IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Discuss Here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 No, I want earthlight to start it just kidding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Well, tomorrow looks like crappola out here on Island with predicted light rain and drizzle so I suspect Sunday, when were warm sectored, will have the better chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 strong thunderstorms incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Slow movers. What's supporting them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWarning Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 strong thunderstorms incoming Yeah these look like slow moving thunderstorms. Entering Northeast New Jersey and forming in northern Bergen County. 1-2" per hour in some of these bands with another band behind it in Northeast P.A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWarning Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Slow movers. What's supporting them? Weak energy riding along a stalled front. http://www.hpc.ncep..../sfc/90fwbg.gif AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY1122 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011.SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGHPRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT...AND THENOFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. THE FRONT WILL RETURN NORTH AS A WARM FRONTLATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT THEN PASSESTHROUGH ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE AND GENERALLY DRYWEATHER THROUGH MID WEEK. THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES ATTHE END OF THE WEEK.http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 There's supposedly a couple of storms just to the north and east of me right now but I'm not seeing a thing in terms of lightning. It's really calm outside though, no wind or anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 not really tstorms. heavy echoes on me and not 1 rumble or any lightning. Rain isnt even that heavy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I see lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 -RA 69.3/67 Had some bursts of heavier rainfall, but no lightning/thunder. Should continue into tomorrow with much cooler temperatures. Can't wait for the mugginess to leave, although the NWS has increased temperatures in its medium-range forecast, perhaps a sign that Sunday's cold front will not be as strong as previously expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeTwentyFour Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I like what I see coming my way (Southern Nassau county) but I like in under a protective bubble when it comes to Tstorms; they always break apart then reform east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I like what I see coming my way (Southern Nassau county) but I like in under a protective bubble when it comes to Tstorms; they always break apart then reform east of me. That happen to me a few times this season and last week with the great bust last week the storms formed to my east out 20 miles and Eastern LI got the storms. But I want to warn that these mainly showers and not too much lightning is right now associated it right now where it will be some downpours of rain with maybe of flash or tow here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeTwentyFour Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 That happen to me a few times this season and last week with the great bust last week the storms formed to my east out 20 miles and Eastern LI got the storms. But I want to warn that these mainly showers and not too much lightning is right now associated it right now where it will be some downpours of rain with maybe of flash or tow here and there. Ah I see, how can you tell the amount of lightning? Behind this set is a nice one in Penn. I wonder how that will pan out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Getting hit pretty hard here. About two thirds of an inch of rain in 40 minutes or so. Probably not as bad as you guys down in NYC but this area of rain has been backbuilding over my area, pretty cool stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I am not enthused about thunderstorm chances for NYC/LI. We likely do not warm sector and elevated instability is only average for just a few flashes. Warmfront is never going to clear most of NYC, and LI tonight and tomorrow at least not past Manhattan and SI. No way it does with high position east of New England and pressure pattern to support warm sector. GFS and ECMWF are growing support for crap pattern for 200+ hours out, with consistent easterly flow 60-70 high temps and limited sun for many, many days out. Look at these models and see for yourself. We seem to be in a new crap pattern of Warm fronts not clearing the area and cut-offs too close to the region or just to our east. Don't like this, but the heat pattern last week was better for beaches than the next two weeks will be. Back to the crap pattern before the Memorial Day torch. Probably will have to wait until July for another hot period if it even happens. This pattern will suck for NYC and New England, VA/DC and south will bake for weeks on end with 90-100 constantly. Central Park high guess for the next 7 days: LI would be 2-3 degrees cooler. Sat: 67 - Showers Sun: 71 - Showers and iso thunder Mon: 73 - M. Cloudy Tue: 58 *Horrible day of the week with drizzle from cut-off. Wed: 66 - M. Cloudy Thurs: 65 - P. Cloudy Fri: 62 - Cloudy with drizzle and light rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 On Long Island we get better light shows for ourselves from biting winter green lifesavers than from the actual thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 1.14 of rain since midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I would be ecstatic if it stayed below 75 for the next week, although that certainly isn't going to happen. This is a temporary relaxation and the next flexing of the ridge is going to be in roughly 8-10 days, and I have a strong feeling we will see repeated instances of 95-100 readings this summer fairly regularly (with nice cool downs in between, but it'll be very hot when it's hot... obviously...). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I would be ecstatic if it stayed below 75 for the next week, although that certainly isn't going to happen. This is a temporary relaxation and the next flexing of the ridge is going to be in roughly 8-10 days, and I have a strong feeling we will see repeated instances of 95-100 readings this summer fairly regularly (with nice cool downs in between, but it'll be very hot when it's hot... obviously...). It's been a very reliable pattern going back to February.Every interval of cooler weather has been followed by a warm up with the he overall temperature pattern averaging above normal. RECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY444 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT NEWARK NJ...A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 71 DEGREES WAS SET AT NEWARK NJ TODAY.THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 69 SET IN 1981. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Amazing difference from recent days. I'm at 67/65 with a fine mist in the air and cool east wind. May not even break 70F the way its looking. No rain so far today, but models seems pretty bullish on warm frontal storms tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Amazing difference from recent days. I'm at 67/65 with a fine mist in the air and cool east wind. May not even break 70F the way its looking. No rain so far today, but models seems pretty bullish on warm frontal storms tonight. Heavy rains last night into this morning north of you with 1.08 in. here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Amazing difference from recent days. I'm at 67/65 with a fine mist in the air and cool east wind. May not even break 70F the way its looking. No rain so far today, but models seems pretty bullish on warm frontal storms tonight. LGA is lower now at 64 degrees and a decent breeze. It feels like another world out there, especially when compared to Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I am not enthused about thunderstorm chances for NYC/LI. We likely do not warm sector and elevated instability is only average for just a few flashes. Warmfront is never going to clear most of NYC, and LI tonight and tomorrow at least not past Manhattan and SI. No way it does with high position east of New England and pressure pattern to support warm sector. GFS and ECMWF are growing support for crap pattern for 200+ hours out, with consistent easterly flow 60-70 high temps and limited sun for many, many days out. Look at these models and see for yourself. We seem to be in a new crap pattern of Warm fronts not clearing the area and cut-offs too close to the region or just to our east. Don't like this, but the heat pattern last week was better for beaches than the next two weeks will be. Back to the crap pattern before the Memorial Day torch. Probably will have to wait until July for another hot period if it even happens. This pattern will suck for NYC and New England, VA/DC and south will bake for weeks on end with 90-100 constantly. Central Park high guess for the next 7 days: LI would be 2-3 degrees cooler. Sat: 67 - Showers Sun: 71 - Showers and iso thunder Mon: 73 - M. Cloudy Tue: 58 *Horrible day of the week with drizzle from cut-off. Wed: 66 - M. Cloudy Thurs: 65 - P. Cloudy Fri: 62 - Cloudy with drizzle and light rain you're wrong almost all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 This is awful. Bring back the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Pretty crumby but perhaps more breaks in the clouds later. Back from the west coast and I missed the heat. here's to the next warmup on/around 6/17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 perfect weather...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I wish I would've worn pants and long sleeve shirt--cold down here in Port Jeff. This year there's seems to be a southerly or easterly component to winds many times it seems. Long range has hawaiin ridge, west coast trough, east coast ridge. Was ridge position last year cause for the dry heat? Where was ridge centered? I know there's some calls having been made for increased hurricane threats for east coast--is this pattern that we've been in the reason? Amazing how different a year is--yet looking at anomalies there's a much colder Canada this year than last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 This is awful. Bring back the heat. Yeah today sucks. Who wants 60s and mist in June. Depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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