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June/July NYC Metro Wx Discussion


Dark Energy

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Only missing me by about 10 miles at the most, I can hear the thunder

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

728 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

NJC023-035-080000-

/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-110708T0000Z/

SOMERSET NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-

728 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT

FOR NORTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX AND SOUTHERN SOMERSET COUNTIES...

AT 724 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE

HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS

LOCATED NEAR FLAGTOWN...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOMERVILLE...MOVING

SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM PRODUCED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN

WHITEHOUSE STATION WHILE IT WAS IN HUNTERDON COUNTY.

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Only missing me by about 10 miles at the most, I can hear the thunder

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

728 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

NJC023-035-080000-

/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-110708T0000Z/

SOMERSET NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-

728 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT

FOR NORTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX AND SOUTHERN SOMERSET COUNTIES...

AT 724 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE

HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS

LOCATED NEAR FLAGTOWN...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOMERVILLE...MOVING

SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM PRODUCED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN

WHITEHOUSE STATION WHILE IT WAS IN HUNTERDON COUNTY.

Whitehouse station-- wasn't that the place in NJ that supposedly got 3 feet of snow from Jan 1996?

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Only missing me by about 10 miles at the most, I can hear the thunder

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

728 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

NJC023-035-080000-

/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-110708T0000Z/

SOMERSET NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-

728 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT

FOR NORTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX AND SOUTHERN SOMERSET COUNTIES...

AT 724 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE

HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS

LOCATED NEAR FLAGTOWN...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOMERVILLE...MOVING

SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM PRODUCED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN

WHITEHOUSE STATION WHILE IT WAS IN HUNTERDON COUNTY.

Looked like it was coming right at me in Branchburg. Went out on the deck to watch it until it started raining...then it decided to miss me by about 3 miles...grrrrr

got a little rain and alot of thunder, but thats about it

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While we destabilized more here on the Island today,the 12z OKX sounding showed some instability.

I thought I posted that, LI was nice but TT and SW were barely there. Pretty much just lots of rain and loud thunder but no wind or hail and def. no tornadic potential.

Would think tomorrow's are going to be the same, lots of rain and thunder and lightning and not much else.

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I thought I posted that, LI was nice but TT and SW were barely there. Pretty much just lots of rain and loud thunder but no wind or hail and def. no tornadic potential.

Would think tomorrow's are going to be the same, lots of rain and thunder and lightning and not much else.

I think tomorrow is a widespread shield of precip with some embedded convection.

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0z NAM shows the potential with the rain tomorrow.

Has nearly 4" of rain for parts of the Jersey shore. A lot of Jersey is 2"-3".

Someone will get a ton of rain tomorrow. I'm still going with rain coming more north and affect NYC and LI with more then 1" of rain.

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/nam/20110708/00/nam_namer_042_precip_p36.gif

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0z NAM shows the potential with the rain tomorrow.

Has nearly 4" of rain for parts of the Jersey shore. A lot of Jersey is 2"-3".

Someone will get a ton of rain tomorrow. I'm still going with rain coming more north and affect NYC and LI with more then 1" of rain.

http://mag.ncep.noaa..._precip_p36.gif

i'm concerned that most of the activity winds up just south of us and we get next to nothing

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i'm concerned that most of the activity winds up just south of us and we get next to nothing

That 0z NAM map looks a lot like Feb. 6, 2010 precip distribution, doesn't it?

Big amounts to our south and very sharp northern cutoff.

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i'm concerned that most of the activity winds up just south of us and we get next to nothing

Looking at the 00z NAM, I'm a bit concerned even in CNJ. Looks like the DCA-BWI-PHL corridor may jackpot, but convection is so unpredictable that I wouldn't write anyone off yet.

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Looking at the 00z NAM, I'm a bit concerned even in CNJ. Looks like the DCA-BWI-PHL corridor may jackpot, but convection is so unpredictable that I wouldn't write anyone off yet.

i don't think central nj is getting 8" of rain in 3 hrs, though

f24.gif

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did anyone notice how many outflow boundaries collided today?

Yup. I was watching it like a hawk, both on radar and outside in my yard here in Maspeth, Queens (where we received pronounced rain and lightning from the pulse storm flaring and igniting the boundaries - even rained heavily with the sun out - goes to show how much of today's convention was a trigger-frenzy along the seabreeze). Saved a loop from Rutger's Level II NEXRAD. Image below

animkdixlev2.gif

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newark's high was 97

...THE NEWARK NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 7 2011...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1971 TO 2000

CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1929 TO 2011

WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED VALUE TIME (LST) RECORD VALUE YEAR NORMAL VALUE DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL LAST YEAR

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPERATURE (F)

YESTERDAY 97 147 PM 103 1993 85 12 101

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