How many HOURS will NYC/EWR record 90 or higher this WEEK (Jun6-10th)?

[Shades]

---NOTE: Votes for the forecast challenge have closed as of 5pm, Monday. Votes have been recorded and will be tallied at the end of the week for overall wins/losses. Updates will follow in this thread, and will remain open for posting thoughts.

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For this poll matchup/contest, we'll focus on the 90 degree mark yet again, but, instead of posing the question for the number of days it's achieved, we'll make it a bit more challenging and interesting:

How many HOURS will Central Park and also Newark record 90 or higher this week?

The purpose of the question is to take into account seabreezes/marine flow, as well as any convective influence which although 90 can be reached, it might only be for an hour or two on any given day this week. Sensibly, that makes a difference. Also makes it a challenge. But the past few poll questions were warmups (no pun intended).

As it were, I'll keep tally again for wins/losses (see last week's poll post for standings). As for the verification, we'll use Central Park and Newark Airport. There is a separate vote for each location (two polls). As for recording an observation at/over 90 at these locations, an hour at or over 90 will be equal to one hourly observation, as per their ASOS. In other words, if KNYC reports in at 90, for any given hour, that will equal 1 hour, and another hour for any other following hour. This will hold true for each day this week (Monday, Jun6 - Friday, Jun10). Simple enough. In the event that the temperature hits 90, but not at the time of observation (that happened once last week), then we'll still count it as one hour. If anyone sees any conflict in this (or needs clarification), reply back, otherwise, vote away... you have until Monday night. Poll will close then.

Tip/Word of advice: Say for example you think NYC will have a high of 93 on Wed or anytime this week, then you should consider that it can take several hours of heating/cooling from 90 to 93 and vice versa from 93 back to 90, so that can accumulate several hours a day. In contrast if you think the high will only top off at 90 on Wednesday, then it's liable to remain there for fewer hours than if it went over. It's also possible that it could top off at 90 and remain there for several hours. Given all that said, be mindful of highs you are forecasting as you make your vote, even though the vote is not for actual temperature, but the hours at/over 90. This is an hourly persistence forecast, not a daily high forecast.

Goodluck!

[Sundog]

Good idea. Some places spend the whole day in the low 80s, then get a wind shift for a couple hours and shoot to 90 for like 20 min, therefore producing a misleading high of 90. Then people act like it was hot that day when in reality it wasn't.

[Shades]

For comparison purposes, last week, Newark recorded 10 hours of 90 or over. Last Wednesday when the high was 95 there, they observed 7 hours of 90+, and last Monday when the high for the day was 92, 3 hours of 90+ was observed. NYC had one observed high of 90 last week (during an off-hour observation), which would count for one hour in this contest.

So the high end of the scale is not unrealistic. It's conceivable there could be 25+ hours of 90 or higher in Newark if 3-4 days eclipse 90. Seven hours in one day, as happened last week can really rack up the range when it comes to voting. Obviously, tougher to do in NYC, but the same applies. Just another aspect to keep in mind when you vote... poll closes for voting tomorrow.

[BxEngine]

Is my vote still showing up? I think i hit delete on my phone by accident but it wont let me revote

[Shades]

Is my vote still showing up? I think i hit delete on my phone by accident but it wont let me revote

Yours is entered, 7 - 8 NYC, 11 - 13 EWR.

[Shades]

Votes for contest will END 5pm, if you vote after 5pm today, it won't be tallied for the competition. I'll record who has voted by then. NO LATER. Last time to participate in this week's forecast challenge is 5pm.

[Cfa]

I now think it'll be significantly higher than what I voted for (NYC: 7-8 hrs | EWR: 11-13 hrs) but it might not, this'll be interesting.

[Snowlover11]

11-13 nyc

19-24 newark

[Shades]

Yesterday, Newark (EWR) observed 5 hours of 90+, NYC none. That will change today.

So far:

EWR: 5

NYC: 0

[BxEngine]

Yesterday, Newark (EWR) observed 5 hours of 90+, NYC none. That will change today.

So far:

EWR: 5

NYC: 0

screwed, I am.

[Shades]

Yesterday, Newark (EWR) observed 5 hours of 90+, NYC none. That will change today.

So far:

EWR: 5

NYC: 0

On with the tally, Wednesday NYC had a high of 94, with 7 hours at or above 90. Newark topped off at 99, with 11 hours at or above 90.

Total hours so far this week:

EWR: 16

NYC: 7

[Shades]

What is probably the last day of 90+ weather this week, concludes the contest, but we'll wait till it's official at the end of the week. For today. NYC tacked on another 7 hours of 90 or over (with a high of 95 before the storms rolled through). Newark exceeded the century mark today, plying a record temperature of 102, of that, 10 hours were at 90+.

The totals as they stand now for the week:

EWR: 26

NYC 14

No one anticipated/voted the heat at this consistency. In fact only ONE member hit that maximum range, Snowlover11, albeit with a late entry vote, which Snow later changed/adjusted down. So everyone gets a loss this week. Last week we blamed the heat for failing in its anticipation, this week we all failed at holding it back.

I'll update the stats/losses at the end of the week with a more official rundown.