Voyager Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Another day of the shaft for Allentown. All we had was a quick 5-minute shower. Tomorrow looks better, though. That's more than what I had, but there is a storm about 10 miles north of me giving a good light show at the moment. Not sure if any rain comes of it here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott W Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Now, it's been dumping in West Chester for about the last half hour. More thunder over the last 15 min or so. If my power and A/C go out, I am going to be PISSED. Got dumped on around 4:30pm in Exton. Rained REALLY hard along business 30. Stopped to wait it out, then headed back into WC borough. Soon as I got below the Wawa next to the skate park, pavement was bone dry. We need the rain so badly in dub C! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 That's more than what I had, but there is a storm about 10 miles north of me giving a good light show at the moment. Not sure if any rain comes of it here though. Storm is 65 dBZ with hail potential to 1.75". It's just missing my location as it went through McAdoo and is making a beeline toward Nesquehoning and eventually Lehighton, and then possibly the Walnutport/Palmerton area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 A little light rain here at mid afternoon with my first measurable (0.02" ) of rain this month. It looks like just 11 miles to my SE - 1.18" fell just NE of West Chester. See some cells popping to my SW and starting to move NE....will they make it or does dry begat dry? 74.2 here with a DP of 70.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Hmmm, severe thunderstorm warning for most of Lehigh. It looks like it'll miss east based on the radar, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Got dumped on around 4:30pm in Exton. Rained REALLY hard along business 30. Stopped to wait it out, then headed back into WC borough. Soon as I got below the Wawa next to the skate park, pavement was bone dry. We need the rain so badly in dub C! Wow, really? I live on Rt 3 about 3 miles east of downtown and it poured here for a half hour with probably 25-30 mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Got rocked by 3 different storms down here in SJ, 1 of which I had to go to, but still got it none the less. Beyond intense lightning with all 3, decent wind, insane rainfall rates. All in all, a good day. Now onto tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Got rocked by 3 different storms down here in SJ, 1 of which I had to go to, but still got it none the less. Beyond intense lightning with all 3, decent wind, insane rainfall rates. All in all, a good day. Now onto tomorrow. Yeah hopefully tomorrow will be MY DAY to have what you call intense Lightning. Sometimes its like wishing apon a damn dead stone or trying to get blood out of a rock. But good that you had a good day, mine was just ugh thats all. At least i had New Foundland in Via E-Skip on FM and TV tonight to help ease a bit of the pain away from the screw over. Lets just hope for some members like myself to get raked with something amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Got rocked by 3 different storms down here in SJ, 1 of which I had to go to, but still got it none the less. Beyond intense lightning with all 3, decent wind, insane rainfall rates. All in all, a good day. Now onto tomorrow. That storm made for quite the light show down here in wildwood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 That storm made for quite the light show down here in wildwood. Sure did, I saw the lightning from it up here, until it was off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Sure did, I saw the lightning from it up here, until it was off the coast. Unbelievable, third isolated storm in a row today where it missed western lehigh county completely and spanked eastern lehigh county and easton. Spock, please lower the shields for we surely can take some hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Looks like today's big threat is generally PA Turnpike and south...could be pretty nasty at times...storms don't look to move all that quickly and you have a rather moist atmosphere, weak disturbance, and front...could yield 2-4" in isolated spots and some of the proverbial road flooding/ponding of water issues that come up from too much rain too quickly. We need it...just not all at once lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 I love this HWO. Not too often do you see copious lightning mentioned. HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 346 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011 DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ009-010-012>027-PAZ067>071- 090800- NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX- WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE- PHILADELPHIA- 346 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME TODAY AND TONIGHT...