817 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011

KSC061-127-200145-

/O.CON.KTOP.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110620T0145Z/

MORRIS-GEARY-

817 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR

SOUTHEASTERN GEARY AND NORTHWESTERN MORRIS COUNTIES...

AT 810 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS AND LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD. THIS FUNNEL CLOUD WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATIMER...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF HERINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS CONTINUE...THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE

A TORNADO AT ANY TIME!

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

LATIMER...WHITE CITY...PARKERVILLE AND DWIGHT.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS

823 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011

KSC061-127-200145-

/O.CON.KTOP.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110620T0145Z/

MORRIS-GEARY-

823 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR

SOUTHEASTERN GEARY AND NORTHWESTERN MORRIS COUNTIES...

AT 815 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS

TORNADO WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF LATIMER...OR 11 MILES

NORTHEAST OF HERINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

WHITE CITY...PARKERVILLE AND DWIGHT.

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