TUweathermanDD Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 there's an OFB racing east of the northern half of the line Yeah saw that earlier back when it was around the lwx site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Yeah saw that earlier back when it was around the lwx site. if the lfc's are low enough, it won't be too bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 if the lcl's are low enough, it won't be too bad Was looking at lcl's earlier, not too bad, especially compared to what we've been having to deal with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 if the lfc's are low enough, it won't be too bad SPC meso has them around 1400-1600 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 I forget it takes 4 hrs to go two miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Glancing at radar, looks like this current batch stays just south of downtown Baltimore, or, at best just into downtown Baltimore, I think? Trying to decide if I want to take the youngest to the O's game at 7:00, or if the batches of showers will fill in and make that a bad idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 STW KG/Stafford/Charles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I'm carefully watching that latest area of Cu across West Virginia as it appears to me that the atmosphere will destabilize enough for at least a second round of storms this evening (at least out here to the west of the BR). While I expect very little severe weather given the shear profiles in place and water loading acting against the updrafts I do think that there is the potential for some flash flooding to occur across extreme western Rockingham, and northern Highland counties in Virginia and southern Pendleton county in West Virginia. Latest 18z gridded FFG values across this area are generally 1-2 inches with 3 hour values in about the same range. Likely won't be a HUGE deal given the somewhat localized area, but I just thought I would point out what I noticed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 STW KG/Stafford/Charles man we need that northern part to rejuvenate, but maybe there is some stuff back in WV that can do us wonders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 nothing in leesburg like usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Guess we shall see what becomes of this new line developing in C WV -- http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=rlx&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Glancing at radar, looks like this current batch stays just south of downtown Baltimore, or, at best just into downtown Baltimore, I think? Trying to decide if I want to take the youngest to the O's game at 7:00, or if the batches of showers will fill in and make that a bad idea. I'm going, so that should ensure it's going to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 This is why I don't gamble much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I'm going, so that should ensure it's going to rain. Leaning toward going too based on the current radar. Between you and me, probably should pack a kayak then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Amazing watching all the different ways we can get screwed, not that it'll matter come Midnight. I'm going to the O's game as well, have seats behind home plate, so a dry evening would be nice for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 What looked promising turned out differently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 What looked promising turned out differently. Its cause you showed up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 Convection sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Drips Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Wondering if this is it and nothing will be occurring for us today? Looks certainly like it at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 Wondering if this is it and nothing will be occurring for us today? Looks certainly like it at this point. Could be.. Just missed.. We were supposed to get the stuff south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 One lonely tip of the gauge. Looks like a quarter-inch down by Burke (SW beltway) and more south of Warrenton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Could be.. Just missed.. We were supposed to get the stuff south of us. I mean I won't rule out isolated convection with some instability present and some boundaries, but geez I wanted today. However, Thursday night I got demolished so I guess I can deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I guess we can hope for some stuff to the west later... a long shot... but oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Could be.. Just missed.. We were supposed to get the stuff south of us. I'm not giving up yet, at least up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 We got a good 5 minute of moderate rain...more than we've gotten in weeks. I think humidities are in the quadruple digits right now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 I'm not giving up yet, at least up north. line to the west is worth watching with one eye given the air mass, but it seems(?) this first batch was what models were seeing -- it just came early/south. nice clash of boundaries d.c. north on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 line to the west is worth watching with one eye given the air mass, but it seems(?) this first batch was what models were seeing -- it just came early/south. nice clash of boundaries d.c. north on radar. Agreed, though I guess that is worth watching. Hey, I was wondering if you noticed lately there have been some blow-ups of storms in the evenings around here, I've seen it 3 or 4 teams this season and was wondering if anyone else has caught onto it. Also, as for the boundaries, I was watching that area as the one is backing to the west and the one that came earlier from the line is slowly moving east. Maybe that could do something when the storms near that location in the unstable air or plainly fire something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 tho the 18z nam still has the next line being ok http://www.nco.ncep....am_ref_006m.gif http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_pcp_012m.gif maybe i went out at the wrong time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 tho the 18z nam still has the next line being ok http://www.nco.ncep....am_ref_006m.gif http://www.nco.ncep....am_pcp_012m.gif maybe i went out at the wrong time... I do like the looks of that on the NAM, maybe we do have hope. I mean I'd hope for the WV stuff to maybe link with whats in S PA as that would ensure we don't get split, but that instability and the boundaries gives some glimmer of hope for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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