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12Z Euro - 12/2/10


tornadojay

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The blocking still has to be strong enough so that the storm does not cut through the lakes or Appalachians, and that's my concern. It does look a lot stormier starting December 10th, but will we see rainstorms or snowstorms? It's a good sign that the NAO is very reluctant to go positive, no matter how hard it tries, it remains on the negative side. We haven't see a sustained positive NAO since early October and we've been averaging negative since last winter. As long as we have some blocking and a 50/50 low in place, then it should end up pretty well for us.

Those around and north of 40N away from the immediate coast have the best chance to get snow this December, but at least some areas further south will pick up some snow from the upcoming clipper.

Meh, the coast should get some snow in this kind of set up too ;)  Also, a positive NAO in october is a good indicator for a negative NAO in the winter.

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