Boch23 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Storms over the bay look to have a bulls eye on me in WIldwood. Also not sure why they took us out of the "See Text" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Storms over the bay look to have a bulls eye on me in WIldwood. Also not sure why they took us out of the "See Text" Raining in Cape May, average thunderstorm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Raining in Cape May, average thunderstorm... Yeah I'm not really expecting anything thing more then an average thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Raining in Cape May, average thunderstorm... The main storm is moving north about 3 miles to your south now, which has intense lightning with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 zomg we got a 30 second downpour along 422. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Parents have gotten 0.55" in Ewing. Much less to the north and northwest, much much more to the southeast. Radar estimate is over 2 1/2 inches over in Hamilton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 449 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011 NJC005-025-029-062130- /O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0145.000000T0000Z-110706T2130Z/ MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-BURLINGTON NJ- 449 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL BURLINGTON...NORTHWESTERN OCEAN AND SOUTHWESTERN MONMOUTH COUNTIES... AT 443 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO AROUND 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GEORGETOWN...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A FAIRLY WIDESPREAD SWATH OF WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH IN CHESTERFIELD AND MANSFIELD TOWNSHIPS. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WRIGHTSTOWN...FORT DIX...MCGUIRE AFB...CREAM RIDGE...NEW EGYPT... BROWNS MILLS...COUNTRY LAKE ESTATES...WOODRUFF AND CASSVILLE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlorenceNJWX Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Impressive storm that went through here in Northern Burlco a half hour ago...good 25 minute period or so of solid wind and downpour with a lot of lightning strikes. Branches down everywhere with water on a lot of roads I've never seen flooded since I've been living here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted July 6, 2011 Author Share Posted July 6, 2011 the nam, gfs, and euro are now all in line for .75-1.25 inches of rain from thurs to sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 the nam, gfs, and euro are now all in line for .75-1.25 inches of rain from thurs to sat. believe it when my backyard gets it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 For everybody including down in DE? I'll believe it when I see it because it just seems that dry begets dry anymore around here.......my garden is bone dry the nam, gfs, and euro are now all in line for .75-1.25 inches of rain from thurs to sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted July 6, 2011 Author Share Posted July 6, 2011 For everybody including down in DE? I'll believe it when I see it because it just seems that dry begets dry anymore around here.......my garden is bone dry for your area on the euro its .5-.75.... bullseye area is lehigh valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 for your area on the euro its .5-.75.... bullseye area is lehigh valley. Training thunderstorms will help. Seeing is believing tombo. These models indicate this now but fall apart in the last 8 hours. I hope this makes me a liar cause my garden should could use the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 I cut the lawn myself in the back of the house even though it hasnt needed it even after my wife mowed it 2 weeks ago. I just had to get those white poofy things that the bees wasps go after so i can actually go in the back yard during the day its been horrible with them things and the wasps and bee's back there where i couldnt be out there since my allergy to them. But the lawn hasnt been growing much at all, kinda saving us money on fuel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Training thunderstorms will help. Seeing is believing tombo. These models indicate this now but fall apart in the last 8 hours. I hope this makes me a liar cause my garden should could use the rain Don't worry, the Lehigh Valley will see training storms sometime in the next 2 weeks. I say this because I'm going to DC for 2 weeks starting Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Another SEE TEXT for today: ...MID-ATLANTIC... A COLD FRONT...FOLLOWING A MID-LEVEL WAVE DEPARTING NEW ENGLAND...WILL STALL ACROSS CNTRL PORTIONS OF NJ/PA/OH TODAY. THIS FEATURE...AND THE TERRAIN...WILL BE IMPETUS FOR DIURNAL TSTMS THIS AFTN...PARTICULARLY IN SRN PA...ERN WV...MD AND WRN/CNTRL VA. COVERAGE IS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION GIVEN DEPARTURE OF LARGER SCALE TROUGH DURING PEAK HEATING. BUT...INSTABILITY CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE TO 1500 J/KG AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY AUGMENT MICROBURST POTENTIAL WITH ISOLD STORMS. PARTS OF THE REGION MAY EVENTUALLY NEED MORE ROBUST SVR PROBABILITIES. ..RACY/GARNER.. 07/07/2011 They say they're considering an upgrade to a SLGT for parts of the area, mainly west it sounds like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Another SEE TEXT for today: ...MID-ATLANTIC... A COLD FRONT...FOLLOWING A MID-LEVEL WAVE DEPARTING NEW ENGLAND...WILL STALL ACROSS CNTRL PORTIONS OF NJ/PA/OH TODAY. THIS FEATURE...AND THE TERRAIN...WILL BE IMPETUS FOR DIURNAL TSTMS THIS AFTN...PARTICULARLY IN SRN PA...ERN WV...MD AND WRN/CNTRL VA. COVERAGE IS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION GIVEN DEPARTURE OF LARGER SCALE TROUGH DURING PEAK HEATING. BUT...INSTABILITY CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE TO 1500 J/KG AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY AUGMENT MICROBURST POTENTIAL WITH ISOLD STORMS. PARTS OF THE REGION MAY EVENTUALLY NEED MORE ROBUST SVR PROBABILITIES. ..RACY/GARNER.. 