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Potential thunderstorms/svr thunderstorms Thread


tombo82685

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Also, SPC has indicated a slight risk for our area @ thr 1124 update:

...DELMARVA TO SOUTHWEST NEW ENGLAND...

A RATHER STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS ROTATING EASTWARD ACROSS NY/PA

THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH HAVE LIMITED

DAYTIME HEATING IN THE WARM SECTOR...OVER PARTS OF NY/PA/NY/DE.

HOWEVER...CLEARING SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS

AFTERNOON ALLOWING A FEW HOURS OF HEATING. MODELS ARE IN GENERAL

AGREEMENT THAT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THIS

REGION BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW FAVORABLE

VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES FOR ORGANIZED OR EVEN SUPERCELL STORM

STRUCTURES. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY REMAINS THE DEGREE OF

DESTABILIZATION THAT WILL OCCUR. THERE APPEARS TO BE SUFFICIENT

RISK TO INTRODUCE A SMALL SLIGHT RISK IN THIS AREA. LOCALLY

DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WOULD BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER AND MORE

ORGANIZED CELLS.

..HART/HURLBUT.. 08/09/2011

day1otlk_1630.gif

2% tornado, 15% wind and Hail

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Went just south of my area of Swedesboro on a hill to video the impending storm just before 1 PM.

Saw some interesting clouds and lightning...possibly even a funnel cloud. It was not long lasting,

but radar data that I reviewed when I got back showed a mesocyclone in the area at the time.

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The stuff plowing through Southwestern New Jersey means business. Clouds are breaking up and the sun is coming out, not a good sign.

They expired the severe thunderstorm warning...

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 217 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011 NJC001-007-011-015-033-091827- /O.EXP.KPHI.SV.W.0236.000000T0000Z-110809T1815Z/ SALEM NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-CAMDEN NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-ATLANTIC NJ- 217 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC... SOUTHEASTERN GLOUCESTER...SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN...NORTH CENTRAL CUMBERLAND AND EASTERN SALEM COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED... PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. LAT...LON 3974 7519 3965 7477 3940 7502 3956 7541 TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 288DEG 23KT 3956 7499 $ HEAVENER

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