CoastalWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 90 at my house now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 DPs continue to drop at BID, down to 64 here, south wind doing it's marine thingy. They'll come up. LI dews are approaching 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 This is precisely the product I had in mind; thanks! it also shows that west of ORH and E of ALB is Tor city in my estimation. The 700mh jet nosing in around 22z would mean some pretty darn good direction and linear shear profiles working together. We'll see how it play out I suppose... SPC is currenlty hetching out a new watch box for us as we type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 90 at my house now. 90/66 at Logan too. Getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 This is precisely the product I had in mind; thanks! it also shows that west of ORH and E of ALB is Tor city in my estimation. The 700mh jet nosing in around 22z would mean some pretty darn good direction and linear shear profiles working together. We'll see how it play out I suppose... SPC is currenlty hetching out a new watch box for us as we type. If they stay backed in those areas, that might be something to watch..although I'm not sure if it means much if these cells line out and race ese. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 90/66 at Logan too. Getting there. Going to Dunkins in a bit I'll see how bad it is out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Going to Dunkins in a bit I'll see how bad it is out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 You can already see the break between ALB and RUT that is going to screw SNH (snowNH especially) Lol. I'm waiting for the "wide-right" at the Pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NB-Weather Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Hmm, some nice CU forming near Sussex.. Future line in the making? (storms already to its north) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Lol. I'm waiting for the "wide-right" at the Pit. The more I'm looking at the cell development downstream, the more I'm beginning to think that we're in the bullseye... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 If they stay backed in those areas, that might be something to watch..although I'm not sure if it means much if these cells line out and race ese. I think the tor threat is really marginal. The directional shear is really shallow too...just right near the ground as the 925mb winds have a pretty good westerly component. That's why we don't see the helicity values anywhere close to what was happening on 6/1. I won't be surprised at a localized spinup as those storms go into the valleys so there could def be a warning or two go out at some point, but with high LCLs and the storms likely to line out more as we head through afternoon, the straight line winds seem a lot more likely. Just about every cell that got a warning on 6/1 stayed discrete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 The dew here got unto 69 since dropped back to 65 It's up to 72 here--yuck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Pretty big temp bust today, which I could see coming.....not sure I'd ever call for upper 90's with so much in the way of clouds and showers around. 87 for the high, so far. From the dead thread.... 87.3\70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 We still have outflow type atmosphere right now. We gotta advect that out of here and get that airmass in NY and PA into this area. That's the only concern I have. Hopefully we can muster up those MLCAPES. We are slowly recovering, but still some work to do. Winds here are southerly, but at the surface they're so light at this point, I'm not sure if that means anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 I think the tor threat is really marginal. The directional shear is really shallow too...just right near the ground as the 925mb winds have a pretty good westerly component. That's why we don't see the helicity values anywhere close to what was happening on 6/1. I won't be surprised at a localized spinup as those storms go into the valleys so there could def be a warning or two go out at some point, but with high LCLs and the storms likely to line out more as we head through afternoon, the straight line winds seem a lot more likely. Just about every cell that got a warning on 6/1 stayed discrete. Yeah it seems very shallow and good point about the LCL's. I think if the winds would stay more backed..it might aid in convergence for those tstms...not necessarily helicity as a line of storms moving ese at 40-50kts won't really care...save for a brief spin-up or two. Lots of WSW winds rpts too around the I-90 region which is much better than W or even WNW vectors that models had a day or two ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NB-Weather Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 I thought it would be warmer than this today, can't complain. Windows open, nice cool south/southeast wind. Probably doesn't help the severe chances any though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianLaverty Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 89 here... dewpoint of 71 (Woonsocket).... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 have hi mtext me his number I don't remember where I wrote your number down...msg me it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Winds here are southerly, but at the surface they're so light at this point, I'm not sure if that means anything. I'm sure Pete has ne winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 No work until 530 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Going to Dunkins in a bit I'll see how bad it is out Are you going to start posting storm reports to my daughter? lol Wow--82.7/73! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 91/69 at HFD with SW wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 The more I'm looking at the cell development downstream, the more I'm beginning to think that we're in the bullseye... Don't jinx it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Are you going to start posting storm reports to my daughter? lol Wow--82.7/73! LOL... only if you want me to... and it was my status lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Not a bad NAM depiction for srfc winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 9, 2011 Author Share Posted June 9, 2011 88-93 seems the perfect comfy zone for NE severe events. 95-100 type heat is too hot, anyway. Generally a massive cap in place to lid everything, or no triggering mechanism Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Not a bad NAM depiction for srfc winds. Scott I'm a bit confused by all this talk about the air mass.. that little southerly shift is bad storms? marine crap? I heard you mention outflow... Logan is still wSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Scott I'm a bit confused by all this talk about the air mass.. that little southerly shift is bad storms? marine crap? I heard you mention outflow... Logan is still wSW SW is good for advecting the high dewpoints in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Hmmm, drive back to Boston ahead of the storms and deal with who knows what later on or go for another ride here in the southern Valley? Tough choice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 9, 2011 Share Posted June 9, 2011 Scott I'm a bit confused by all this talk about the air mass.. that little southerly shift is bad storms? marine crap? I heard you mention outflow... Logan is still wSW No I mean that the tstms cooled the airmass just a bit over eastern areas and the outflow pushed sw. Through the day over RI and CT the winds went around the horn from se to s and now sw. The airmass milled around and now is finally advecting out of here and being replaced by those higher dewpoints to our sw over se NY State. It's recovering. SW winds are good for the city.especially 230-250 direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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