Calderon Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 This could be pretty bad, heading directly for the heart of Memphis. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1258 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN POINSETT COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... SOUTHWESTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... NORTHERN SHELBY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... TIPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 200 PM CDT * AT 1258 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JOINER...OR NEAR WILSON...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MARION... WEST MEMPHIS...BARTLETT...COVINGTON...MIDTOWN MEMPHIS... MILLINGTON...CORDOVA AND MEEMAN SHELBY FOREST STATE PARK. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BRANDYWINE LAKE...CORONEE LAKE...LAKE MCKELLAR AND WAPANOCCA LAKE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 This could be pretty bad, heading directly for the heart of Memphis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beneficii Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 65 kt wind gust report at Memphis Int'l Airport, which is hurricane force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 67mph gust just reported in Quincy, Illinois. That storm should be at my house in a half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 The warm front is clearly visible as a fine line on EAX radar. It has a bend in it near the radar location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 13, 2011 Author Share Posted June 13, 2011 Great looking lone supercell anchored along a zone of enhanced easterly upslope in northwest NE near Valentine. It has been sitting there for an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 The warm front is clearly visible as a fine line on EAX radar. It has a bend in it near the radar location. The bend is a westward moving outflow boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 13, 2011 Author Share Posted June 13, 2011 Tight circulation developing on the storm SW of Valentine now. Talk about a storm enhancing its own local wind fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 So much unused supercell potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 Gorgeous supercell! It been a while...this pattern kinda sucks! NWS employee reports tornado on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 13, 2011 Author Share Posted June 13, 2011 355 WFUS53 KLBF 132348 TORLBF NEC031-140015- /O.NEW.KLBF.TO.W.0014.110613T2348Z-110614T0015Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 548 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL CHERRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 615 PM MDT * AT 547 PM MDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 11 MILES SOUTH OF SCHOOLHOUSE LAKE...OR 35 MILES NORTH OF MULLEN. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HIGHWAY 97 CROSSING BIG CREEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. LAT...LON 4230 10099 4228 10130 4257 10133 4259 10116 TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 345DEG 13KT 4252 10123 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 13, 2011 Author Share Posted June 13, 2011 Gorgeous supercell! It been a while...this pattern kinda sucks! NWS employee reports tornado on the ground. Thanks you beat me to it. This storm has been fascinating to watch the last couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 13, 2011 Author Share Posted June 13, 2011 Thanks you beat me to it. This storm has been fascinating to watch the last couple hours. Where did you hear of the NWS employee report? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 Gorgeous supercell! It been a while...this pattern kinda sucks! NWS employee reports tornado on the ground. Nice S/SSW movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T Denninger Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 WFUS53 KLBF 140014TORLBF NEC031-140045- /O.NEW.KLBF.TO.W.0015.110614T0014Z-110614T0045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 614 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL CHERRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 645 PM MDT * AT 614 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF SPECKEL MEIR LAKE...OR 29 MILES NORTH OF MULLEN...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SPECKEL MEIR LAKE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. && LAT...LON 4227 10109 4225 10138 4248 10139 4250 10122 TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 347DEG 8KT 4243 10125 $ SCHULTZ and 000 NWUS53 KLBF 132352 LSRLBF PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 652 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0647 PM TORNADO 35 N MULLEN 42.55N 101.04W 06/13/2011 CHERRY NE TRAINED SPOTTER TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 11 MILES SOUTH OF SCHOOLHOUSE LAKE && $ VAN PELT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 I would actually hate to have a tornadic storm moving that slowly if it was in my area and not out in some field. That would be a nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Where did you hear of the NWS employee report? Matt Ziebell on SN reported the tornado, and his tag says NWS employee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 14, 2011 Author Share Posted June 14, 2011 Well I guess I am going into the office to help out for severe wx ops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T Denninger Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 It looks like a storm in ND just got tornado warned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 This may or may not be appropriate under the severe weather thread, but the 0z NAM gives DVN 3-4 inches of rain in the next 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 If the 0z NAM is a perfect prog then I wouldn't be shocked if we have a strong tornado in MO tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 If the 0z NAM is a perfect prog then I wouldn't be shocked if we have a strong tornado in MO tomorrow.. Oh I would expect it if we realize something near the 00z NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 If the 0z NAM is a perfect prog then I wouldn't be shocked if we have a strong tornado in MO tomorrow.. Are you talking about NW MO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Are you talking about NW MO? Looks like LCLs will be the saving grace down by you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Oh I would expect it if we realize something near the 00z NAM... alot of instability juxtaposed with good amounts with low-level shear as a 60kt mid-level jet punching in at 0z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 alot of instability juxtaposed with good amounts with low-level shear as a 60kt mid-level jet punching in at 0z... And most importantly an eroded cap... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Looks like LCLs will be the saving grace down by you... Man I hope so.... Looks like the NAM gets convective feedback'ed before 06z in this area. Indicating very strong winds at 925 and 850, it's either that or a squall line. I hope the SPC WRF updates tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 14, 2011 Author Share Posted June 14, 2011 It has been entertaining watching the guidance trying to simulate the next two days with the complex phasing and the quite obvious and realistic convective feedback to the synoptic flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 GFS looks almost like a tropical-cyclone tornado environment for this area Thursday, at least thermodynamically, with a convectively-unstable yet very saturated column. Scary thing is the looping hodos in that environment... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 alot of instability juxtaposed with good amounts with low-level shear as a 60kt mid-level jet punching in at 0z... Forecast soundings look pretty scary for much of Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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