07/07/2011 They say they're considering an upgrade to a SLGT for parts of the area, mainly west it sounds like. Given past precedent this year with SPC, an upgrade would not surprise me in the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Day 2 Slight Risk, on our doorstep, wouldn't be surprised to see that upgraded also, with what the models are showing for Friday. DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT THU JUL 07 2011 ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION... ...MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST STATES AND CAROLINAS... THE EXACT DEGREE/SPATIAL LOCATION OF STRONGEST DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN FOR FRIDAY. HOWEVER...A MOIST/POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN THE PRESENCE OF INCREASINGLY CYCLONIC/STRONGER MID-HIGH LEVEL FLOW OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION/DELMARVA SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...ESPECIALLY INCLUDING PORTIONS OF VA/NC/DELMARVA. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR RELATIVELY WELL-SUSTAINED MULTICELLS...THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DOWNBURSTS/WIND DAMAGE AS WELL AS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 So basically the storms will stay NW of northern DE today and then SE of us tomorrow. Story of this summer. We will get 0.05" maybe out of the whole thing. Dry begets dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted July 7, 2011 Author Share Posted July 7, 2011 euro is going .75-2.5 inches of rain. with the brunt fri mid morning into early sat morning. Bullseye area is along i78 from abe to mdt and 50 miles either side.... the least amount are in central and souther del .75-1 and cape may and salem counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Did not have a chance to post this yesterday... Breaking News...it rained at my house yesterday afternoon. Need more though. Tomorrow looks interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Did not have a chance to post this yesterday... Breaking News...it rained at my house yesterday afternoon. Need more though. Tomorrow looks interesting. Are things getting crunchy out there as well? It's cornflakes here in Lancaster County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Sure is gonna get really hot in the extended. Just looking at the overnight model runs. Looks to be down right hot.. Sure could use the rain. Lawn is a nice brown color. Amazing.. a wet spring to some very dry times... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Sure is gonna get really hot in the extended. Just looking at the overnight model runs. Looks to be down right hot.. Sure could use the rain. Lawn is a nice brown color. Amazing.. a wet spring to some very dry times... My parents are (very thankfully) on the wet side of the divide. Over an inch for the month and over 5 inches since June 1. Hope they keep getting the rain, makes my gardens happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 My parents are (very thankfully) on the wet side of the divide. Over an inch for the month and over 5 inches since June 1. Hope they keep getting the rain, makes my gardens happy. So far so good in Holmdel and edison areas. Seems like we get a good soaking once a week. Cutting lawns 2 to 3 time to get rid of clumps is pretty impressive for july Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 My parents are (very thankfully) on the wet side of the divide. Over an inch for the month and over 5 inches since June 1. Hope they keep getting the rain, makes my gardens happy. Ray, is it better to receive a 2 inch rainfall on one day over two weeks, or 8 - quarter inch rains over a two week period? The 2 incher will provide a deeper soaking, but the quarter inchers will make the lawns and gardens happy, but be susceptible to evaporating quicker this time of year? Just wondering, and I appreciate your expertise in this matter. OK, to stay on topic with the thread: Some potential soakers tonite and Friday. Chances of storms reaching severe levels? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 I like seeing the radar begin to light up in south central PA and the trajectory the storms appear to be taking. The question as always is will they make it all the way to SEPA and northern DE? A persistence forecast for this summer so far says no but we'll see. I could care less about severe at this point....I just want the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 I like seeing the radar begin to light up in south central PA and the trajectory the storms appear to be taking. The question as always is will they make it all the way to SEPA and northern DE? A persistence forecast for this summer so far says no but we'll see. I could care less about severe at this point....I just want the rain. I'd love to have a filming chance out of this. Its been a while and those cells are putting out some 20+ strikes in 2 or less minutes so we shall see, i have never seen more then 3 strikes in a minute let alone 20 in 0-2 minutes. So it could be a big treat for me. Would also love the rain as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Lightning Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Did you see that t-storm north of Hammonton? Nice outflow boundary ring with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Ray, is it better to receive a 2 inch rainfall on one day over two weeks, or 8 - quarter inch rains over a two week period? The 2 incher will provide a deeper soaking, but the quarter inchers will make the lawns and gardens happy, but be susceptible to evaporating quicker this time of year? Just wondering, and I appreciate your expertise in this matter. OK, to stay on topic with the thread: Some potential soakers tonite and Friday. Chances of storms reaching severe levels? You get more bang for your buck with 0.5-1.0 inch dumps on a semi-frequent basis... the combination of a decent soaking and not as much runoff. Lighter amounts have trouble penetrating, especially tree cover in shady areas, while heavier amounts tend to runoff more and you aren't getting as much penetrate as you think. Of course, this is mainly with thunderstorms... a steady light rain amounting to 1-2 inches would mostly soak in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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