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Potential thunderstorms/svr thunderstorms Thread


tombo82685

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New severe thunderstorm warning for the LV, southern Poconos, Berks and western NJ till 645. Not sure if i understand this one either, right now.

Berks is justified with the supercell just north of 78/81 interchange working ESE.

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Berks is justified with the supercell just north of 78/81 interchange working ESE.

Right, that storm is almost into Berks now.

I'm not not bashing Mt. Holly, I'm just wondering why rush to issue warnings so far out...except for Berks and the southern Poconos.

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New severe thunderstorm warning for the LV, southern Poconos, Berks and western NJ till 645. Not sure if i understand this one either, right now.

What isn't there to understand? There's big hailers throughout the whole line. The cores are pulsing up and down at times.

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What isn't there to understand? There's big hailers throughout the whole line. The cores are pulsing up and down at times.

segmented line... hit or miss around these parts. Hoping to get in on some action. Liking what im seeing right now though.

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Yup, barring they weaken, we should be good.

Ephrata cell showing 2" hail... ewww.. haha, don't need that. Northern part of the line heading SE, while cells back by LAnco, chesco moving east.. cool looking.

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1162

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0617 PM CDT THU JUN 09 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NEW ENGLAND...ERN NY...ERN PA...NJ...DE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 450...452...

VALID 092317Z - 100015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH

450...452...CONTINUES.

LARGE SQUALL LINE HAS SHIFTED OFFSHORE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND...WITH SRN

FLANK ARCING BACK TO THE W ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND INTO NRN NJ AND

ERN PA...WHERE THE GREATEST SHORT-TERM SVR THREAT WILL EXIST. A

POCKET OF VERY HOT/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS REMAINS IN PLACE

ACROSS CNTRL NJ AND FAR SERN PA...AND WILL MAINTAIN THUNDERSTORMS AS

THEY PROGRESS EWD. PRIMARY SVR THREATS WILL CONTINUE TO BE DMGG WIND

GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

FARTHER N...TWO CLUSTERS OF STRONG/MARGINALLY SVR THUNDERSTORMS HAVE

DEVELOPED OVER ERN NY/CNTRL VT AND ERN ME. THE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS

THIS AREA HAS GENERALLY STABILIZED IN THE WAKE OF PRIOR CONVECTION

WITH SOME MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER RECOVERY EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON.

DESPITE COOLER SFC TEMPERATURES /60S-70S/...ENOUGH MOISTURE IS IN

PLACE TO SUPPORT MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. WITH MODERATELY

STRONG MIDLEVEL FLOW IN PLACE...A THREAT FOR STRONG-MARGINALLY SVR

STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL SHOULD

CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HRS...BEFORE THE LOSS OF DIABATIC HEATING

LEADS TO A DIMINISHING SVR THREAT. ATTM...IT APPEARS SVR WW 450 MAY

BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 00Z.

..ROGERS.. 06/09/2011

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