Kmlwx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 If the slight doesn't expand - it's going to be awfully tightly packed from mod to slight on the southern end of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 I wouldn't take it verbatim but it has advertised it a while now. Atmosphere supports it. PWATS are decent too 1.5-1.7 in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 If the slight doesn't expand - it's going to be awfully tightly packed from mod to slight on the southern end of it. it'll come south to us at least i think .. maybe not too far southeast tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 that's true, it has been in a number of past GFS and NAM runs, but it is still the manifestation of convective feedback which doesn't always mean the model output is bunk, just means don't trust the placement or the QPF I thought that at first, till Ian said it had been there for a few runs. Can a model suffer convective feedbck for more than a couple of runs in a row? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 96... 102 might be in play. on a side note i've not seen it get past 102 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 it hasn't happened since 1999 I think....kind of would like to see it...we've only had like 12? or so 103+ on record 17 it seems. 1999 does appear to be the last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Climo-weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 GFS likes the 0-6z window tonight for the DC-Balt corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 17 is not insubstantial....come on 103! would be kind of impossible on June 9th though we are due. on the bright side breaking a 130+ yr monthly record would give the global warming guys an article or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 98/71 HI of 106 at noon in Baltimore City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pityflakes Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 17 is not insubstantial....come on 103! would be kind of impossible on June 9th though Too humid too. Hard to get over 100 with dp in the high 60s/70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pityflakes Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 not if we get a crazy downsloping westerly wind burst...happened on 8/17/97 Like one of these? http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=mkx&storyid=69423&source=0 My heat experience was forged in the middle of NC, so not too much downsloping there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 97.4 at Dulles. I wonder how Pepco's grid will handle the high usage. Currently: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 does it matter? the afternoon/evening storms will take care of anything the heat doesn't cripple 97.4 at Dulles. I wonder how Pepco's grid will handle the high usage. Currently: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 it'll come south to us at least i think .. maybe not too far southeast tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 does it matter? the afternoon/evening storms will take care of anything the heat doesn't cripple So true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Would you like a cookie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 high five for self promotion...j/k Would you like a cookie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Would you like a cookie? i'd rather get the red overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 i'd rather get the red overhead My apologies - I asked the weather gods to give us a mod risk, but they told me DC doesnt get severe wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 17 is not insubstantial....come on 103! would be kind of impossible on June 9th though If we got 100, it would tie for 2nd earliest, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 100 at Ocean City?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 If we got 100, it would tie for 2nd earliest, right? yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 BWI/DCA both 98/67....is there any way we don't get there? Nope. Done deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 BWI/DCA both 98/67....is there any way we don't get there? 100 for sure it seems. Need some clouds soon to miss 102. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Only have 94 here. Potomac Breeze ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 DC is under a Pepco POWER OUTAGE WATCH. Here's to going home early! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Split storm talk since it's not "general discussion" if svr risk http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/19930-severe-weather-threat-june-9-2011/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 100 at Ocean City?! Several stations reporting 100°F up there. That patch from Chincoteague to Salisbury to Ocean City warmed up much faster than other areas for some reason. Salisbury tied their record of 97°F before noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Man I miss the awesome DC area weather! Boring low 80s here. At least we have a tstorm watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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