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June 11-12 storm and rain talk


Ian

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I haven't had a chance to look at the models much Ian, is the line the supposed first round or second?

I haven't looked at anything but I assume it's the front so that would be it probably. Pre frontal trough is either with activity to the sw or even stuff to the east of DC I think.

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First warning coming from the line of storms - near MD line

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

SOUTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...

SOUTH CENTRAL FULTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 201 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THE STORM WAS NEAR BIG COVE TANNERY...MOVING

EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE

HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

MERCERSBURG AROUND 215 PM EDT...

CLAYLICK AND MERCERSBURG AROUND 220 PM EDT...

GREENCASTLE AND MARION AROUND 245 PM EDT...

WAYNESBORO AROUND 300 PM EDT...

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Second warning

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...

FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...

HAMPSHIRE COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...

BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...

MORGAN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...

ALLEGANY COUNTY IN WESTERN MARYLAND...

MINERAL COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 206 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE

SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE

STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES NORTHWEST

OF LONG MEADOW TO 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF SLEEPY CREEK TO 17 MILES

WEST OF LARGENT...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

SPOHRS CROSSROADS...

SLEEPY CREEK...

VALLEY VIEW...

SPRUCE PINE HOLLOW...

NEW HOPE...

JOHNSONS MILL...

FISHERS BRIDGE...

ROCK GAP...

LARGENT...

HIGHLAND RIDGE...

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Some itty bitty new development around Winchester. Maybe that can be a bit of a southern extension.

We can't get two 4 pm squalls in a row to fall apart and/or totally suck... Right?

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I don't know. For a strong front passing through at the perfect time of day, it's not too exciting looking. DC split appears to be in effect......at least for now.

This amuses me - You are in Rockville, there is a warning out that includes Frederick... if the storm stays on the same path and doesn't fall apart... it will hit you.

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not a "strong" front, perfect time of day doesn't matter when you have no shear, let's just lower those expectations....things look pretty good given the parameters.

I don't know. For a strong front passing through at the perfect time of day, it's not too exciting looking. DC split appears to be in effect......at least for now.

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