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT...AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ALSO... THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING COPIOUS LIGHTNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 And our AFD. Nice writeup. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 323 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011 .SYNOPSIS... -- Changed Discussion --A STATIONARY FRONT OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND PASS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO OUR AREA DURING SATURDAY AND BE OVER THE REGION SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY. ANOTHER FRONT MAY BRING MORE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS TO THE REGION LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.-- End Changed Discussion -- && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... -- Changed Discussion --CONDITIONS ARE SHAPING UP FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN...AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING...FOR AT LEAST PART OF OUR AREA. A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE REGION WILL COMBINE WITH ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND RATHER SLOW 700 HPA WIND SPEEDS TO PRODUCE THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA. IRONICALLY...THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE PRETTY HIGH IN THESE AREAS...AND ONE WOULD THINK THAT WE COULD ACCEPT LESSER AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION WITHOUT THE NEED FOR A FLASH FLOOD WATCH. IN FACT...NORTHERN AREAS ARE MUCH LOWER IN GUIDANCE VALUES...LESS THAN 2 INCHES IN SOME AREAS. SO MAYBE THE NORTHERN AREAS SHOULD HAVE THE WATCH AND SOUTHERN AREAS NOT? WELL...THE CONCEPTUAL MODEL IS THAT FLASH FLOODING WOULD BE NEARER TO WHERE THE STATIONARY FRONT IS AND WHERE THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE HIGHEST. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE OVER 2 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF...AND THIS IS THE AREA WHERE THE LOW APPROACHING FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST WILL TRAVERSE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. INITIALLY...CELLS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN AREAS EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT THEY WILL MOVE INTO SLIGHTLY LESS UNSTABLE AIR AND WERE WEAKENING AS THEY MOVED INTO THE LEHIGH VALLEY. MORE ACTIVITY WILL FORM LATER THIS MORNING FOR WESTERN AND NORTHERN AREAS...THEN ACTIVITY IS PROGGED TO FORM FURTHER SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN VIEW OF UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION FIELDS. THIS IS WHEN THE LARGEST POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING IS THOUGHT TO EXIST. SO...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA FROM 16Z TODAY THROUGH 08Z TONIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS RATHER LOW FOR FLASH FLOODING...BUT URBAN CONCERNS IN THE I-95 CORRIDOR ALSO ENTERED THE EQUATION. BASICALLY...2/3 TO 1 INCH NORTH UP TO 1.5 TO 2 INCHES SOUTH IS FORECAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WAS USED IN ALL THE WEATHER GRIDS TODAY INTO TONIGHT. LOCAL AMOUNTS WILL BE MUCH HIGHER...PERHAPS 3.5 INCHES IN 3 HOURS CENTRAL AND SOUTH...IF ANY TRAINING OF CELLS OR BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS OCCUR. IN ADDITION...THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF OUR AREA HAS BEEN CONTINUED IN THE SLIGHT RISK FOR TODAY...AND ENHANCED WORDING FOR WINDS HAIL AND LIGHTNING WAS USED FOR THIS AFTERNOON EVERYWHERE...AND EARLY TONIGHT CENTRAL AND SOUTH. SPC WAS PRIMARILY CONCERNED WITH WET MICROBURSTS. WITH GOOD DIRECTIONAL SHEAR DEVELOPING ACCORDING TO MODEL SOUNDINGS...IT IS WONDERED IF THERE COULD BE SOME SUPERCELLS WHICH COULD SPAWN A TORNADO TOO. AN ACTIVE DAY IS IN STORE ON THE RADAR IMAGERY. CLOUDS AND CONVECTION SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM REACHING LEVELS OF THE PAST FEW DAYS. A BLEND OF MAV AND MET MOS WAS USED...HEDGED SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE WARMER MAVS.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Unbelievable, third isolated storm in a row today where it missed western lehigh county completely and spanked eastern lehigh county and easton. Spock, please lower the shields for we surely can take some hits .33" of rain here in Martins Creek; .41" in Glendon (just south of Easton) from last night's storm. Decent lightning, btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 got raked yesterday about 730 PM with heavy rain and tons of lightning, hoping today it stays dry, who needs that stuff in summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Wxsim has 0.72" of rain today....I would take it in a heartbeat as we are bone dry in NW Chester County Still only 3 days with highs above 90 this year....Wxsim has no days above 87 over next 5 days Currently Cloudy Muggy Temp 69.9 RH 99% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Um. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Spent an hour and a half watering my landscaping this morning. That is how confident I am that the shield will hold and we wont get jack in northern DE. Everything rolls right at us and either dissipates or splits to hammer SJ or parts north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Spent an hour and a half watering my landscaping this morning. That is how confident I am that the shield will hold and we wont get jack in northern DE. Everything rolls right at us and either dissipates or splits to hammer SJ or parts north and west. You're in for a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Spent an hour and a half watering my landscaping this morning. That is how confident I am that the shield will hold and we wont get jack in northern DE. Everything rolls right at us and either dissipates or splits to hammer SJ or parts north and west. Keep right on thinking that. You got a lot more then most last month, with 2 1/2 inches or so for the month. Your "shield" didn't hold then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 You're in for a surprise. Ha! I am often amazed at how many people care enough about weather to post on this board and then can't forecast their way out of a paper bag. Everything looks great for a soaker today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Slight risk moved well north now, 30% wind contour added to our area, from NYC on south. ...TN VLY/SRN APPALACHIANS TO MID ATLANTIC CST TODAY... SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER SRN IL SHOULD MOVE STEADILY E TODAY...MORE OR LESS IN TANDEM WITH IMPULSE AMPLIFYING ESE ACROSS ONT. AHEAD OF THE IL TROUGH...RADAR/SATELLITE LOOPS SUGGEST POSSIBLE PRESENCE OF WEAK CIRCULATIONS LEFT OVER FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION IN THE LWR TN VLY. A BELT OF SEASONABLY STRONG 35-40 KT WSWLY MID LVL FLOW WILL PRECEDE/ACCOMPANY THESE DISTURBANCES AS THEY CONTINUE E ACROSS PARTS OF THE APPALACHIANS AND THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. AT LWR LVLS...WEAK STNRY FRONT ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE UPR JET...SIMILARLY ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS...AND LEE TROUGH E OF THE MOUNTAINS EACH WILL SERVE TO FOCUS DIURNALLY ENHANCED STORMS OVER THE REGION TODAY. WITH VERY RICH MOISTURE IN PLACE /PW AOA 2.00 INCHES/...AND EXPECTED CORRIDORS OF STRONG SFC HEATING...SETUP COULD YIELD NUMEROUS BANDS/CLUSTERS OF STRONG STORMS WITH DMGG WIND AND MARGINALLY SVR HAIL...DESPITE MODEST MID LVL LAPSE RATES. WHILE A BRIEF SUPERCELL OR TWO MAY OCCUR...MAINLY OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC...MULTICELL CLUSTERS WITH BOWING SEGMENTS/WET MICROBURSTS SHOULD BE THE MAIN SVR THREAT. ONE OR TWO LARGER ENE-MOVING MCSS MAY EVOLVE...ESPECIALLY OVER NRN NC...VA AND ERN MD/DE/NJ. FARTHER N...AN ISOLD SVR RISK MAY EVOLVE AHEAD OF THE ONT DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVER WRN/CNTRL NY. INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAKER RELATIVELY TO POINTS FARTHER S...BUT MODEST WLY FLOW ALOFT MAY AUGMENT STORM ORGANIZATION...WITH HAIL/GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 And bluehens, this part is for you. I suggest you post less and read more. WHILE A BRIEF SUPERCELL OR TWO MAY OCCUR...MAINLY OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC...MULTICELL CLUSTERS WITH BOWING SEGMENTS/WET MICROBURSTS SHOULD BE THE MAIN SVR THREAT. ONE OR TWO LARGER ENE-MOVING MCSS MAY EVOLVE...ESPECIALLY OVER NRN NC...VA AND ERN MD/DE/NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Spent an hour and a half watering my landscaping this morning. That is how confident I am that the shield will hold and we wont get jack in northern DE. Everything rolls right at us and either dissipates or splits to hammer SJ or parts north and west. Today I think it'll be pretty tough to be in an area that doesn't get at least something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 I hope you're all right and we at least get some rain. But I have read similar text to this at least 6-8 times this year and have not seen a single decent storm yet. Persistence is a byatch....go with it. And bluehens, this part is for you. I suggest you post less and read more. WHILE A BRIEF SUPERCELL OR TWO MAY OCCUR...MAINLY OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC...MULTICELL CLUSTERS WITH BOWING SEGMENTS/WET MICROBURSTS SHOULD BE THE MAIN SVR THREAT. ONE OR TWO LARGER ENE-MOVING MCSS MAY EVOLVE...ESPECIALLY OVER NRN NC...VA AND ERN MD/DE/NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 LI up to -6 over SJ and DE, with -7 just off the SJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Here's our MCS, moving NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 I hope you're all right and we at least get some rain. But I have read similar text to this at least 6-8 times this year and have not seen a single decent storm yet. Persistence is a byatch....go with it. This is the best set-up we've had in a couple of months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 My lawn, flowers may get watered today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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