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June/July NYC Metro Wx Discussion


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June has been incredibly warm here..we are in the mid 70s and that's slightly below average..but this month on average has been well above normal thanks to the heat wave and hot period before that.

LGA and NYC stats:

7 days of June have been above average

6 days have been below average

The next 7 days look to be average to below average.

If, current forecasts hold, thru June 21st, 14 days would be average to below average and 6 days above average.

JFK is even less. Newark has 4 days more then LGA and NYC.

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the park is 3.5 degrees above average this month I believe.

Yup. Im just posting the actual amount of days above and below average.

Anomalies can be skewed with the crazy 97 degree days we had.

So far, 7 days above and 6 days below for NYC. and the next 7-9 days, appear will fall into the below average category (but as forky pointed out numerous times, models sometimes dont pick up the heat, until we get closer).

We'll see the final tally at the end of the month.

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Yup. Im just posting the actual amount of days above and below average.

Anomalies can be skewed with the crazy 97 degree days we had.

So far, 7 days above and 6 days below for NYC. and the next 7-9 days, appear will fall into the below average category (but as forky pointed out numerous times, models sometimes dont pick up the heat, until we get closer).

We'll see the final tally at the end of the month.

We'll see what the 12z euro says but recent prior runs of the gfs and several consecutive ecm runs have been hinting at more heat on/around thw 18th into next week.

There have been a few really cool days this month, but with that, most sites are well above normal. But those wil lbe shaved the next few days too before the return of the warmth this weekend.

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LGA and NYC stats:

7 days of June have been above average

6 days have been below average

The next 7 days look to be average to below average.

If, current forecasts hold, thru June 21st, 14 days would be average to below average and 6 days above average.

JFK is even less. Newark has 4 days more then LGA and NYC.

There have been near equal days above and below average, but the above average days have had much more impressive anomalies.

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There have been near equal days above and below average, but the above average days have had much more impressive anomalies.

For sure.

GFS shows 7-9 days of below to average temps. That 3.5 degree departure will likely drop, over the next 7-10 days.

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Hopefully tomorrow will be the coolest day probably for the entire month where now it looks like good part of the area will not get above 65 F. Hopefully this will coolest we will see until September and hopefully the models stick to the warm up for next week with blocking breaking down and the ridge moving in.

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Tuesday: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. East wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

one of the more sullen forecasts i have seen for June.

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I dont think tomorrow will be an all day soaker at all...scattered showers probably nothing real heavy, not ideal cutting conditions but the grass is short right now and we can probably get away cutting it without making too much of a mess.

yeah wish I was cutting. Trimming for the next few weeks. Then have some real nice landscape jobs for july and august. Real happy on how steady work has been this green season.
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I'm actually a bit surprised there isn't a "See text" out for tomorrow by the SPC. Pretty impressive cold pool aloft with the upper level low sitting over New England; we have heights around 564dm for tomorrow afternoon, uncommonly low for this time of year. With any diurnal heating, we'll get some fairly steep lapse rates, overturning, and convection blossoming probably in the Poconos/Catskills, propagating S/SE through NY/NJ. Good set-up for soft hail. Obviously sfc instability isn't too great with 70/55 type conditions outside, but I often recall upper level lows overproducing in terms of convection. In fact some of the most intense, long lasting T-storms (holding together through the evening hours) I remember were ULL induced.

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yeah wish I was cutting. Trimming for the next few weeks. Then have some real nice landscape jobs for july and august. Real happy on how steady work has been this green season.

put in a bunch of evergreen trees the first half of today...ooh my back is sore, I will be glad to be cutting tomorrow. Work steady here too and with it slowing up we will get to our first trimmings as well next week

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put in a bunch of evergreen trees the first half of today...ooh my back is sore, I will be glad to be cutting tomorrow. Work steady here too and with it slowing up we will get to our first trimmings as well next week

Im glad to hear you have been steady with work.......The evergreens can be a bit much to handel....i got a free ball cart from my uncle which has made my back alot happier

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yeah that's just ridiculously awful...the convection died off before it even got near my house. not a single flash of lightning or a drop of rain. totally expected given that abortion of a sounding from okx. doesn't really matter how much upper or mid level jet support you have with that kind of profile.

We had a really heavy shower at my house from that thing for about 2 minutes. Got 0.10"

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