Ian Posted June 12, 2011 Author Share Posted June 12, 2011 Maybe the front will drive an unbroken line of storms from HSB to ROA right through us. Everyone wins. The big lines have been elusive lately. I remember them being more common years ago. The cold pool kinda screwed us in the DC area yesterday. Today might be more widespread activitywise locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Today Chance of Rain > Yesterday's chance of rain. IMHO. EDIT: Distinction: Rain not severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 I predict 6 rounds.. Major epicness Great, now you've gone and jinxed us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2011 Author Share Posted June 12, 2011 Today Chance of Rain > Yesterday's chance of rain. IMHO. EDIT: Distinction: Rain not severe. perhaps, tho it rained a lot more than many thought it (dismissing the nam output) would y-day, just not here. usually we do decent with a front/trough combo tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Slight risk - expected after reading the earlier MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Just got back from walking the dog. Humid and sticky for sure. Hopefully the line moving through s central PA fires a good line after it crossed the apps. Looks like it's trying to connect with the small stuff in WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Couple nice thunders at my nice just in the last minute SE of baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 This kind of looks like the precursor to a good ole fashioned squall line like we used to get frequently when I was a kid. Whatever happened to those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 109 PM EDT SUN JUN 12 2011 MDZ010-011-014-121745- HOWARD MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD- 109 PM EDT SUN JUN 12 2011 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT HOWARD...ANNE ARUNDEL AND SOUTHERN BALTIMORE COUNTIES... AT 109 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER PUMPHREY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE FERNDALE...GLEN BURNIE...GREEN HAVEN... PASADENA...RIVERIA BEACH...RIVERDALE...FORT SMALLWOOD STATE PARK... LAKE SHORE...CHELSEA BEACH AND CAPE ARTHUR. HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS STORM MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO BELOW ONE MILE AND MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. SMALL HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Some thunder with dark skies to the Northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 This kind of looks like the precursor to a good ole fashioned squall line like we used to get frequently when I was a kid. Whatever happened to those I miss those. Seems like we haven't had one in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 I miss those. Seems like we haven't had one in a while. Even if they weren't always super severe it always used to feel like we'd get at least 5-8 per year of just solid strong storm lines rolling through. Maybe it has to do soemwhat with some teleconnection not favoring that type of storm mode. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Even if they weren't always super severe it always used to feel like we'd get at least 5-8 per year of just solid strong storm lines rolling through. Maybe it has to do soemwhat with some teleconnection not favoring that type of storm mode. Who knows. I've been wondering about that for years. It did happen all the time. Especially in the 80's. Narrow but very long lines used to sweep through alot. Great to watch. Dark line with yellow or green sky behind it. Big winds before the rain and lightening. The wind would start off hot and then the rain cooled stuff following up. The temp would drop almost 10 degrees in 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Even if they weren't always super severe it always used to feel like we'd get at least 5-8 per year of just solid strong storm lines rolling through. Maybe it has to do soemwhat with some teleconnection not favoring that type of storm mode. Who knows. I agree. It made you feel like it was severe weather season instead of these little pop up storms recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 I agree. It made you feel like it was severe weather season instead of these little pop up storms recently. Ian should do a study Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 I agree. It made you feel like it was severe weather season instead of these little pop up storms recently. Great photo ops with the line squalls. Great cloud definition up front and odd colors. Popcorn only looks good from a distance when you can see the towering cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Nice thunder and lightning with the cell along with some moderate rains. Good little storm to get the day started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Downpour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 I'm liking the line coming down from PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Love a good outflow in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 WATCH! geesh... noaa radio scared the poo out of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 STW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Watch out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 From the watch: DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE STRENGTHENING ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN PA...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS BEGINNING FARTHER TO THE S/SW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND IN THE OPEN WARM SECTOR. STRONG SURFACE HEATING IS SUPPORTING MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2000 J/KG...WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED CLUSTERS FROM NRN VA INTO PA. FARTHER S...THE ENVIRONMENT IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR PULSE TYPE SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS...GIVEN THE WEAKER VERTICAL SHEAR AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT...THOUGH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 From the watch: DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE STRENGTHENING ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN PA...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS BEGINNING FARTHER TO THE S/SW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND IN THE OPEN WARM SECTOR. STRONG SURFACE HEATING IS SUPPORTING MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2000 J/KG...WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED CLUSTERS FROM NRN VA INTO PA. FARTHER S...THE ENVIRONMENT IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR PULSE TYPE SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS...GIVEN THE WEAKER VERTICAL SHEAR AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT...THOUGH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS. High/Moderate for wind probs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 I'm liking the line coming down from PA Looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2011 Author Share Posted June 12, 2011 Ian should do a study Do one for me and I'll put my name on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Do one for me and I'll put my name on it. I haven't had a chance to look at the models much Ian, is the line the supposed first round or second? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Just had 10 minutes of a heavy rain + some boomers in Middle River. Immediately followed by sun. Should be a rainbow around here somewhere.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 I haven't had a chance to look at the models much Ian, is the line the supposed first round or second? I think that stuff that popped to the east and is now rolling toward the bay was technically round 1. The stuff coming out of the mountains ins round 2 I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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